This Little-Known Fed Index May Be Signaling Recession

Posted on by admin

By: David Sterman Street Authority

Over the past year, economists have noticed an unusual pattern as they digested the series of monthly reports on housing, consumer confidence, purchasing managers, trade flows and other key economic inputs.

These reports showed consistently mixed signals, though it was clear that the U.S. economy was faring OK. And that has led to hopes of more consistently positive reports in the second half of 2013 and into 2014. By next year, many economists have come to expect a firmer backdrop, with GDP perhaps growing in the 2.5% to 3% range.

Yet it may be time to start questioning that brightening outlook. Perhaps the greatest measure of economic activity -- one ignored by most investors, unfortunately -- is flashing yellow and may soon be flashing red.  Continue reading "This Little-Known Fed Index May Be Signaling Recession" →

Today's Video Update: Is The Correction Over?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and Co-creator of MarketClub, with your mid-day market update for Wednesday, the 26th of June.

Is The Correction Over For The Market, Or Are We Headed Lower?
A revision in the first quarter GDP from 2.42% to 1.8% did nothing to stop this market moving higher this morning. Once again, this proves that the fundamentals tend to lag the market by a country mile. I will be covering all of the indices in today's update. Continue reading "Today's Video Update: Is The Correction Over?" →

U.S. economy grows at slower 1.8 pct. rate in Q1

Posted on by The INO.com Team

The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 1.8 percent in the first three months of the year, significantly slower than first thought. The steep revision occurred mostly because consumers spent less than previously estimated, a sign that higher taxes could be dampening growth.

The Commerce Department revised its estimate of economic growth for the January-March quarter down from a 2.4 percent annual rate. The revised rate was still faster than the 0.4 percent rate in the October-December quarter.

Economists had thought growth in the April-June quarter would be 2 percent or less. Analysts had also expected growth to strengthen in the second half of this year. The downgrade for the January-March quarter will likely change those estimates. Continue reading "U.S. economy grows at slower 1.8 pct. rate in Q1" →

Are You Protected from Oil Price Downside?

Posted on by admin

The Energy Report: What have been the most important changes in the oil and gas markets since your last interview in February?

Chen Lin: Yes, there has been a major change: I turned bearish on China, and I warned my subscribers about that in Q1/13. I shorted copper, the Australian dollar and U.S. government bonds and I just booked a nice profit after the Fed decision. I also shorted oil as a hedge. I have short positions in both copper and oil.

TER: Where's the downside risk? Continue reading "Are You Protected from Oil Price Downside?" →

Listen and learn, a new way to improve your trading

Posted on by The INO.com Team

How would you like to have a top market analyst who has appeared and is frequently quoted by all the major financial channels, both here and in Asia, on call 24/7?

If that's an appealing proposal, then you won't want to miss today's video. It doesn't matter if you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran, you will want to watch this video. This is something that you have to see and listen to, to believe.

The video runs just under 5 minutes and I believe it will change the way you look and listen to the markets.

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So what are you waiting for? Let's get started right away!

Enjoy the video, and every success in your trading.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub