"Saturday Seminars" - Elliott Wave Theory for Short-Term & Intraday Trading

Elliott Wave Theory is often seen as a tool to determine long term cycles in the markets. However, the fractal nature of Elliott Wave makes it just as useful for short-term and intraday trading. In this session, Steven will explain why Elliott Wave is an excellent tool for daytrading. He will discuss how you can make money even when you have the wrong wave count and the wrong assumptions; how Elliott Wave is forward looking and a great money management tool. He will also focus on the weaknesses of wave-based trading and how to overcome them. Finally, he will describe how intermarket analysis, when used together with Elliott wave, can add confidence to your trading analysis and final actions.

Steven PoserSteven Poser is President and Founder of Poser Global Market Strategies Inc., and institutional and retail advisory services firm registered as a CTA with the CFTC which also offers training in technical analysis techniques for trading and analysis professionals. Prior to forming Poser Global Market Strategies Inc., Steven spent nearly eleven years as sole U.S. technical analyst at Deutsche Bank Securities in New York City, sitting, at various times, on the U.S. Government Bond Primary Dealer Desk, the International Bond Desk, and the Currency Desk. Before joining Deutsche Bank, he was a computer analyst for Merrill Lynch Capital Markets and the Western Electric Company, where he helped create the Y2K consulting industry with his Y2K non-compliant coding techniques. He holds a post-graduate certificate in finance, an MBA with a concentration in economics and a BA in mathematics and computer science.

Steven has become a widely acclaimed technical analyst achieving recognition for his prescient calls on the U.S. bond, currency, and stock markets. He has appeared on CNBC, is a regular guest on Reuters Financial Television and articles have appeared in publications such as Forbes, Barrons, Futures, and The International Financing Review. He took the highest honors in the Knight Ridder Financial's trading game competition in 1996 and finished third in 1998 although he competed for only six months of the year.

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Saturday Seminars are just a taste of the power of INO TV. The web's only online video and audio library for trading education. So watch four videos in our free version of INO TV click here.

INO TV

Game Changer

Game Changer

There's no doubt about it, these are volatile times and that is reflected in the broad swings in all of the markets. One market that had a huge move today (10/16) may have produced a game changer that you can make money on.

I'm referring to a major commodity that has not acted like it would normally act in an economic crisis. In this short video, you will see exactly how we have positioned ourselves and what we expect will be the course of this market in the short term.

The new video, which requires no additional download, also includes a well know stock that tracks the above market very well. You will see first hand where we expect this market to go to.

The video is available now. There is no charge and we believe it will help improve your trading in these volatile times.

Every success,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

A Trading Pattern For The Impatient Or Time Sensitive Trader

I'm pretty sure many of us fall into the category of impatient trader. I am guilty as charged! I'll spare you the details of the trade but put it this way if I would have held I would have made 15 times my money. Hey I did make 2 times my money so I can't complain...but my impatience got the best of me.

I've asked Dean from ATradersUniverse.com to give us his insight on how to deal with being impatient. ENJOY!

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Your major focus in trading should the softer side of trading, the business and psychological side of it; the harder side which relates more to the technical side is a secondary thought, however in this article I am combining the two because one of my favourite patterns is an ideal pattern for the impatient trader who does not like to hold on to trades for too long.

Impatience is not a good trait to have in the markets when trading or investing. It breeds laziness when it comes to research, planning and analysis, it causes some to exit trades too early, and it causes other’s to constantly monitor their positions. To add to this, trades that linger on can incur costs such as time premium erosion for options traders, and interest costs for CFD traders or stock traders using margin, to name a couple.

Weaknesses are a part of human nature; your job is to ‘manage’ them, not to try and eliminate them or even turn them into strengths. We were brought up to take our weaknesses and try and turn them into strengths which I believe is the wrong approach. Build on your strengths and manage your weaknesses is the best motto I ever heard.

Some traders who don’t like to be in trades for too long will use an exit strategy that will force them out of the trade if the particular stock or market consolidates and moves sideways for a few days, which is a good strategy. Let’s look at an entry technique which is the trading pattern for the impatient trader.

This pattern signals a turning of the market. It does not necessarily signal a top or bottom, it will sometimes just signal a correction, either way; it tells you that a swift and sharp move the other way is imminent, and usually enough to give a good reward to risk. The emphasis here is ‘swift and sharp’, because this is what the impatient trader is looking for.

The pattern unfolds in 5 waves with the highs and lows of the waves overlapping each other to the point where the 5th wave ends in a spike. Here is a diagram showing what to expect at the end of a run up, and the end of a run down.

This is what you need to see and how to trade it:

1. You join the highs of wave 1 and 3 together, and the lows of wave 2 and 4 together if in an up market, and these lines need to converge [or lows of waves 1 and 3, and highs of waves 2 and 4 if in a down market].
2. You want the high of wave 5 to break the upper line and spike [low of wave 5 to break lower line and spike].
3. The break of the lower line is your entry [the break of upper line is your entry].
4. Your stop goes on the other side of the 5th wave.
5. You want your exit or your first profit target to be within the range between the low of wave 1 and wave 2.
6. You shouldn’t take the trade if this range does not offer you at least a reward to risk ratio of 1:1, however this is obviously a personal choice

This is an example that occurred on the SP500 index in July 2008 on a 30 minute chart.

Elliott Wave users will be familiar with this pattern, known as an ending, leading and 5th wave diagonal; others may know it as three drives pattern, and others may just say it’s a wedge pattern.

The point I wanted to make in this article, so as to benefit you is that when these patterns occur they produce swift and sharp moves and this is an obvious benefit to those who don’t like spending too much time in the markets, whether it’s due to being impatient or because of trading instruments that are time sensitive.

Here's a challenge
Who can tell me a currency (or forex pair) where this pattern has occurred very recently?
Here's a clue; the pattern took months to form and only weeks to retrace.

Dean is the owner of ATradersUniverse.com , a resource and education site for traders. He also has a trading system development program which you can find here PentagonalTrading.com.

Dean has also been researching the mind and why traders self sabotage after seeing his parents win the lotto only to lose it all and more. He is giving away a free portion of his ebook discussing the science behind why we fail to succeed, which you can download here:

http://www.atradersuniverse.com/RMFSGiftMC.pdf

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Traders Toolbox: Momentum

MarketClub is known for our "Trade Triangle" technology. However, if you have used other technical analysis indicators previously, you can use a combination of the studies and other techniques in conjunction with the "Trade Triangles" to further confirm trends.

Momentum measures the change in a commodity's price with time. M = Pc-Pn where M = momentum, Pc = current period's price and Pn = price n periods ago.

The length of time used for the prior period is a matter of personal preference and time horizon of the trader. A narrow window of less than five periods back would be short-term in nature while six to nine periods would be considered intermediate; 10 or more would be a longer time perspective.

The most common value is 10 periods prior. Momentum is positive if today's price is higher than your past period's price and negative if not.

Momentum indicators give their best trading signals when they diverge (go in the opposite direction from prices). There are two types of divergences – bullish and bearish.

Bullish divergence occurs as price falls to a new low while the oscillator refuses to set a new low. This often signals the end of a downtrend.

Conversely, a bearish divergence occurs when price reaches new highs and the indicator doesn't confirm it by also reaching new highs.

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You can learn more about Momentum by visiting INO TV.

It's not over till it's over

It's not over till it's over.

Rushing into any market because it looks inexpensive or cheap is not the way to trade. Oftentimes when you see weakness in the market, it means that the market is headed lower. The market we are looking at today is a classic case of a market that should have gone up (which it did), and then it turned dramatically lower.

There are always ways to make money in the markets and this eight minute video goes through each trade in the last couple of months and details how you would have made out in this market using a methodology that eliminates emotion and fear. The market we are covering in this video produced a gain of over $46,000 on an investment of less than $10,000.

You don't have to listen to the news and you don't have to watch cable. You don't even have to listen to gossip or tips on the market. All you have to do is follow some simple trading rules and the odds are you will do very well.

The video is available free of charge. We are leaving the video up for a limited amount of time. I strongly urge you, given the market volatility, to watch this eye opening video as soon as possible.

If you are having trouble viewing the video please click this link: http://club.ino.com/trading/its-not-over-till-its-over-movie/

Every success trading,
Adam Hewison,

President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

We welcome your comments.