Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the April contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,324 an ounce while currently trading at 1,317 down about $7 for the trading week near a two week low. I'm not involved in this commodity, however, I am looking for a possible short position in next week's trade once the chart structure improves. In my opinion gold prices could retest the March 1st low of around 1,303 as we are now trading under their 20-day moving average, but still above their 100-day moving average as this market remains choppy to sideways in the short-term. The U.S dollar looks to have bottomed out and that would be a negative towards the precious metals as silver remains very weak as well as the commodities, in general, have turned negative due to the Trump tariffs which are rattling the markets as we are worried about repercussions coming out of China sending prices lower. Volatility in gold remains relatively low as a double top looks to have been created around the 1,365 level so look to play this to the downside. I think the path of least resistance is to the downside, but wait for the risk/reward to become in your favor; however, I am certainly not recommending a bullish position.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
VOLATILITY:INCREASING

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

Silver futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 16.46 an ounce while currently trading at 16.60 up about 14 cents for the trading week experiencing some rather high volatility which is good to see as we are still stuck in a five week consolidation chart pattern. I will be recommending a bullish position if silver breaks 17.03 which is about $0.40 away as we could be involved in next week's trade as the chart structure is excellent at the current time as I am still bullish, but I have no recommendations in the precious metals presently. Silver prices are still trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average as this trend remains mixed to lower in my opinion as this has been very choppy over the last six months as I do think we are in a longer-term bottoming out pattern as historically speaking I think silver prices are very cheap. The U.S dollar is still hovering at a three year low as that market currently is in a sideways pattern as the U.S dollar is lending very little support to silver prices. However, demand will start to come back into this market. The U.S. monthly unemployment number showed that 800,000 people came back into the workforce as that is a good thing towards commodity prices & will spur demand so keep a close eye on this market as we could be involved in next week's trade as the risk/reward would be in your favor in my opinion.
TREND: LOWER - MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
VOLATILITY: INCREASING

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the April contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,330 an ounce while currently trading at 1,326 down about $4 for the trading week. However, its currently trading up $18 as money flows are coming out of the equity market and into the precious metals as a flight to quality. I'm not involved in gold as this market remains reasonably choppy in my opinion as we did hit a two month low in yesterday's trade as the chart structure is very poor which tells you that the monetary risk is too high to enter into a bullish or bearish position. Gold prices are still trading under their 20 and 100-day moving average as the short-term trend is the downside with a possible double top created around the 1,365 level. I still see choppiness ahead so avoid this market at the current time and look at other stronger trends that are developing. The U.S. stock market has dropped about 1200 points over the last four days as that's what is finally starting to support prices. The U.S. dollar hit a six week high in yesterday's trade, and that is also keeping a lid on prices here in the short-term. I will wait for a better chart pattern to develop before entering into a position. If you take a look at the daily chart there is major support around the 1,300 level as in yesterday's trade we traded as low as 1,303, and I suspect that will be strong support in the weeks ahead.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
VOLATILITY: SOLID

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

10-Year Note Futures

The 10-year note in the March contract is currently at 120/23 trading higher for the 2nd consecutive session after settling last Friday in Chicago at 120/18 having a hard time cracking through the 120/00 level was that had been tested on multiple times only to rally. I've recommended a bearish position on several contracts over the last several months, and if you took the trade, the stop loss come Monday's session will be lowered to 121/07 as the chart structure is outstanding due to low volatility. The 10-year note is currently yielding about 2.86% as it is unable to crack the critical 3% level in recent weeks. However, I remain bearish as I think this is just the calm before the storm and I still believe higher interest rates are coming. The U.S. stock market is higher this Friday afternoon, and generally, that sends a bearish tone towards the bond market. But not in today's case as we will await next Friday's monthly employment number which should send high volatility back into the bond sector so stay short & continue to place the proper stop loss and let's see what Monday's trade brings. The 10-year note is still trading far below its 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend is still to the downside despite the recent rally over the last couple of days as I will be looking at adding another short position if the 120/00 level is broken possibly in next weeks trade.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
VOLATILITY: LOW

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

The silver price for the March contract settled last Friday in New York at 16.13 an ounce while currently trading at 16.76 up about 60 cents for the trading week due to the weakness in the U.S. dollar also coupled with a higher than expected CPI inflation report sending silver prices near a two-week high. I'm not involved in silver & if you have read my previous blogs, you understand that longer-term I am bullish silver as I think its extraordinarily cheap and if you're not a trader but an investor I still think prices will head into the $20 level later this year. Silver prices are still slightly below their 20 & 100-day moving average as this market really has been choppy over the last six months with very little trend. I think that will change as I will not take a short position as I do think the downside is very limited. The U.S. dollar hit a three-year low this week as that is helping keep a floor under silver prices and many other sectors, but for the bullish momentum to continue prices have to crack the 17.50 level as the volatility is starting to increase and should become more violent down the road. Growth in the United States and worldwide is coming back as the tax cuts will certainly push the economy higher in my opinion coupled with the fact of the massive infrastructure plan which is going to help lift commodities. I do think almost all asset classes will continue to climb as the stagnant economy is behind us the 1st time in nearly a decade.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
VOLATILITY: INCREASING

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"