A Bigger Problem Than Contagion, Is the Human Problem

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Wednesday, the 16th of November.
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A bigger problem than contagion: The human problem.

I was thinking about this last night... There isn't anyone I know that has the slightest clue what's going on! With all due respect to some very smart people, no one who is living today has lived through the type of problems we have right now in Europe.

So far, it has been all about changing the governments in Italy and in Greece, but the performance benchmarks and the austerity measures that need to be put in place present a huge challenge for the populations of those countries.

I want you to give up 20% of everything you have, right now. Would you be happy with that? Of course not, nobody would, but that is exactly what is going to be the BIG PROBLEM. I call it the human equation. Continue reading "A Bigger Problem Than Contagion, Is the Human Problem"

The Reality of the Market

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Tuesday, the 15th of November.
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What I love about the markets is that unlike most politicians, they don't lie.

Is reality finally beginning to settle into the markets?

Things aren't going to get better right away. The magnitude of the problem in Europe and Spain's failure today to sell €3.5 billion of notes, underscores just how fragile the Euro economic system is right now. Europe is a big market for US and Asian products. If Europe is weak, it can't help but spread to other parts of the world.

As an example, one only has to look at Citigroup (symbol C) to know that things are not good.

We do not expect things to get better any time soon. If you look at a chart of capitalism over the last 100 years, you get a sense of how these longer-term economic cycles work. It is going to take us years, not months, to get these economic problems worked out. Continue reading "The Reality of the Market"

Italy and Greece Pass the Baton

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Monday, the 14th of November.
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Italy and Greece pass the baton to the technocrats, but does it really matter at this point?

As we start this trading week, we've seen a change in the governments of both Greece and Italy, as the rule of the technocrats is now upon us. They can make the hard decisions that politicians can't seem to, but it is a bitter pill for the citizens of those countries to swallow. The bigger problem, and one that is complex and not easy to solve, will be social unrest.

No matter how things are sliced and diced in Europe, there is still a mega amount of money owed to banks that needs to be reconciled. The way the markets are opening today, it would appear as though no one is easy with the current changes. It may just be a case of "buy the rumor and sell the news." Continue reading "Italy and Greece Pass the Baton"

First it was Greece, then it was Italy, now it's ...Weekend Update

Hello fellow traders everywhere. Adam Hewison here co-founder of MarketClub with your weekend update for the trading week ending on 11/11/11.

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First it was Greece, then it was Italy, now it's the Super Committee

Last week it was all about Greece and Italy, and while those two countries are not off our radar screen by a long shot, along comes the Super Committee. This closed door, 12 member committee, made up of members of the House and Senate could give the markets a Super Headache.

Investors are concerned about how this super committee is going to cut 1.2 trillion dollars in Continue reading "First it was Greece, then it was Italy, now it's ...Weekend Update"

Can Three Big Changes In Europe, Solve the Sovereign Debt Problem?

Hello traders everywhere, Adam Hewison here co-founder of MarketClub with your 1 P.M. market update for  Friday the 11th of November, Veteran's Day.
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CAN THREE BIG CHANGES IN EUROPE, SOLVE THE SOVEREIGN DEBT PROBLEM?

Greece's swearing-in of new Prime Minister Lucas Papademos is one change. The second change is a new president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi. The third change, and this is a big one, and has not taken place yet, is when and if Silvio Berlusconi resigns from office. Mario Monti, is apparently the front-runner for the job. Not a big deal for Italy to change governments as they have had over 60 new ones since 1948.

With all the changes taking place in Europe, it isn't going to change the overall dire financial picture overnight. Changing governments is one thing, that easy, getting the citizens of that country to accept draconian austerity measures is a totally different can of worms. Continue reading "Can Three Big Changes In Europe, Solve the Sovereign Debt Problem?"