Federal Reserve Policy Failures Are Mounting

By Lacy H. Hunt, Ph.D., Economist

The Fed's capabilities to engineer changes in economic growth and inflation are asymmetric. It has been historically documented that central bank tools are well suited to fight excess demand and rampant inflation; the Fed showed great resolve in containing the fast price increases in the aftermath of World Wars I and II and the Korean War. In the late 1970s and early 1980s, rampant inflation was again brought under control by a determined and persistent Federal Reserve.

However, when an economy is excessively over-indebted and disinflationary factors force central banks to cut overnight interest rates to as close to zero as possible, central bank policy is powerless to further move inflation or growth metrics. The periods between 1927 and 1939 in the U.S. (and elsewhere), and from 1989 to the present in Japan, are clear examples of the impotence of central bank policy actions during periods of over-indebtedness.

Four considerations suggest the Fed will continue to be unsuccessful in engineering increasing growth and higher inflation with their continuation of the current program of Large Scale Asset Purchases (LSAP): Continue reading "Federal Reserve Policy Failures Are Mounting"

"Saturday Seminars" - Avoiding Trading Mistakes

Whether you are a novice or an experienced trader, sometimes the markets leave you feeling like either an idiot, a moron or both. Trading professional Mark Cook shows you how to conquer trading mistakes and get back on the right track.

In his workshop he shows you what to do when your winning percentage drops, how to adjust position size for different trading environments and how to build your confidence. His methods will help you achieve trading consistency but, should your capital erode, his insights will also show you how to rebuild your capital base.

Mark will explain the importance of knowing...

  • Your Market Environment
  • Your Unique Trading Style
  • The Speed of the Horse
  • The Capital Needed

A trader for twenty-two years, Mark Cook operates from his family's 1870s farmhouse in East Sparta, Ohio. He manages his own and client's accounts and offers a fax advisory service, Mark D. Cook's Trader's Fax, on S&P and T-Bond futures and OEX options, that is specifically dedicated to helping people become better traders. His own early trading years were difficult, but as he struggled for success, he gained valuable experience and learned what makes - and breaks - a trader. Mark developed the Cook Cumulative Tickā„¢ Indicator and gained acclaim by winning the 1992 U.S. Investment Championship with a 563.8% return. He has written numerous articles for industry publications including Futures magazine, Financial Trader and Barron's and was featured in Forbes magazine (January 1994). In addition to his trading activities, he conducts workshops and teaches traders from around the globe, helping them learn how to make the most of their natural talents. Mark D. Cook was selected for Jack D. Schwager's new book, Stock Market Wizards, due for release shortly. Mr. Schwager previously wrote the best selling books, Market Wizards and The New Market Wizards. Now Mr. Schwager is placing emphasis on traders proficient in the stock market with years of successful track record, which characterizes Mark D. Cook's market timing techniques.

---

For more audio and video seminars please visit INO TV