If you haven't been paying attention to the gold (NYMEX:GC.Z16.E) market, you may have missed one of the most interesting moves of the year. As all the major indices have been trending lower gold has been doing just the reverse.
Here are the three positive indicators I see.
1. The weekly Trade Triangle is now green. It triggered on 11/01 at $1281.10
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged while saying the argument for higher borrowing costs strengthened further amid accelerating inflation, reinforcing expectations for a hike in December.
"The committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has continued to strengthen but decided, for the time being, to wait for some further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives," the FOMC said in a statement Wednesday following a two-day meeting in Washington. Fed officials confirmed their growing confidence that inflation is on track to reach their 2 percent target. The central bank said Wednesday that the pace of price gains "has increased somewhat since earlier this year" and that market-based measures of inflation compensation "have moved up." The committee also omitted previous language saying inflation would probably "remain low in the near term."
Oil continues to fall after a government report showed that U.S. crude oil inventory surged. Crude oil stockpiles rose 14.4 million barrels, or 3.1%, last week, according to the Energy Information Administration. It's the biggest gain since 2008 in percentage terms.
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Crude oil prices have fallen after news of deadlock at the OPEC meeting in Vienna. OPEC is trying to work out and implement the framework for an output reduction deal that was agreed to in September. A sit-down with non-OPEC producers including Brazil and Russia also appeared to end fruitlessly.
Stocks are little changed today, helped by positive economic data and investors reacting positively to a series of big mergers announced over the weekend and of, the presidential election. Along with the election, investors have two significant events on the economic calendar this week: a meeting of the Federal Reserve and the October jobs report. It’s almost certain that the Fed will not raise interest rates so close to the election and will wait until the December meeting to do so. However, any economic observations from the bank will be important to investors. The jobs report will be the last major piece of economic data out before the Nov. 8 election.
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Stocks have given back earlier gains after the Federal Bureau of Investigation announced it is investigating new emails related to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. The market's reaction was swift dropping -.50% across the three main indexes.
In other news today, the U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 2.9 percent in the third quarter as reported by the Commerce Department. The 2.9 percent clip marked the fastest economic growth in two years. Economists had forecasted that the GDP would rise at a 2.5 percent annual rate in the third quarter.
Despite the moderation in consumer spending, the third-quarter rise in growth could help dispel any lingering fears the economy was at risk of stalling. Over the first half of the year, growth had averaged just 1.1 percent.
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Oil prices rebounded briefly above $50 a barrel today after government data showed a surprise drop in U.S. crude inventories, offsetting skepticism over OPEC's planned output cut. Oil prices had fallen earlier on the back of bearish supply data from the American Petroleum Institute. U.S. commercial crude stockpiles fell by 553,000 barrels in the week ended Oct. 21, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
The Dow rose 50+ points after briefly dropping more than 100 points this morning. The S&P 500 has been neutral today as financials and energy offset losses in real estate and tech. The Nasdaq has fallen -.27% with Apple shedding about 3% on the day.