Category: General

Indian Stocks: You Want a REAL Opportunity? Know WHEN to Look for It

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Why the Nifty and many other emerging market stocks screamed "Buy!" three months ago

By Elliott Wave International

From Elliott Wave International's February Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast (published Feb. 7):

...Bloomberg reports that "more than $7 billion flowed from ETFs investing in developing-nation assets in January, the most since the securities were created." Such massive selling...supports our view that emerging markets are ending large-degree three-wave declines.

Conventional observers are asking the question, "Is this 1997 all over again?" (The Economist)

The way we see it, the return of such headlines in January supports another significant low now -- from a contrarian perspective.

EWI's Asian-Pacific Short Term Update editor Chris Carolan soon echoed those bullish views. Here is a forecast the APSTU made for India's Nifty Index on March 4:

The strong short-term Nifty rally has pushed prices above their upper daily Keltner channel resistance level.

Look for this [rally] up to push through the 2014 highs at 6400 in coming sessions.

The intraday Keltner channel slope is steep, indicating this trend has enough strength for sharp short-term gains.

You've already picked up on the indicators we used to turn bullish on emerging markets in general, and on India in particular: Continue reading "Indian Stocks: You Want a REAL Opportunity? Know WHEN to Look for It" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract basically traded unchanged for the trading week with very little volatility as this market has gone sideways over the last 7 weeks and is looking to breakout soon in my opinion. If you look at the daily chart we are starting to form a tight wedge and I do think if prices break the critical level of 1,265 the bear market will continue however if prices break out above 1,310 a bottom might be in place and time will only tell so at this point I’m sitting on the sidelines as there is no trend in this market, however this is starting to become an interesting chart, so keep a close eye on those 2 price levels as the longer we consolidate the more powerful the breakout becomes. Gold futures are trading just an eyelash below their 20 and 100 day moving average as volatility is extremely low at the current time so if you’re bullish this market I would look at bull call option spreads because the premiums are relatively cheap and if you’re bearish this market I would look at bear put spreads limiting your risk to what the premium costs as gold certainly will become extremely volatile once again it’s just a matter of time.
TREND: SIDEWAYS
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Flying High With Apollo And Affiliates

Posted on by The INO.com Team

By: Tim Melvin

The top executives of Apollo Global Management (NYSE:APO) in the most recent earnings call outlined some areas where they see opportunity in the years ahead.

Benzinga covered this last week in an article revealing the company's thoughts on credit, energy and real estate services.

The management team at Apollo can trace their history in the markets all the way back to Michael Milken and Drexel Burnham Lambert, at one time a wildly successful private equity and alternative investment firm.

Apollo Global founder, Leon Black, was the head of Drexel's mergers and acquisitions department and formed Apollo Global following the collapse of Drexel in 1990. Their advice is worth listening to and best of all, Apollo has some publicly traded entities that allow investors to take advantage of their insights and ideas. Continue reading "Flying High With Apollo And Affiliates" →

Ink + Paper Doesn't Equal Value: Prechter on Fiat Money

Posted on by The INO.com Team

By: Elliott Wave International

My dad will turn 84 this year. When he was born, you could walk into a Federal Reserve Bank or the Treasury and redeem your paper money for gold. It actually said you could on every piece of U.S. paper currency:

"Redeemable in gold on demand at the United States Treasury, or in Gold or lawful money at any Federal Reserve Bank."

You can't do that today, which helps explain why my dad is so grumpy.

But, seriously, I mention my father to make it personal. The move away from the gold standard did happen in the lifetime of some folks who are still around. Is that such a big deal?

Well, it is a big deal when the government unilaterally changes all economic and financial transactions, from having a basis in something, to ... Continue reading "Ink + Paper Doesn't Equal Value: Prechter on Fiat Money" →

Chart of The Week - Live Cattle

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Live Cattle Futures Will Continue to Rise Throughout the Summer.

This week's focus turns to August Live Cattle Futures. I am sure many readers have seen the price of beef steadily increasing, especially as of late. In recent years, the state of Texas has been experiencing severe drought conditions which have significantly depleted the state's water source and has limited the amount of cattle that it produces. These conditions have caused ranchers to limit the amount of cattle output, or in some cases close up shop completely. We've had less and less supply to consume which has caused Live Cattle prices to steadily rise.

Over the coming summer months, I expect this trend to continue. US cattle herds are currently at a 54 year low. Along with already tight supply fundamentals, there have been almanac predictions for exceptionally hot conditions across much of the country, Texas included, in late June and through the month of July. The extreme seasonal weather that much of the country saw this past winter is expected to continue throughout the summer. I think that the conditions in Texas will continue to keep supply tight and increase the price of Live Cattle into the month of August.

The case for a bullish Live Cattle market is also strong on the technical side. We have seen a steep uptrend in Live Cattle futures since late last year. In the past 2 weeks, the market has consolidated its bullish move to form a perfect pennant pattern which is a continuation signal. If the market breaks this pennant formation strongly to the upside, the next near-term target would be 146.00. Continue reading "Chart of The Week - Live Cattle" →