Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,275 an ounce while currently trading at 1,283 up about $8 for the trading week bouncing off of major support which stands at the 1,267 level. I'm sitting on the sidelines as my only recommendation in the precious metals is a short copper play as gold prices look interesting and I think if the 1,267 level is broken a bear market will develop, so that is the key price level to keep an eye on. Gold prices are still trading below their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend is to the downside, and if you take a look at the daily chart, the downtrend line remains intact as the bullish trend would not develop until prices break the 1,304 level in my opinion so play this to the downside. Silver prices continue their bearish trend as that is also putting pressure on gold, but one of the main influences on gold is the fact that the U.S dollar hit a two year high in yesterday's trade and that looks to move even higher in my opinion. The chart structure in gold will start to improve in next weeks trade therefor the risk/reward will become in your favor as I do think there are a lot of sell stops at the 1,267 level.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
VOLATILITY: AVERAGE

Silver Futures

Silver futures in the July contract is currently trading lower by 6 cents at 14.55 an ounce after settling last Friday in New York at 14.37 up about $0.17 for the trading week but remains in a bearish trend. I'm not involved in silver but it still looks like weaker prices are ahead, and if you are short a futures contract I would place the stop loss above the 10- day high which stands at 14.86 as an exit strategy as the chart structure is outstanding due to the fact of low volatility. If you take a look at the daily chart, the downtrend line remains intact, but for the bearish momentum to continue the May 21st low of 14.35 has to be broken and if that does occur I think you could test the upper 13 level as weak demand continues. The U.S dollar hit a 2-year high this week, and that is also putting pressure on silver, however, inflation is minimal at this particular time as industrial metals continue to remain weak as deflation could be a problem as inflation certainly is not as I see no reason to be a buyer of silver at this time. Silver prices are trading under their 20 and 100-day moving average telling you that the trend is to the downside as the entire precious metal sector remains bearish.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
VOLATILITY: LOW

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Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,287 an ounce while currently trading at 1,279 down about $8 for the week ending on a sour note. I had been recommending a bullish position from around the 1,301 level as it is time to exit and move on as prices hit a two week low experiencing another false breakout. Gold prices hit a five-week high earlier in the week looking to break out, however, then the stock market stabilized as it generally does throughout history sending money flows back into equities and out of the metals. The U.S dollar is hovering near a two year high as I have a bullish position in that currency as that also has put pressure on gold prices which now look to test the major support around the 1,267 area so sit on the sidelines and let's wait for another trend to develop. Silver prices are hitting a five-month low today, and that is also putting pressure on gold as I also have a bearish copper recommendation which continues to drip lower weekly as the commodity markets, in general, remain weak. Gold prices are now trading under their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend has turned south, however for the real breakout to occur we have to break the May 2nd low of 1,267 and if that does happen, expect lower prices ahead.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
VOLATILITY: AVERAGE

Copper Futures

Copper futures in the July contract are currently trading at 2.7715 after settling last Friday in New York at 2.7375 a pound continuing its bearish momentum as the whole precious metal sector looks weak in my opinion. I have been recommending a bearish position from around the 2.8240 level, and if you took that trade the stop loss has now been lowered to 2.8410 and then in Tuesday's trade will drop all the way down to 2.8100 as the chart structure will improve daily. Copper prices are trading far below their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend is lower, however for the bearish momentum to continue we have to break the May 13th low of 2.7090 in my opinion as I will possibly be looking at adding more contracts to the downside. The U.S dollar is right near a two year high as I also have a bullish recommendation in that currency as that is also putting pressure on copper and most of the commodity sectors. The volatility is high as that should remain that way throughout the summer months as historically speaking copper can have crazy daily price swings with high risk so stay short.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
VOLATILITY: HIGH

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Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

S&P 500 Futures

The S&P 500 in the June contract settled last Friday in Chicago at 2941 while currently trading at 2939 unchanged for the trading week, but ending on a positive note up over 20 points due to the incredibly strong monthly unemployment number which was released this morning. The economic figures that have been released in the last week have been impressive as we had a 3.2% first-quarter GDP and now we added 263,000 jobs with an unemployment rate of 3.8% as I see further growth in the U.S. economy and higher stock prices. I have been talking about the S&P 500 for months, and I still believe we will continue the bullish trend as 3000 is my next level of resistance. If you are long a futures contract, I would continue to place the stop loss under the 2 week low standing at 2899. However, the chart structure will not improve so you will have to accept the monetary risk. The volatility in the S&P remains historically low especially at these elevated prices as I see no reason to be short as the U.S. economy is astonishing at the current time. The S&P 500 is trading far above its 20 and 100-day moving average telling you that the trend is to the upside, but for the bullish momentum to continue, we have to break the May 1st high of 2961 which was also the all-time high which I think will be breached possibly in next weeks trade.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
VOLATILITY: LOW

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Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Chart Structure, Futures Trading, gold futures, how to trade futures, mike seery, seeryfutures.com, weekly futures recap, Guest Bloggers, Risk Management,

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,276 ending the week on a positive note up $11 to close around 1,290 an ounce. Gold prices hit a 4 month low earlier in the week only to rally the last four trading sessions as I think it's just a kickback due to the oversold conditions as the downtrend line remains intact. Gold prices are now trading under their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend has turned south in the short term with the next major level of support around the 1,250 area as the U.S. dollar hit a fresh yearly high this week as that has put pressure on the precious metals. Low inflation in the United States continues to keep a lid on gold as prices have gone nowhere over the last 6 months as the commodity markets, in general, are lacking trends and excitement at this time. If you are bullish gold I would buy it at today's price level while placing the stop loss under the most recent low which was hit on April 23rd at 1,267 as an exit strategy as the risk would be around $2,300 per contract plus slippage and commission, however like I've stated before I'm recommending clients to sit on the sidelines.
TREND: MIXED - LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID
VOLATILITY: AVERAGE

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract is currently trading at 1,295 an ounce unchanged for the trading week as the trend remains sideways. If you are long a futures contract, I would place the stop loss under major support which now stands at 1,284 as an exit strategy as I still have a bullish bias towards gold, but the risk/reward is not in your favor to take a position at this time. Gold prices are trading slightly under their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend is lower to mixed as prices have gone nowhere over the last three months. Volatility remains average as prices topped out last month slightly above the 1,350 level as I still think longer-term gold prices look attractive. However, all the interest remains in the U.S. equity market which is hovering right near all-time highs once again. For the bullish momentum to continue prices have to break the March 25th high of 1,330 in my opinion so be patient and let's see what next week's trade brings as I do believe bullish trends across the board will start to develop soon.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
VOLATILITY: AVERAGE

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