Stock Market Winning Streak Ends

Stocks ended the day and week lower in a wild two-day trading session to end the week. The DOW closed 159.42 points lower or -0.6%, at 28,133.31. At one point, it fell as much as 628 points before reversing course in the late afternoon. The S&P 500 slid -0.8% to 3,426.96, and the NASDAQ fell -1.3% to 11,313.13 to post back to back losing days.

On a weekly level, both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ ended their 5-week winning streaks with the S&P 500 falling -2.3% and the NASDAQ losing -3.2% as the tech sector sold-off. The DOW ended a four-week losing streak falling -1.8% for the week.

One of the few bright spots in the overall market was the US dollar, which posted a weekly gain of +.75% as traders bailed out of the safe-haven assets and piled into the dollar. Which, in turn, caused gold to lose -1.6% on the week. Continue reading "Stock Market Winning Streak Ends"

DOW Erases 2020 Losses With Strong Close

Stocks closed higher on the day Friday to end another record week for stocks, with the DOW erasing its losses for 2020 by gaining +0.6% to close at 28,653.87. After Friday's close, the DOW was now up +0.4% for 2020, its first foray into positive territory for the year since February.

The S&P 500 gained +0.7% to close at 3,508.01. It's the first-ever close above 3,500 for the index. The NASDAQ climbed 0.6% to end the day at 11,695.63.

For the week, the DOW rose +2.6% for its third weekly gain in four weeks. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both notched five-week winning streaks, rising over +3% each. This marks the S&P 500's first five-week winning streak since late 2019. It's also the longest run for the NASDAQ since a six-week win streak that ended in January. Continue reading "DOW Erases 2020 Losses With Strong Close"

Options - How To Capture Over 100% Premium

How is it possible to capture more premium than what you sold an option contract for? The answer lies in the manner in how you construct your option trade (i.e., put spread vs. custom put spread). A custom put spread leverages a minimal amount of capital, defines risk, and maximizes the return on investment while enabling traders to capture greater than 100% of the option premium. Custom put spreads are ideal when engaging in options trading for many reasons. This type of trade is great to layer into a long-term successful overall options strategy which includes risk-defining trades, staggering expiration dates, trading across a wide array of uncorrelated tickers, maximizing the number of trades, appropriate position allocation, and always being an option seller to bring premium income into the portfolio continuously.

Using a combination of custom put spreads and put spreads, a total of 91 trades were placed in May, June, July, and thus far in August as the markets rebounded after the COVID-19 lows. During this timeframe, all 91 trades were winning trades to lock-in a 100% option win rate with an average income per trade of $185, an average return on investment (ROI) per trade of 7.5%, and overall premium capture of 99.4%. An options-based portfolio can offer the optimal balance between risk and reward while providing a margin of downside protection with high probability win rates. As the market continues to rebound, optimal risk management is essential when engaging in options trading as a means to drive portfolio performance (Figures 1, 2, and 3).

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Figure 1 – Average income per trade of $185, the average return per trade of 7.5% and 99.4% premium capture over 91 trades in May and June
Continue reading "Options - How To Capture Over 100% Premium"

Record Close For S&P 500 To End Week

Stocks closed higher on the day Friday to end what was a record week for stocks, specifically for the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. The S&P 500 gained +.34% to 3,397.16, a new record closing high. The NASDAQ climbed +.4% and ended the day at 11,311.80, also a record close. The DOW finished trading up 190.6 points at 27,930.33, a gain of about +.7%.

On a weekly level, the S&P 500 gained +.72%, the NASDAQ outperformed gaining +2.6% on the week, and the DOW was left in the dust finishing flat on the week. Continue reading "Record Close For S&P 500 To End Week"

Options Trading - S&P Outperformance Despite Epic Bull Run

A total of 80 options trades were placed in May, June, July, and thus far in August as the markets rebounded after the COVID-19 lows. During this timeframe, all 80 trades were winning trades to lock in a 100% option win rate with an average income per trade of $189 and an average return on investment (ROI) per trade of 7.5%. After the tumultuous market lows of March and into early April, leveraging a minimal amount of capital, mitigating risk, and maximizing returns was essential. An options-based portfolio can offer the optimal balance between risk and reward while providing a margin of downside protection with high probability win rates. As the market continues to rebound, optimal risk management is essential when engaging in options trading as a means to drive portfolio performance.

Through the end of July, an option-based portfolio broken out into roughly three equal parts of cash, long equity and options outperformed the S&P 500 by a comfortable margin, posting returns of 28.0% and 26.6%, respectively. When engaging in options trading, risk mitigation needs to be built into each trade via risk-defining trades, staggering options expiration dates, trading across a wide array of uncorrelated tickers, maximizing the number of trades, appropriate position allocation, and selling options to collect premium income. Maintaining disciple via continuing to risk-define trades, leveraging small amounts of capital while maximizing return on investment, is essential despite the impressive streak of 80 consecutive winning trades.

Anchoring Down An Options-Based Portfolio

Anchoring down an options-based portfolio is a key component to taking advantage of black swan events such as COVID-19 via broad-based ETF exposure. During the market lows of March/April, the cash-on-hand component of an options-based portfolio was used to go long equity via Dow Jones (DIA), S&P 500 (SPY), and Nasdaq (QQQ). The cash-on-hand was repurposed to balance out the portfolio into roughly three equal parts of one-third cash, one-third long ETF-based equity, and one-third options driven. Through the end of July, an option-based portfolio broken out into roughly three equal parts of cash, long equity and options outperformed the S&P 500 by a comfortable margin, posting returns of 28.0% and 26.6%, respectively (Figure 1).

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Figure 1 – Overall options-based portfolio returns compared to the S&P 500 returns over the previous four months post COVID-19 lows of 28.0% and 26.6%, respectively

4 Months Post COVID-19 Results

After placing 80 trades throughout May, June, July, and thus far in August, a 100% options win rate, 99% premium capture, and 7.5% ROI per trade was achieved. This was accomplished via leveraging a minimal amount of Continue reading "Options Trading - S&P Outperformance Despite Epic Bull Run"