Week To Forget But A Month To Remember

Sure, this week has been rough for traders and the markets overall, but it was a great month. Weeks like this are reminders to separate yourself from the recent daily volatility and look at the long-term trend. How do you do this? I'll show you in today's video.

As for the overall markets, let's get into it. Friday was as volatile as they come, with the Dow dropping -1.5% or -475 pts. The S&P 500 had lost -2.5% but pushed back strong into the close but fell just short of finishing in the green with a loss of -.48% or -18.49 pts, and while the NASDAQ shed -3.5% early in the day, it also bounced back to post a daily gain of +.56% or +72.91.

The S&P 500 is down -2.45% for the week, on pace for its second negative week in a row. The DOW has fallen -1.8%, and the NASDAQ way underperformed this week with its worst week since October, losing -4.9% on the week.

Now, this is where looking at the long-term trends can give you some sanity. Continue reading "Week To Forget But A Month To Remember"

Yellen Calls For More Stimulus

The stock market was on the move higher in early trading Friday after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said a large Covid-19 relief package is needed for a full recovery in the U.S. However, it has slipped to a mixed-mode as it headed into afternoon trading to close out the week with the DOW gaining roughly +48%, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ fighting to stay in positive territory for the day.

Yellen told CNBC Thursday after the bell that more stimulus is necessary even as some economic data suggested a rebound is already underway. She added a $1.9 trillion stimulus deal could help the U.S. get back to full employment in a year. Continue reading "Yellen Calls For More Stimulus"

Records, Records and More Records

Stocks will end this record-setting week at or near record levels, with the S&P 500 gaining +.9% for the week, the DOW +.8%, and the NASDAQ outperforming with a gain of +1.4%. The records set this week by the three main indexes are as follows, S&P 500 - 1,931.50, DOW - 31,543.82, and the NASDAQ - 14,109.12.

On a weekly level, the market started hot on Monday but has steadily cooled off into the close on Friday after the record levels were achieved. As we head into the finale, the S&P 500 is looking at a daily gain of roughly +.10, the DOW has been waffling between gains and losses and is down about -.11% as I recorded this video, and the NASDAQ is up the same as the S&P 500 with an increase of +.10%. Continue reading "Records, Records and More Records"

Markets Shake Off Disappointing Jobs Number

The Labor Department said the U.S. added 49,000 jobs in January, slightly below the 50,000 payrolls expected by economists. The unemployment rate fell to 6.3%, better than projections of 6.7%. December's numbers were revised much lower, with the month posting a loss of 227,000 from the initial reading of 140,000 jobs lost.

After suffering their worst week in months, the major indexes will wrap up the week with five straight days of gains ending with their best week since November. The S&P 500 will post a weekly gain of +4.7%, the DOW +3.9%, and the NASDAQ will outperform with a significant gain of +6%.

The U.S. dollar continues to push higher with a weekly gain of +1% and trading back above $91 for the first time since November. This week's gain will mark back-to-back weekly gains for the dollar. Continue reading "Markets Shake Off Disappointing Jobs Number"

Stock Market Feels The Squeeze

The DOW dropped more than 600 pts Friday to finish January with its worst week since October losing over -3.2%. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ couldn't avoid a selloff, with both indexes losing -3.3% and -3.4%, respectively. The reason for the losses, a short squeeze of all short squeezes.

It started on January 25th when a group of retail investors identified Gamestop Corp (GME) as a buy on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum. This group of day traders continued to encourage each other to pile into GameStop's shares and call options, creating a massive short squeeze that inflicted pain for hedge funds betting against the stock. So much so that the trading app, Robinhood, seized trading mid-week of GME stock as well as several other stocks. After resuming trading Thursday, Robinhood has been limiting the number of shares that the retail investor can purchase.

All told, the short-selling hedge funds have suffered a loss of nearly 20 billion year to date, including a nearly $8 billion loss on Friday as the GME kept ripping higher. Still, short-sellers mostly are holding onto their bearish positions, or they are being replaced by new hedge funds willing to bet against the stock. GameStop shares that have been borrowed and sold short have declined by just about 5 million over the last week, marking an 8% dip in the short interest, according to S3. Most of the short-covering occurred on Thursday when the stock fell for the first time in six days, according to data from S3 Partners. Continue reading "Stock Market Feels The Squeeze"