Forex trading successfully involves careful analyzing of data that is changing 24/7. This is not the forum for split-second decisions nor blind calls. You need to be consistently working a well thought out strategy that has been derived from real life data. If you suddenly find that you don’t know why have entered a trade, then you have most likely fallen victim to emotional trading.
Learning to control your emotions is a pivotal point in every young trader’s career. Once you are able to differentiate between trading from the gut and trading with sense, the losses stop and the gains begin.
To help you reach that point sooner, there are a few strategies you can employ: Continue reading "Your Trading Business: Learn to Keep it Emotion Free"→
When the Federal Reserve first suggested a gradual tightening of its monetary policy in May 2013, investors began to wonder if the long-running bull market would come to an abrupt end.
A quick spike in interest rates at the time gave a sense that times were indeed changing. Yet investors end up shrugging off that noise: The SP 500 rose an impressive 22% between July 1 of last year and June 30 of this year. Toss in dividends and investors garnered a 25% total return -- roughly the amount investors should expect to garner over a three year period in normal times.
But these are not normal times. The stunning 191% gain for the SP 500 since bottoming out in March 2009 is remarkable in light of the fact that the subsequent economic rebound after the Great Recession has been quite tepid. Low interest rates, a huge amount of global liquidity and very high corporate profit margins all get credit for the bull market that has exceeded the wildest expectations of even the most aggressive market strategists.
At this point, it might seem the wisest path to sit back and enjoy the ride, waiting for another 20% gain over the next 12 months.
Yet before you grow too complacent, you need to take a closer look at factors driving the market higher and assess what kind of backdrop we should expect in the six months ahead. Here are key events and factors you should be tracking.
The Economy
At this point, there are really only two points of economic interest: unemployment and inflation.
The former is falling and the latter may be rising. We now know that the U.S. economy created at least 200,000 jobs for the fifth straight month. That's the first time that has happened in more than a decade. The next payroll report comes on Aug. 8, and if that report also highlights a gain of at least 200,000 jobs, then it's hard to see how the Fed will stick by its "no rate hikes in the near future" policy. Continue reading "Here's Your Market Roadmap For The Rest Of 2014"→
Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.
The major US stock indices pushed into record high territory late last week ahead of the start of the second quarter earnings season. To start this week, we see equity markets on a lower track following strong US economic data last week. Japan and European shares underwent profit taking, and with a relatively light US economic calendar ahead of the release of Wednesday’s FOMC minutes, we may see a round of profit-taking following last week’s record high print.
Friday, July 4th, saw a consolidation within the previous day’s range with light holiday volume after the 7 previous sessions had finished in the green. As we open the week on a bearish note, I would look to be a seller in the September E-mini S&P 500 just below Friday’s low of 1973.50 or better. My downside objective would be just above the underlying long-term trend-line at 1950. I would place a protective stop-loss order just above Friday’s high print at 1978.00. Should the market follow through to the downside, I would roll my stop order behind the position accordingly. Continue reading "Chart of The Week - E-Mini S&P 500"→
If you've ever tried your hand at futures trading, and if you've been watching the 2014 World Cup, you've probably thought to yourself -- Yup. This looks like how it feels to invest in commodities.
Hey, if the cleat fits!
The world of commodities trading is competitive and cutthroat. The action is nonstop. Passes happen in the blink of an eye. There are no commercial breaks, or half times. And those on the field never stop paying attention to price charts, scanning and waiting for opportunity to strike.
And then comes the moment to act. You're the last guy in a penalty shootout. All that stands between you and the goal is the ticking of the clock, fatigue, and doubt.
We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.
Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.
Gold Futures
Gold futures in the August contract went out on a sour note this shortened holiday trading session down $12 at 1,318 reacting negative to the U.S jobs report which came out at 288,000 new jobs as the economy is improving as the S&P 500 hit all-time highs once again today as the money flow is coming out of gold and into equities and that has been this precious metals problem for quite some time as there is not a lot of demand for gold currently. I am sitting on the sidelines in this market but I have a couple of trading recommendations if you are bullish gold and think prices will continue to move higher buy at today’s price of 1,318 place your stop below the 10 day low of 1,305 risking $1,300 per contract and if you’re bearish gold and think that its finally topped out you would sell at today’s price while placing your stop above Tuesday’s high of 1,335 risking $17 or $1,700 per contract as the chart structure has become very tight in the last 2 weeks. As I’ve talked about in previous blogs I do believe the stock market will continue to move higher and I believe that gold here in the short term still looks negative in my opinion unless something crazy comes out of Iraq. TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
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