How Did the World Cup Portfolio Fare in Q4?

The last quarter of '09 proved to be the sweetest quarter for the year for a World Cup Portfolio. For the quarter, we had a dollar return of $16,041.75 before commissions, which is approximately a 32% return on capital. The World Cup Portfolio (WCP) needs $50,000 to run and is based on double margins for every market. Double margins mean that by depositing twice the amount of money that is required by the exchanges, you are effectively de-leveraging the instrument you are trading. We consider this a more conservative approach to the commodity markets.

The Q4 results have proven to be very successful for MarketClub members using this strategy. With a 90% win rate, the World Cup Portfolio stands out as being an excellent investment vehicle over the long-term. It is interesting to note that the only market that has scored successfully in every quarter is the wheat market. The other five markets: corn, soybeans, crude oil, gold and the dollar index have all come in between the 80 and 90% range.

The key to the World Cup Portfolio is using a consistent and scientifically proven approach to the commodity markets. If you have any questions about this portfolio and how you can use it with your own account and brokerage company, please feel free to contact our office at 410-867-2100. Any one of our professional member relationship team can help answer questions on the World Cup Portfolio.

34 thoughts on “How Did the World Cup Portfolio Fare in Q4?

  1. Goutam,

    If all goes well we are shooting for a sometime later this year. We have a lot on the plate right now as you will soon see with the new portfolio manager and charts that we are polishing up right now.

    Thanks for your feedback.

    All the best,
    Adam

  2. Hi Adam & Jeremy,

    When do you expect to include the FTSE & the LSE-stocks for the Trade Triangle Alerts?

    Cheers,
    Goutam

  3. Dear Mr. Lutz,

    1. I am also very much interested to know about Future's Market and how to trade effectively using MC's Triangle Technology?
    2. How does Future Markets differs from CFDs (Contract For Differences)?
    3. How much minimum Capital is needed to start Trading Furtures?
    4. Which European Markets (e.g. Germany DAX30, Eurostoxx50) are analysed using Triangle Technology?

    Thanks in advance and with best regards

    Harkrishan

    1. thanks
      since I have difficulties to locate those commodities, can you show me what're the symbols for all of them?
      thanks again

      1. Hendranta,

        Thank you for your interest in the World Commodity Portfolio Below you will find a list of the symbols and the contracts for the portfolio.

        Gold - ZG.H10.E

        Corn - ZC-H10.E

        Soybeans - ZS.H10.E

        Dollar index - DX.H10.E

        Wheat - ZW.H10.E

        Crude Oil - CL.J10.E

        Best,
        Jeremy Lutz
        Customer Service and Technical Support
        INO.com and MarketClub

        1. Hendranta,
          Please forgive my ignorance of the Commodities markets, but how does this work. The instruments such as Corn ZC.H10.E seem to have a delivery/expiry date. So what happens after that? And how do you differentiate?

        2. Rick,

          I'm going to send you a dvd on the Future's Market and how to trade it effectively.

          Best,
          Jeremy
          Customer Service and Technical Support
          INO.com and MarketClub

  4. Hi
    I am a new member and I am interested to this markets but how can I find the markets on the web area? since we do futures here what month do we use?
    thanks

  5. Hi Paul
    I also am an aussie and use Marketclub services(which i think are great).
    I trade US equities and Aus equities and commodities using CFDs and using the trade Triangles via Marketclub, obviously with the exception of the Aust.stocks ,and with IG markets in Aust. and it all works well for me.
    I also look forward to the inclusion of Aussie stocks on Marketclub.
    Thanks Colin

  6. Hi Tom,

    We never say that the only time to get in or out of a position is solely moments after the "Trade Triangle" triggers. This being said, you will have more of an advantage by getting in or out as quickly as possible behind the signal.

    Most of our members use our Alert system to let them know when a symbol has met the criteria to trigger the "Trade Triangle" algorithm. As you can see from the link below, there are several different ways to use the Alert system:

    http://club.ino.com/trading/marketclub-help-section/alerts/how-do-i-add-an-alert/

    I hope this explanation helps, but if you have any other questions, don't hesitate to call (1-800-538-7424 or 410-864-2100).

    Best,

    Susan Jackson
    Director of MarketClub Education
    INO.com & MarketClub

  7. Dear Susan:

    The World Commodity Portfolio is focused on the futures market. If one were to participate in this portfolio, would we need to stay glued to the computer to make intra-day trades or is the portfolio based on making adjustments at the end-of-day. My guess is that one would need to be at the computer in order to take the triangles as they appear on the screen. Also, Adam didn't completely answer Mr. Cull's comment about alert notifications. Does Market Club offer this?

  8. I also am an Aussie, & am looking forward to the ASX being included, so that I can trade our stock market using the trade triangles.

    Re: the portfolio example... I am interested in how to take the trade exactly at the triangle entry and exit, there must be 'slippage', even if we sat glued to the computer???

    Does market club have an alert notification when a triangle comes up??
    Regards and thanks

    Wayne

    1. Wayne,

      We should be covering your market (ASX) in the not too distant future.

      As for slippage, yes you are right, slippage occurs with all simulated trading results.

      All the best,
      Adam

  9. So corn, wheat, soybeans and crude oil "expected" to rise, and with the current rise in the dollar index (I think Adam suggests sell) and flattening of gold I assume it is not "necessary" to invest in these. do I have this right? Thank you

    1. Alan,

      I'm not sure how to answer your question. The world commodity portfolio is a portfolio were you are constantly in the market either long or short.

      I hope this addresses your question.

      All the best,
      Adam

    1. Damien,

      You can learn all about MarketClub' rules, suggested methods and techniques by visiting our help section.

      http://www.marketclub.com/help/?br12510

      In particular to understand how this portfolio was calculated, we go to the "How to interpret the Trade Triangles" page of the help section. I think you'll find this to be very beneficial.

      Best Wishes,

      Lindsay Thompson
      Director of New Business Development
      INO.com & MarketClub

  10. I live in Australia and basically only trade Ozy stocks but would like to have some options in commodities via your program(s) so my question is how difficult will it be to get an account up and running then access and monitor the trades etc? Do you have other Aussie's on your books?

    Paul

    1. Good day Paul,

      In terms of starting and structuring an international account, you would have to talk to a full-service or discount brokerage firm. We do not broker trades, so the difficultly of getting an account up and running is out of our hands.

      As for other Aussies on our book... Yes, we have a good bit of Australian traders (who focus on US markets). I do believe that in the future we will be including ASX in our quote offerings.

      Have a good day down under,

      Lindsay Thompson
      Director of New Business Development
      INO.com & MarketClub

      1. Paul, you can get ASX data feed for free on a Ninja trader demo account.
        Lindsay, i'm interested in trading Fidelity sector mutual funds that represent your world commodities portfolio holdings (or any other mutual funds that best represent these commodity gains), any ideas.
        thanks for all the great info and data, Kevin McClenahan in San Diego.

        1. Hi Paul,

          I would definitely suggest contacting the folks at Fidelity for that information. They will be the best resource for determining what fund best correlates with the set-up.

          Best,

          Lindsay Thompson
          Director of New Business Development
          INO.com & MarketClub

  11. Ah, here's the link to better info on the World Commodity Portfolio:

    It does not appear (to me) to be an ETF or other registered security, nor easy to trade in/out.
    Correct me if I'm wrong.

    1. Tom,

      You are completely correct. This is NOT a registered security or fund. This is only a portfolio to demonstrate our "Trade Triangle" signals.

      This is a hypothetical portfolio based on our signals and Adam Hewison's suggested technique.

      Thanks for bring up this question so that I may help clarify.

      Best,

      Lindsay Thompson
      Director of New Business Development
      INO.com & MarketClub

    2. The World Commodity Portfolio would be followed using a futures account. Using futures, it would be easy to trade in and out.

  12. No, I won't phone them, nor INO, for info. There should be a written prospectus available electronically, to answer the questions members pose.

    And I don't see that depositing twice the minimums would de-leverage the position at all; doing so might reduce the risk of a margin call, yes.

    C'mon Susan, if you're going to support this portfolio, make it easy for us to get the prospectus.

    1. Tom,

      Just to say it again: this is NOT a registered security or fund. This is only a portfolio to demonstrate our "Trade Triangle" signals.

      This is a hypothetical portfolio based on our signals and Adam Hewison's suggested technique.

      Adam chose the particular agricultural, metal, currency, and energy contracts in the end of 2007 and has since tracked their performance based on the understanding that one would follow the "Trade Triangles."

      Best,

      Lindsay Thompson
      Director of New Business Development
      INO.com & MarketClub

  13. Hi Tom,

    The World Commodity Portfolio is traded with MarketClub's short-term strategy using our Weekly and Daily "Trade Triangles" with the exception of the dollar index which was traded using the Monthly and Weekly "Trade Triangles"

    If you have any other questions, please call our Membership Service representatives at 1-800-538-7424 or 410-867-2100.

    Best,

    Susan Jackson
    Blog, Webinar, & Education Group
    INO.com & MarketClub

  14. This portfolio started with 50,000 (would that be 100,000 with margin?) and grew to 336,000 in two years? What awesome returns in a market that I thought was risky! I think we need a webinar about this!

    1. Catherine,

      That's a great idea! I'll give your suggestion to Susan and see what she can do for a future webinar. I know she has the next month or so planned, but it's worth passing along and seeing if it's something she can do.

      Best Wishes,

      Lindsay Thompson
      Director of New Business Development
      INO.com & MarketClub

    1. Hi Al,

      Please give our Membership Service representatives a call at 1-800-538-7424 or 410-867-2100 for more information.

      Best,

      Susan Jackson
      Blog, Webinar, & Education Group
      INO.com & MarketClub

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