"The Bank Was Saved, and the People Were Ruined"

By Jeff Thomas, International Man

The above quote is from William Gouge, commenting on the Panic of 1819. The panic had been caused when the First Bank of the United States had first expanded the money supply dramatically by offering loans, then contracted the money supply by tightening its requirements for new loans, causing a crash.

This is a useful quote, as, in its simplicity, it states the very nature of crashes brought on by irresponsible banking practices. In every case in which this occurs, it is possible through the complicity of the government of the day.

The origin of this syndrome goes back to Mayer Rothschild, a very clever fellow who, in the late 18th century, offered financial benefits to politicians in Germany in trade for political support for whatever activities his bank might practice. Rothschild was a long-term thinker; his method involved the offering of regular emoluments to politicians without their having to provide him with anything immediately. Then, when he needed a large favour, he would call it in.

Movie buffs may see a similarity between Rothschild's method and the deals made by Don Corleone in The Godfather. "Some day - and that day may never come - I'll call upon you to do a service for me."

Rothschild created boom-and-bust cycles which were highly profitable for his bank, but depended upon the support of the government when the "bust" part came along. Continue reading ""The Bank Was Saved, and the People Were Ruined""

How to Trade E-mini Price Channels

Trading Price Channels is a dynamic yet easy to learn form of trading that relies on the markets natural tendency to trend. It is a type of technical analysis that provides ideal areas from which to buy and sell. Price Channels also show you where to put your stop-loss and where to take your profit. Here are a few of the best ways to take advantage of information the market freely gives you.

STOP ORDERS DO NOT NECESSARILY LIMIT YOUR LOSS TO THE STOP PRICE BECAUSE STOP ORDERS, IF THE PRICE IS HIT, BECOME MARKET ORDERS AND, DEPENDING ON MARKET CONDITIONS, THE ACTUAL FILL PRICE CAN BE DIFFERENT FROM THE STOP PRICE. IF A MARKET REACHED ITS DAILY PRICE FLUCTUATION LIMIT, A “LIMIT MOVE”, IT MAY BE IMPOSSIBLE TO EXECUTE A STOP LOSS ORDER.

In technical analysis, a Price Channel is defined by two parallel trend lines. The upper trend line connects price highs and the lower trend line connects price lows. Here are examples of 3 types of Price Channels. Continue reading "How to Trade E-mini Price Channels"

Brock Salier Unlocks the Secrets of Gold Miner Valuations

The Gold Report: Brock, your research suggests that the production margins of gold companies are near all-time highs. Why has that not translated to share price appreciation?

Brock Salier: The weak equity markets play a role in the disconnect between gold prices and gold equities, but a lot has to do with maturing gold assets.

A lot of gold mines were funded between 2007 and 2009 and commissioned between 2008 and 2010. Most companies typically mine above their reserve grade for the first one to three years to speed capital and debt repayments. But, if they have not found an expansion and completed a feasibility study, or if they lack a new mine to develop, that grade has to fall. As production falls, cost rises and share prices legitimately fall along with profits.

TGR: Can you go into a bit more detail about that concept, which is known as "high grading?" Continue reading "Brock Salier Unlocks the Secrets of Gold Miner Valuations"

Gold Chart of the Week

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (10-8 through 10-12)

We begin this week at the bottom end of a three week range in December Gold futures. Since Thursdays test of the early March high near $1800, we have settled back almost thirty dollars an ounce on Columbus Day in the Unites States. Bonds will be closed today, while equities and other markets will be trading on lighter volume.

After the United States reported Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday, the sentiment in the markets overall has been mixed. The number sent many futures contracts rallying to chart resistance Friday, only to run into profit taking shortly thereafter. It is clear that NFP takes a back seat to the continued worries in Europe. Continue reading "Gold Chart of the Week"

REE Stocks Are Down but Not Out: Siddharth Rajeev

The Critical Metals Report: Siddharth, despite the poor price performance of critical metals equities since the fall of 2011, most of the prices for the underlying commodities have indicated relatively stable demand. What's your view?

Siddharth Rajeev: It's tough to generalize on the mining sector because each critical element has its own supply and demand drivers. We have a positive outlook on a few elements; this is not so with others. However, it's true that commodity prices have not dropped as much as equities. If you look at industry data, you can see that mining companies are in a much better position now compared to four or five years ago. For example, the margins, return on equity and balance sheets of gold and copper producers have improved significantly over the past five years. Despite that, why is the TSX Venture, 50% of which is comprised of mining companies, down by 60%? I believe that the market is overreacting, just as it did in 2008. Therefore, we believe there is a good opportunity to buy quality assets at this time at cheap valuations. Continue reading "REE Stocks Are Down but Not Out: Siddharth Rajeev"