How to Protect Your Portfolio From the Sequester

The "fiscal cliff" deadline came and went without even a bearish whimper from the stock market. Now, the so-called "budget sequester" -- a set of laws that limit federal spending -- was put into effect on March 1. Absolutely nothing negative has happened to the economy -- so far.

The bullish reactions to these events, which may result in long-term, negative overhang on the thriving stock market, have lulled many investors into a false sense of security. These satisfied investors point to the stock market roaring higher, steadily improving economic numbers and to bad news being dismissed as irrelevant as sure signs that the market's surge won't end any time soon.

But investors should be concerned... Continue reading "How to Protect Your Portfolio From the Sequester"

It's more important to the market than the Fiscal Cliff, the sequester and all the debts of Italy, Greece, Portugal and Spain combined

The drama of the Fiscal Cliff and the recent sequestration circus, plus the trials and tribulations of these four countries (which have run up huge deficits) have been well documented and known for quite some time. What is more important, in my opinion, is not the size of the debt which is staggering, but rather what is happening in the market and the market's perception of current events.

Market perception trumps everything else out there. Market perception trumps market fundamentals every time. Market perception is the one card that the government cannot control. It is the card that can potentially give the individual trader an edge.

So what is market perception? Well, have you ever noticed that when some big world event happens, or a new "hot" IPO hits the markets (remember FaceBook, Zynga and Groupon?), traders expect that market to go in the talked about direction and typically it does. What doesn't get talked about is how the market then corrects itself and the technicals really come into play.
Continue reading "It's more important to the market than the Fiscal Cliff, the sequester and all the debts of Italy, Greece, Portugal and Spain combined"

Today's Video Newsletter: The Smartphone Wars - Who is Going to Win?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Wednesday, the 13th of March.

THE SMARTPHONE WARS - WHO IS GOING TO WIN?
Samsung is pulling out all the stops today with the launch of its new smartphone, the Galaxy S4. It has been reported that Samsung is spending upwards of $440 million to launch and promote this product. This is in contrast to the $330 million Apple spent on its iPhone launch. The stakes could not be higher as both companies are engaged in a global battle for command of the $400 billion mobile device industry. Continue reading "Today's Video Newsletter: The Smartphone Wars - Who is Going to Win?"

The Most Important Trading Metric: Compliance

For the risk-based trader, compliance — not profits and losses — is the most important metric to track. Compliance simply asks the question, “Have I followed my rules on this trade?” For example, measuring trade-execution compliance will identify the gap between planned trade execution and actual trade execution. In other words, answer the question of whether the trade should have been executed in the first place, and if so, whether you did it correctly.”

Measuring compliance doesn’t have to be a complicated process. Displaying a dashboard-like visual on your workstation is simple way to keep track of the important trade metrics you need to assess. The example in the chart below shows a standard “compliance dashboard.” Notice how the tool displays only key compliance metrics — setup compliance, entry precision, filter/conditional rules, daily loss-limit compliance, and journal review compliance. Such key performance indicators (KPIs) should be measured against benchmarks that reflect a standard of excellence or a personal trading goal.  Aggressive traders can raise the expectation bar by setting benchmarks that exceed compliance. Continue reading "The Most Important Trading Metric: Compliance"

Today's Video Newsletter: Facebook and NetFlix form an alliance to learn more about you

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Wednesday, the 13th of March.

THE FACEBOOK - NETFLIX ALLIANCE
Today Netflix and Facebook announced a sharing of data. You can view this in two ways, either it's very destructive, "these folks are learning way too much about my habits," or you can look upon it as a business opportunity. For Netflix, I believe it is more of a plus than it is for Facebook. The new add-on service tells you about what movies your friends are watching and in-turn, it tells your friends what movies you are watching. This could be a very positive move for Netflix. We have been bullish on Netflix for quite some time (12/04/12 @ $89.45) and this is yet another strong signal that Netflix can move higher and over the $200 mark. At the present time, we have upside target zones of $200, $220 for this stock. Continue reading "Today's Video Newsletter: Facebook and NetFlix form an alliance to learn more about you"