The Biggest Mistake Silver Investors and Traders Make

Last month I invited David Morgan Silver-Investor.com to come and do a guest blog post. Well we received a huge email and comment response to bring him back for more analysis.

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The Biggest Mistake Silver Investors and Traders Make!
Do you know what it is?

by David Morgan

To say that investors in the resource sector have been having a bumpy ride for the last six months would be the understatement of the year! Whether you hold mining stocks, buy physical precious metals, or play the futures market, it’s been hard to make dimes and easy to lose dollars. How is a trader supposed to keep his or her balance during these turbulent times, when gold and silver can make bigger up and down moves overnight than they normally do during the daytime session?

I’ve said many times that the market will seek to find and lay bare every weakness a trader has (both in personality and trading style). In order to survive and trade profitably, it is not enough just to become proficient in the mechanics of buying and selling. What is critical is to spend the time necessary to develop a thorough understanding of yourself.

An old Chinese saying that many of my readers have no doubt heard, but which in today’s market environment certainly bears repeating, goes:

If you know your opponent and yourself, you will be victorious in one hundred battles.
If you know only yourself, the odds are even.
If you know neither, there is great danger in one hundred battles.

Tony Burroughs of the Intenders tells us that, to a large extent, our reality is formed by the way we talk to ourselves. Almost always, the outcome of something we are doing will be more productive and positive if we “intend” rather than “try” or “hope.” When the markets are challenging, as they have been lately, “the novice buys into the doubt, but the ‘knower’ pushes the doubt aside and continues forward.”

Start by asking yourself if the reasons you initially invested in mining stocks and metals have changed. Do you believe the fundamentals are different now than they were a few months ago? Are your goals and how you plan to achieve them still aligned? Can you still focus on the larger, long-term picture and turn down the short-term noise?

If you believe, as I do, that this secular bull market for gold and silver has a long way to run, then you can more easily deal with current conditions, limit second-guessing, and make the trading decisions that will keep you in the game.

My friend Pat Gorman has spent much of his life helping others to develop the tools they need to succeed, as well as spending no small amount of time in the search for balance in walking his own path. He likes to speak of two important concepts that can help us stay centered and move forward professionally and personally. These concepts are discipline and gratitude.

Be disciplined in studying about the markets you choose to invest in, and then follow through on what you have learned. Just as important, take time on a regular basis to express your gratitude for what life has given you and the opportunities it presents. Sure the markets and the profit we hope to make from them are important. But doesn’t the real value in our lives rest with our relationships and the health of family, friends, and ourselves? Aren’t you privileged to live in a country that in spite of its many problems is still a beacon for millions of people from around the world?

Developing a thorough understanding about yourself and making sure your self-talk moves you in the direction of your personal and professional goals may not seem as exciting as pulling off a ten-bagger mining stock trade or catching a one-dollar move on a silver futures contract. But it really does offer the potential of helping your trading to become more consistent and enables it to flow with the market, regardless of what it is doing on a given day, week, or month.

Let’s face it. Not only is the market unaware that you exist, but it probably wouldn’t care, even if it knew. There are valid reasons for seeing the trading floors as battlefields, because that’s what they really are . . . titanic battles between bulls and bears.

When the day comes that you have developed a good understanding not only of the markets, but of yourself as well, you may then truly become “victorious in one hundred (trades) battles.” I’d say this is a very worthy endeavor. How about you?

Get Real, Buy Real,
David Morgan

Mr. Morgan is the founder of Silver-Investor.com and has followed the silver market daily for over thirty years. Much of this Web site is devoted to education about money, metals and mining.

Gold ends down but off 5-wk lows, eyes US data

By Frank Tang & Jon Harvey

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) - Gold ended 1 percent lower on Wednesday as the dollar climbed, oil prices feel and U.S. stocks rose, denting the precious metal's appeal.

Gold was at 918.80/920.30 by New York's last quote at 2:15 p.m. EDT, down from $928.45/929.65 late in New York on Monday.

Gold's decline was "pretty much forex related, and oil is coming down," said senior Commerzbank trader Michael Kempinski. "We need to see come stronger commodities in general, and a stronger euro, to push gold higher again."

The dollar rose to its highest level in a month against major currencies, pressuring bullion prices. Gold tends to move in the opposite direction of the U.S. currency, as it is often bought as an alternative investment.

Declining oil prices also dragged gold, as signs of weakening demand for crude and a rising dollar outweighed the supply threat linked to tensions in Iran and Nigeria. U.S. crude futures ended $2.54 lower at $122.19 a barrel.

Gold also dipped as U.S. stocks ticked up, dampening interest in the precious metal as an alternative investment.

"When crude oil goes down, gold also goes down with the stock market going up. Everyone is watching that correlation," said Adam Hewison, president of MarketClub.com in Annapolis, Maryland.

Hewison said gold should find support at current levels, but the $905 to $912 an ounce area represented a key support area. Should bullion fail to hold there, prices could test the lows set in June below $860 an ounce, he said.

Absent significant moves in oil and the dollar, gold prices should remain rangebound, analysts said, with physical buying muted during the low-demand summer season and exchange-traded funds' holdings steadying after recent gains.

U.S. gold futures for August delivery settled down $11.20, or 1.2 percent, at $916.50 an once on the COMEX division of New York Mercantile Exchange.

Gold traders awaited release of U.S. economic data this week, including GDP numbers on Thursday and nonfarm payross, construction spending and auto sales data on Friday. These reports could have a significant impact on the dollar.

Traders also looked ahead to Wednesday's oil inventory data from the U.S. Department of Energy.

"The consensus is looking for another drop of crude oil inventories, which might provide some support for crude oil and thus also for gold," said Dresdner Kleinwort analyst Peter Fertig.

Among other precious metals, spot platinum hit its highest level in almost a week at $1,775 an ounce, then retreated to end at $1739.00, down from $1,739.00/1,759.00, down from $1,763.00/1,783.00 late in New York on Monday.

Spot palladium was at $380.50/388.50, unchanged from late in New York on Monday. Silver fell to $17.35/17.41 an ounce from $17.46/17.52 late in New York on Monday.

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See original Reuter's article here: http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/feedarticle/7690017

Five ways to shake the money tree.

LEARN HOW TO TRADE CRUDE OIL

Record high prices for crude. Did you miss the move to $147? Watch this 90 second video on trading crude it will enlighten you to the possibilities that this market offers.

LEARN HOW TO TRADE GOLD

Record swings in Gold. Did you miss the move to new all time highs? Watch my 90 second video on trading gold. See how it is possible to dominate this precious metal.

LEARN HOW TO TRADE FUTURES

Soaring commodity prices. We say that's inflationary, the government say's that inflation is under control. What does your pocketbook say? Watch this video on how you can protect yourself against inflationary commodity pressures in '08.

LEARN HOW TO TRADE FOREX

The dollar index hit a record lows in '08. Watch this 90 second video on forex trading right here. See how you can protect your dollar purchasing power in '08.

LEARN HOW TO TRADE STOCKS

In 2008 some stocks soared, while others tanked. Find out how you can put these moves in your pocket and walk away a winner in the stock market.

My five videos show you how you can protect and grow your nest egg no matter what happens to the economy.

There is no registration required. Watch any or all of my videos.

Preserve and prosper in '08.

Enjoy the videos.

Adam Hewison

President , INO.com

Be Our Guest
We welcome syndication of our content in your blog or on your trading website. Please feel free to use our content with attribution - more details here to syndicate our content

Has Gold Topped Out???

What a difference a day makes. The DOW up 277 points, gold dropping 10 dollars and crude oil under pressure and falling to its lowest levels in three weeks.
Amazing.

We have said this before, and we will say it again ... Sentiment and Perception rule the markets.

I have prepared a short video on gold to show you why we feel it is on the defensive and why we should see some lower to sideways action before the market resumes its positive trend.

In the video I will show you precise points where I think the market will find natural support before resuming its upward trend.

There is no cost for viewing the video and I think you'll find it both educational and informative.

Enjoy the video.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com

Be Our Guest

We welcome syndication of our content in your blog or on your trading website. Please feel free to use our content with attribution - more details here to syndicate our content

Is GOLD the last store of value on the planet?

Hi, Adam Hewison here. I've just finished a new movie on gold and I would like to share it with you. This new video shows what may happen to gold in the next one to three months. There's a lot of potential in this market, but there also is potential risk involved. The good news is that risk can be managed with stops and potential target zones can be measured through chart patterns.

I hope you enjoyed the video I made on 7/09/08 (well before today's big jump in gold) to illustrate that sometimes the markets tip you off to what they're going to do next.

With all the financial turmoil in today's troubled world, it seems like gold may be the only store of value that everyone's going to turn to in the very near future. Many of the European banks have not fessed up to all of their investing/trading problems and I expect that this could well be the other shoe that falls.

On 7/10/08, our "Trade Triangle" technology signaled a new buy for the spot gold market. Watch the video and I'll show you exactly how high we think this market could go in the future.

As always, we welcome your comments and thoughts on the markets.

Every success,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com