Revisiting "Black Monday - 1987" - Oct. 19, Part 1

Back in the day, for those of you that are old enough to remember and have experienced one of the most incredible trader psychology driven stock market decline in recent history.

The difference between “Black Monday” and most of the other recent stock market declines is that October 19, 1987, was driven by a true psychological panic, what we consider true price exploration, after an incredible price rally.

It is different than the DOT COM (2001) decline and vastly different than the Credit Market Crisis (2008-09) because both of those events were related to true fundamental and technical evaluations. In both of those instances, prices have been rising for quite some time, but the underlying fundamentals of the economics of the markets collapsed and the markets collapsed with future expectations. Before we get too deep, be sure to opt-in to our free-market trend signals newsletter.

Our researchers believe the setup prior to the Black Monday collapse is strangely similar to the current setup across the global markets. In 1982, Ronald Reagan was elected into his second term as the US President. Since his election in 1980, the US stock market has risen over 300% by August 1987.

Reagan, much like President Trump, was elected after a long period of US economic malaise and ushered in an economic boom-cycle that really began to accelerate near August 1983 – near the end of his first term. The expansion from the lows of 1982, near 102.20, to the highs of 1987, near 337.90, in the S&P 500 prompted an incredible rally in the US markets for all global investors.

Black Monday

This is very similar to what has happened since 2015/16 in the markets and particularly after the November 2016 elections when the S&P500 bottomed near 1807.5 and has recently set hew highs near 3026.20 – a 67.4% price rally in just over 3 years. Continue reading "Revisiting "Black Monday - 1987" - Oct. 19, Part 1"

It's Over!

Monday, August 24th will long be remembered by investors as the day the world turned red. Every exchange in the world is showing big losses. It all started in China when the Shanghai index closed down 8% for the day, its biggest daily loss since 2007. The drop in China quickly moved over to Europe where the FTSE 100 and other major indices all lost upwards of 4%.

What happened?

The experts and pundits will all point to different reasons why this happened, but the reality is, the market has been having problems for some time and those problems have manifested themselves in the minds of investors who suddenly perceive things as being not so rosy.

I have said many times before that markets tend to slide faster than they glide. Simply translated, that means they go down a lot faster than they go up and we have certainly seen that in the last week or so.

One of the strongest market movers for any market is perception. Perception suddenly took a very negative turn this past week for most of the major indices. We have a lot to be thankful for as the Trade Triangle technology warned us on 6/30/15 that the markets were beginning to change direction. I pointed this out on Friday in my video and showed the long-term trend line that goes all the way back to 2009 when the lows were seen in the market. At the time of my video, the Dow was down around 160 points and was very close to breaking the below this long-term trend line. As the day progressed, that support line was clearly broken with the Dow closing down over 500 points for the day. The breaking of this long-term trend line is a big deal, in my opinion, and it represents more than just a correction in a bull market. Continue reading "It's Over!"