I wrote about oil refiners – and the phenomenal performance of their stocks – on Monday. Today I'm writing about another energy sector that has been hot the last few weeks; namely, solar stocks.
Let's take First Solar (Nasdaq:FSLR), for example. Here's a stock that's gone from $70/share 6 months ago to $40/share 1 month ago, and now almost back to $60.
FSLR's all-time high is over $300, back in the summer of 2008. The stock spent the rest of '08 crashing, but then stabilized until February 2011, when FSLR peaked around $175 before crashing all the way to $12 in May 2012 (see chart from Yahoo! Finance, below). From that low point, FSLR enjoyed a nice, even, steady uptrend for the next 2 years. On June 20, 2014, when oil peaked at just above $107/barrel, FSLR was trading around $70 per share. FSLR's $30 haircut from June 2014 – January 2015 almost perfectly coincided with oil's big decline. Solar investors, of course, understand that solar becomes a more attractive energy alternative when oil prices are high, and vice versa. Continue reading "Solar Stocks Heat Up"
Yesterday I talked about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and how this company could skyrocket based on the potential high prices at the pump and the potential lack of availability of petroleum products.
Today I am going to be taking a similar view, but with a different company, First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR). When this company first came on the scene, it moved dramatically higher and in a matter of months was trading well over $300 a share, back in 2008. Since that time, the stock has generally drifted lower for the last several years until hitting a low in June of 2012. After trading below $12, the market has made a steady recovery to where we are today, around $70 a share. I certainly hope no one out there has been holding onto any shares since $300.
I am bullish on FSLR based on a number of factors. The Trade Triangles are all positive, we are in a strong uptrend, and this market could complete a classic Fibonacci retracement that would take it back over the $100 a share level. This stock has also shown a remarkable cyclic tendency and we are presently in a cyclic up-cycle right now.
As I stated in my piece on Tesla, the energy problem is going to remain and probably will deteriorate as the Middle East could go down in flames.
1. Cyclic high periods
2. Cyclic low periods
3. Fibonacci target zone between $94 and $113
Continue reading "Another Way to Play the Upcoming Energy Crisis"