U.S. Crude Oil Production Fell Sharply In April

The Energy Information Administration reported that April crude oil production averaged 12.061 million barrels per day (mmbd), down 669,000 b/d from March. Reductions were largest in Texas (234,000) and North Dakota (195,000).

Crude Oil

Given the large reduction in April, crude oil production dropped by 62,000 b/d over the past 12 months. This number only includes crude oil. Other supplies (liquids) that are part of the petroleum supply fell by an additional 560,000 b/d from a year ago. Continue reading "U.S. Crude Oil Production Fell Sharply In April"

Analysis Of The EIA Statistics

According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. petroleum inventories (excluding SPR) built by 5.9 million barrels last week to 1.451 billion, whereas SPR stocks built by 1.4 million. Total stocks stand 163 mmb above the rising, rolling 5-year average and about 151 mmb higher than a year ago. Comparing total inventories to the pre-glut average (end-2014), stocks are 392 mmb above that average.

EIA

Crude Production

Production averaged 11.0 mmbd last week, up 500,000 b/d from the prior week, and 10.950 mmbd over the past 4 weeks, off 10.6 % v. a year ago. In the year-to-date, crude production averaged 12.311 mmbd, up 1.7 % v. last year, about 200,000 barrels per day higher than a year ago. Continue reading "Analysis Of The EIA Statistics"

World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, June 2020

The Energy Information Administration released its Short-Term Energy Outlook for June, and it shows that OECD oil inventories likely bottomed June 2018 at 2.802 billion barrels. It estimated stocks built by 94 million barrels in May to end at 3.358 billion, 442 million barrels higher than a year ago.

For 2020, OECD inventories are projected to build by 243 million barrels to 3.133 billion. For 2021 it forecasts that stocks will draw by 273 million barrels to end the year at 2.860 billion.

Oil

The EIA forecast was made after the OPEC+ decision to cut production and exports. According to OPEC’s press release: Continue reading "World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, June 2020"

U.S. Crude Oil Production Peaked In November

The Energy Information Administration reported that March crude oil production averaged 12.716 million barrels per day (mmbd), down 28,000 b/d from February. Reductions occurred in the Gulf of Mexico (41,000 b/d) North Dakota (19,000 b/d), and Colorado (13,000 b/d). Because of the oil price war and demand destruction, the collapse in oil prices likely undercut output in March, but the substantial drop in production started in April.

Texas production rose by 67,000 b/d to an all-time high of 5.422 mmbd.

Crude Oil

The gains from last April were still 824,000 b/d. And this number only includes crude oil. Other supplies (liquids) that are part of the petroleum supply fell 490,000 b/d from a year ago. Continue reading "U.S. Crude Oil Production Peaked In November"

U.S. Crude Inventories Continue To Climb

According to the Energy Information Administration, U.S. crude inventories (excluding SPR) built by 14.9 million barrels last week to 1.415 billion, whereas SPR stock built by 2.1 million. They stand 129 mmb above the rising, rolling 5-year average and about 129 mmb higher than a year ago. Comparing total inventories to the pre-glut average (end-2014), stocks are 356 mmb above that average.

Oil Stocks

Crude Production

Production averaged 11.400 mmbd last week, down 100,000 b/d from the prior week, and 11.600 mmbd over the past 4 weeks, off 4.9 % v. a year ago. In the year-to-date, crude production averaged 12.580 mmbd, up 4.2 % v. last year, about 500,000 barrels per day higher than a year ago. Continue reading "U.S. Crude Inventories Continue To Climb"