Don't Drink The Froth In Tesla And Netflix's Cups

On Monday, the markets started the day with such promise only to have significant gains erased in seconds late in the day. One could assign blame on the Syria related press conference or just good old-fashioned profit taking.

The froth fizzles first and fastest...

Monday, traders saw how premiums come out fastest out of the frothy tickers. Two cases in point consider. First, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA): The stock opened up with the markets then at about 1:00 pm E.S.T the markets started the afternoon slide.

Tesla didn't even wait to see how shallow will the pullback be. The stock sold off all the way down to 160 and closed just above that and way off the day high. Similarly, traders saw almost exactly the same price action from another frothy name Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX). Continue reading "Don't Drink The Froth In Tesla And Netflix's Cups"

Using the MACD to Trade Binary options

Momentum in the capital markets is similar to the momentum of riding a bicycle especially down a hill.  The more speed a bicycle rider has, the further they are likely to go.  The same goes for market momentum, so the key is figuring out how to measure it, and use that information to generate trading signals.  One of the best tools to use to measure momentum is the MACD – Moving Average Convergence Divergence Index.  The MACD measures the difference between two moving average, referred to as the spread, and compares the spread to a moving average of the spread. Continue reading "Using the MACD to Trade Binary options"

Macro Markets Shrug Off Policy Makers, Ready for a Pivot

Once again we present the Treasury 'TICs' data for China and Japan, most recently available through June.  It can be argued that these two countries are the T bond market, when considering the volume in which they deal and their strategic status as heretofore T bond consumers.

tics

And now our long-running and most important macro chart, the 'Continuum' in long-term T bond yields; a monthly view of the 30 year yield and its 'limiter' AKA the 100 month exponential moving average (red line). Continue reading "Macro Markets Shrug Off Policy Makers, Ready for a Pivot"

Gold Chart of The Week

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report August 26th through August 30th

A late week recovery in equities was enough to keep markets guessing on a direction as we inch closer to the September 18th FOMC announcement.

In the first half of last week’s trade, US equities were under pressure as traders booked gains on long positions in anticipation of a taper from the FED. But by late week, the “buy the dip” mentality that has supported equities for months returned and stopped the bleeding.

Until global markets are finally given the FED’s final decision on their Quantitative Easing plans, I believe traders should expect similar market behavior to what we saw last week. In light volume Summer markets, we should expect decent volatility on any news in the US, and abroad. Lighter volume markets give investors and traders the ability to create exaggerated swings in price with larger lot orders. Continue reading "Gold Chart of The Week"