Author: The INO.com Team

With The World Spinning Out Of Control, Have The Markets Got It Right?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

It seems everywhere you turn there is bad news around the world. Whether it's the Ukraine and Russia shooting down a passenger plane, all the problems in Afghanistan and Iraq with ISIS, and let’s not forget, Hamas and Israel.

Despite having every known obstacle and block thrown in its path, the markets continue to march on and trend higher. How much longer this can go on is anyone's guess.

Somewhere along the line, the markets will make a turn to the downside and when that happens I certainly don't want to be left holding the bag based on what the pundits are saying. I trust in the Trade Triangle technology given its solid track record.

Today, I will be looking at the major indices and indicating where the "line in the sand" is drawn to exit positions should a downturn occur.

I'll also be looking at Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) with its big break down today. I'll share with you one indicator that could have helped predict today's move. Continue reading "With The World Spinning Out Of Control, Have The Markets Got It Right?" →

5 Minimal Peter Cundill-Like Moves For Your Portfolio

Posted on by The INO.com Team

By: Tim Melvin

Have you read the book There's Always Something to Do by Christopher Russo-Gill?

If not, it should move right to the top of your summer reading list. It is the accumulated reflections of Peter Cundill. A Canadian value investor, Cundill used the Graham Deep Value Approach to return a little more than 15 percent, on average annually, to investors for almost 30 years.

Cundill once described his approach as looking to buy dollars for $0.40, and he focused almost entirely on the balance sheet. He once commented that he did liquidation analysis and liquidation analysis only. He wanted to buy stocks in companies that traded below where he estimated they could be profitably liquidated.

1. Things To Do

Cundill looked all over the world for ideas, and felt that most of the time he could find enough bargain issues to get his funds invested in such bargain issues and provide above average returns. However, he was not afraid to hoard cash when he could not find enough true bargains to get fully invested.

Value investors today, however, find themselves facing a situation where it is very difficult to get fully invested, because of a lack of opportunities in the aftermath of a five-year rally in global equities. There are a few things to do, however, even in an overheated market.

The most obvious opportunity for those who favor a deep-value approach is the U.S. community banks. Many of these smaller banks face challenges that will push them toward the inevitable conclusion: they need to sell to a larger institution rather than go it alone. The avalanche of regulations is pressuring the bottom line as compliance costs spiral out of control and make it difficult to earn sufficient profits to justify independence.

2. A 'Perfect Storm' For Regional Banks

Continue reading "5 Minimal Peter Cundill-Like Moves For Your Portfolio" →

Currencies, Gold And The Big Picture

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Here are the monthly views of the basket cases we call major currencies.

Uncle Buck and his reserve status were leveraged to the hilt by "The Hero" and now his successor is trying to gently talk the Fed out of its policy stance over time.  In other words, tightening is going to come one way or another and Janet Yellen is trying to go the orderly route.  When this process becomes disorderly, the USD is likely to benefit from the liquidations elsewhere in the asset world.

Technically, USD is in a long basing pattern.  There are those who think it is basing before a renewed decline, reading a Symmetrical Triangle (continuation) pattern into poor old Unc.  I think the odds are it is bottoming over the post-2008 years when inflation – try as they might to have promoted it – simply has not taken root.  Leaning bullish, watch support and resistance.

usd

 

Long ago we projected a rally in Uncle Buck’s chief competitor, the Euro.  This was due to a bottoming pattern (formed on shorter term charts) and unsustainable negative hype about the Euro crisis.  The target was around 140 +/-, which is the top of the post-2008 downtrend channel.  Euro remains in a big picture downtrend and if global asset markets start to come unwound in the coming months, it is not Euros people are going to run to, I can tell you that.  Bearish below the upper trend line. Continue reading "Currencies, Gold And The Big Picture" →

To Trade Successfully, You Must Trade With The Trend

Posted on by The INO.com Team

In life, trends are all around us and you only have to look at the weather to know that’s true. It's a pretty safe bet that temperatures will be colder in December than they will be in August, at least in the Northern Hemisphere. Trends also persist in the marketplace, but unlike the weather, these are moving trends and change year to year. As a trader and investor, you want catch the trends near a top or bottom.

Learn more about trading the trend here.

The Importance Of Stops

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Some traders may question the importance of stops and be concerned about putting a stop in the market, only to be quickly stopped out for a loss. Nothing could be further from the truth! Stops allow traders to protect and grow their capital. You can use the different types of stops to your advantage, and tailor them to your strategy and the type of market you are trading.  Let stops work for you!  They only risk what you decide is worth it.

Learn more about using stops here.