WoW! Gold's Wall of Worry

By Gary Tanashian

May 8, 2012

Excerpted from this week's newsletter, NFTRH186:

Gold is grinding out a wall of worry that began construction out of a natural unwinding of the momentum that came in during the acute phase of the Euro crisis. More bricks were added weekly by various luminaries calling bearish; the most recent being Buffett’s right hand man, Charlie Munger: “Gold is a great thing to sew into your garments if you’re a Jewish family in Vienna in 1939 but civilized people don’t buy gold – they invest in productive businesses.”

The Munger quote was forwarded by a subscriber as was another piece by an analyst extrapolating George Lindsay’s work to forecast a coming “Thelma & Louise moment” (as in cliff dive) for gold. Add to the list an analyst calling ‘buy’ on US stocks and ‘sell’ on gold (after the Au-SPX ratio has made a long consolidation to support) and the first few minutes of this BNN interview with respected geologist Brent Cook http://watch.bnn.ca/ - clip671131 (“we’re going to see some real destruction across the board in the junior sector”) and we can see the makings of some nasty sentiment that is
opposite the over bullish condition we noted was so dangerous last summer. Continue reading "WoW! Gold's Wall of Worry"

30 year / 2 year yield curve forecasting deflation event directly ahead?

By Gary Tanashian

The 30 year / 2 year Treasury yield curve has been on a steady march higher since 2007.  This makes sense since that was the year things started falling apart in inflated, debt saturated developed global economies, led by the nation that showed 'em how it's done when it comes to economic management by inflation; the US.

When long term yields are rising faster than short term yields, it is a sign of stress building toward either a breakout in inflation expectations or, as has been the case thus far since 2007 (and really, since the age of Inflation onDemand began in 2001), impending reversal of the excesses.  Unfortunately, in an age where economies are managed by inflation (by monetization of Treasury/Sovereign debt in service to increasing money supplies) these reversals tend to be shall we say, violent. Continue reading "30 year / 2 year yield curve forecasting deflation event directly ahead?"

Turds & Gladiators

By way of NFTRH subscriber MetalAugmentor, a reputable and hard working mining stock fundamental research service to which I also subscribe, comes this thread talking about an entity called Turd Ferguson.

Turd is an offshoot of Zero Hedge, is apparently a really popular blogger among gold bugs and is cooking up plans to do battle with the 'cartel'.  'Silverax' also highlights Jim Sinclair and his own Golden Idea on how to break the cartel.  When I read something like "what we need is Maximus, the financial gladiator" I just cringe. Continue reading "Turds & Gladiators"