Navigating the US's Politicized Economy

By Terry Coxon, Casey Research

Absent the state's involvement in the workings of the marketplace, an investor's central task would be to evaluate companies for their ability to efficiently produce and market what customers want. Shrewdness at that one task would lead to the profits investors are looking for. And there would be other consequences.

The stocks of companies that succeeded in convincing investors that they had the right stuff (primarily through good performance) would be bid up. Stocks of companies that failed to make their case to investors would tend to drift down, and any company whose stock drifted low enough would become a takeover target. A takeover would replace underperforming management with a new team of officers and directors – individuals picked by the people who laid out their own money to buy enough shares to control the company.

That's how things work when the government isn't a player in the process. It's a marvel of efficiency and impartiality. Managers who serve investors by serving customers are rewarded. Investors who identify such managers are rewarded. Unskilled managers eventually lose the corporate positions that enable them to make wasteful, money-losing decisions. And investors who are blind to management weakness or who forgive it too willingly lose their own money. Continue reading "Navigating the US's Politicized Economy"

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Stocks Close Nearly Flat Despite Upbeat Jobs Report

After failing to sustain an early upward move, stocks gave back ground over the course of the trading day on Thursday before ending the session nearly flat. The pullback by the markets came as traders shrugged off an upbeat jobs report.

The major averages eventually ended the session mixed. While the S&P 500 inched up 0.28 points or less than a tenth of a percent to 1,432.84, the Dow edged down 18.58 points or 0.1 percent to 13,326.39 and the Nasdaq dipped 2.40 points or 0.1 percent to 3,049.38.

The early strength on Wall Street was partly due to bargain hunting, with traders picked up stocks at reduced levels following recent weakness. Continue reading "Stocks Close Nearly Flat Despite Upbeat Jobs Report"

Daily Video Update: Surprising jobless data propels the market

Hello traders everywhere! Jeremy Lutz with your mid-day market update for Thursday, the 11th of October.

A surprisingly big drop in weekly jobless claims have helped to stop the sell off Thursday despite news of a downgrade of Spain's sovereign credit rating.

The Labor Department reported that claims last week fell by 30,000 to 339,000, the lowest level since February 2008. The figures were another indication that the world's largest economy is over its summer soft patch and may be gaining traction.

Now, let's analyze the major markets and stocks on the move using MarketClub's Trade Triangle Technology.

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Jobless claims fall to 339K, fewest in 4 1/2 years

The number of Americans seeking unemployment aid plummeted last week to seasonally adjusted 339,000, the lowest level in more than four years. The sharp drop, if sustained, could signal a stronger job market.

The Labor Department said Thursday that weekly applications fell by 30,000 to the fewest since February 2008. The four-week average, a less volatile measure, dropped by 11,500 to 364,000, a six-month low.

The positive figures follow a report last week that said the unemployment rate fell in September to 7.8 percent. It was the first time since January 2009 that the rate dropped below 8 percent.

A Labor Department spokesman cautioned that the weekly unemployment aid applications can be volatile, particularly at the start of a quarter. And the spokesman said one large state accounted for much of the decline. The spokesman did not name the state. Continue reading "Jobless claims fall to 339K, fewest in 4 1/2 years"