'Sentiment Event' Rally Grinds On

Excerpted from this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, the Opening Notes segment of NFTRH 602:

As we noted in March while it was happening the sentiment environment became terror-stricken. Not fearful. Not over-bearish. Not even a contrarian extreme. Market sentiment was marked by full-frontal terror as indicator after indicator (ref. Sentimentrader's historic readings week after week) got slammed to epic over-bearish proportions.

Into the breach sprang the Treasury (i.e. taxpayer) backed Federal Reserve to the rescue. As the employment numbers come in at the tragic readings that we all saw coming the bears are out there beating a drum (ah, Twitter) about why it is not right, why the Fed cannot print a bull market, why the stock market is going to make new lows and why you should avoid stocks! They have been saying this since the terror-stricken days of March and they are still saying it now.

And do you know what? The rising risk profile that we have been noting for weeks will likely paint them as being right before too long. Imagine all those 'man who predicted a new stock market crash now predicts... (blah blah blah)' headlines that we will be subjected to as the paint-by-numbers media look to feed easy answers to the public later in the year and into 2021. The bears will probably be right but here’s the thing, they have not been right for nearly 2 months now. Continue reading "'Sentiment Event' Rally Grinds On"

Can History Predict the Future?

Cycles, rhythms, patterns, and seasons...no matter what you call them they are there in the markets. One market in particular is the Nasdaq and today I've invited Steve Hoven from NasdaqProfits.com to give us his insight into the patterns of the Nasdaq. If you have any other patterns you'd like to share please do so in the comment section and be sure and visit NasdaqProfits.com to check in on what he does!


The Nasdaq Index is over 30+ years old.

Yet did you know that over those 30+ years on the date July 9th, the Nasdaq finishes the day UP over 85% of the time.  That is right- since the early 1970's when the Nasdaq began, it has been open 27 times on date July 9th and out of those 27 times, the Nasdaq has finished in the Positive 23 times and DOWN only 4 times.
(of course July 9th sometimes falls on a Saturday/Sunday when the markets aren't open so that is why you only see 27 trades instead of 30+)

Continue reading "Can History Predict the Future?"