Trump Sinks Stocks With Trade Comments

Hello traders everywhere. Stocks are falling sharply Tuesday experiencing their biggest losses since October after President Trump suggested he may want to delay a trade deal with China until after the 2020 presidential election.

The DOW sank more than 400 points, triggering a new red weekly Trade Triangle indicating a move to the sidelines is in order. The S&P 500 slid 1.2% losing over 37 points, also triggering a new red weekly Trade Triangle. The Nasdaq fell 1.3% but has yet to issue a sell signal, which will come at 8,425.49.

Some stocks of companies with higher-than-average overseas sales exposure underperformed the broader market: Caterpillar slid -2.5%, Intel dropped -2%, and Apple lost -2.7%.

"In some ways, I like the idea of waiting until after the election for the China deal, but they want to make a deal now, and we will see whether or not the deal is going to be right," Trump told reporters earlier on Tuesday. When asked if he had a deal deadline, he added: "I have no deadline, no ... In some ways, I think it is better to wait until after the election if you want to know the truth." Continue reading "Trump Sinks Stocks With Trade Comments"

Brokers Go Commission Free - Options Paradise

TD Ameritrade, Fidelity, Charles Schwab, and E-Trade are following in Robinhood's footsteps and offering commission-free trading on all stocks, ETFs, and options trading! This presents an options trader’s paradise and serves as a great time to start trading options as these commissions are no longer cutting into your profit margins. This is vital since maximizing the number of trade occurrences is one of the many reasons why options trading is so effective over the long term. Over the past 14 months, an options-based portfolio demonstrated the effectiveness of this strategy against the traditional stock-picking approach.

Primarily sticking with dividend-paying large-cap stocks across a diversity of tickers that are liquid in the options market is a great way to generate superior returns with less volatility over the long term. Over the past 14 months, 343 trades have been made with a win rate of 87% and a premium capture of 58% across 70 different tickers. Moreover, when stacked up against the S&P 500, an options strategy generated a return of 10.3% compared to the S&P 500 index, which returned 8.2% over the same period. These returns demonstrate the resilience of these high-risk options trading in both bear and bull markets (Figures 1 and 2).

Options Trading
Figure 1 – 14-month cumulative returns of an options-based strategy compared to the S&P 500 returns over the same time period
Continue reading "Brokers Go Commission Free - Options Paradise"

Bitcoin Drops To Six-Month Low

Hello traders everywhere. Bitcoin's price has briefly dropped below $7,000, hitting an intra-day low of $6,785, its lowest level since May 17, 2019, when it hit a low of $6,178. This move lower has wiped out the +30% single-day gain on Oct. 25, 2019, that had pulled Bitcoin out of a long-term downtrend or bear market. Bitcoin triggered a new red weekly Trade Triangle at the beginning of the week, signaling entry into a long-term downtrend and indicating that a move lower could be on the horizon. That was the start of what would be a -15% loss for the week.

What's ahead for Bitcoin? With this move lower Bitcoin is now trading below its 50-day MA, the MACD has turned lower, and the RSI is no below the 30 level which would lead you to believe that a move lower in on the horizon. Our key level to watch will be $9,586.50. A move above that level will trigger a green weekly Trade Triangle indicating a move to a sidelines position.

Stocks rose Friday for the first time in four days after President Trump said China and the U.S. were nearing a trade deal. Trump told Fox News both sides were very close to reaching a trade agreement, nothing: "We have a very good chance to make the deal." His comments came after Chinese President Xi Jinping said Friday that Beijing wants to work for a trade deal with the U.S. but is not afraid to “fight back.” Xi also told a visiting U.S. business delegation that China holds a ‘positive attitude’ toward the trade talks. Continue reading "Bitcoin Drops To Six-Month Low"

Target (TGT) and The Monthly Trade Triangles

There's no doubt that Target (TGT) has been one of the hottest stocks of the year capping off the year with a move to a record high of $125.32, gaining over +12% on the day. Target has gained +67% on the year. The question is, have you been in on this historic run? As a MarketClub member, did you use the monthly Trade Triangles to enter the Target trade?

Today I'm going to use Target (TGT) as an example of how you can use the monthly Trade Triangles to capture long-term profits while making minimum trades and letting your money do the work for you.

There were a total of seven trades dating back to 2/23/2012, 5 winning trades and two losing trades resulting in a profit of +$74.43 a share.


Click on the image to enlarge

First, let's review the rules for trading the Monthly Trade Triangles.

Monthly Trade Triangles determine the overall long-term trend and the entry points and exit points. Continue reading "Target (TGT) and The Monthly Trade Triangles"

Indexes Hit Record Highs On Trade Optimism

Hello traders everywhere. The DOW hit a record high Friday after White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said China and the U.S. were getting close to reaching a trade deal trading 120 points higher. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ also hit all-time highs, climbing +0.6% and +0.7%, respectively.

Trade-sensitive names such as Caterpillar, Boeing, Apple, and Micron Technology all rose at least +0.5%. Gold, meanwhile, gained +.60% for the week trading at $1,472.10 per ounce. Crude oil, however, hasn't had the same fate losing -.35% on the week entering a sidelines position, much like gold.

The U.S. Dollar continues to trade right around the $98 level, and we're waiting on a breakout above $98.39 to give us a green weekly Trade Triangle, which would indicate a move to a long-term uptrend. On the flip side, Bitcoin continues to be stuck in a tight trading range, but we could get a move lower if it breaks below $8,363, triggering a red weekly Trade Triangle. Continue reading "Indexes Hit Record Highs On Trade Optimism"