Learn to Label Elliott Waves More Accurately

Are you looking for an easy way to improve your confidence as you analyze the charts you trade? Take a quick look at this chart (adapted from Jeffrey Kennedy's December 26 Elliott Wave Junctures lesson) to see how divergence relationships help clarify your analysis.

According to Jeffrey, divergence relationships are easy to identify. Whenever prices make a new extreme, look for underlying indicators to move in the opposite direction. Specifically,

The momentum relationship most often seen in waves 3 and 5 is divergence. Bullish divergence forms when prices make a new low while an accompanying indicator does not. Conversely, bearish divergence occurs when prices register a new high while an accompanying indicator does not. Bullish and bearish divergences are common to waves A and C, just as they are waves 3 and 5.

Notice the bearish divergence between waves 3 and 5 in the daily price chart of Halliburton Company (HAL) -- Prices reach a new high, yet the MACD indicator moves in the opposite direction: Continue reading "Learn to Label Elliott Waves More Accurately"

Silver is in a Bear Flag

Seeking Alpha has only 3 entries under the ‘Gold & Precious Metals’ section of its most recent ‘Macro View’ email notice:

  1. Silver: Another Decade of 500% Returns is Possible
  2. Silver: Are We Ready Yet for the Rally to $60+?
  3. Silver is Set to Explode in 2013

To be fair, the second article highlights lower near-term targets prior to a rally to $60+ and this brings me to my point; silver is in a bear flag.  I too am bullish on Ag and Au in 2013, but the charts are the charts and silver’s daily chart targets 27-28 first, which we have been noting in the newsletter despite a recent change to a bullish risk vs. reward stance on the precious metals complex. Continue reading "Silver is in a Bear Flag"

Don't Expect the News to Tell You Where EUR/USD Is Going Next

By Elliott Wave International

On December 27, EUR/USD shot up as high as $1.3283. Forex news headlines were quick to comment:

"Dec 27 - The euro slightly extended gains against the dollar after strong U.S. new home sales data last month further lifted the market's appetite for riskier currencies."

But after EUR/USD hit that high, it promptly reversed and fell back down to the $1.3200 level, where it had been stuck all week.

You may ask: What happened to that "appetite for riskier currencies"? Continue reading "Don't Expect the News to Tell You Where EUR/USD Is Going Next"

Chart to Watch - ALXN

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALXN).

I hope you are having a GREAT Holiday week !

This week let's take a look at ALXN which could possibly be putting in a Head and Shoulders top.

ALXN slammed down off the high which put in a red monthly MarketClub Trade Triangle.

Since the low made in November 2012, ALXN has made a weak counter trend rally which has put in a green weekly MarketClub Trade Triangle. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - ALXN"

Weekly Futures Recap with Mike Seery

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Precious Metal Prices--- The precious metals this week were relatively quiet due to the fact that the fiscal cliff announcement comes out in just a couple of days keeping gold below its 20 and 100 day moving average right near a 4 month low trading right around 1, 655 down around $5 dollars for the week as traders are unwilling to stick their neck out before the December 31st fiscal cliff announcement while silver futures are still trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average down around 20 cents for the week as well with major support at 29.70 right near a 4 month low with traders being very cautious going into the holiday weekend. Copper futures were Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap with Mike Seery"