Stocks advance, pushing Dow toward 14,000

Pfizer helped keep the stock market rally alive Tuesday. The drugmaker's stock gained after posting strong earnings, pushing the Dow closer to 14,000.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 73 points to close at 13,954.42 points, ending higher for the seventh day in eight. The Standard and Poor's 500 also rose, adding eight points to 1,507.84 points. The Nasdaq composite dropped less than a point to 3,153.66.

The January rally looked as if it was running out of steam yesterday as stocks pulled back from their highs, but Tuesday they resumed their ascent toward record levels. Demand was bolstered at the start of the year after lawmakers reached a deal to avoid the "fiscal cliff" and was sustained by reports that have added to evidence showing the U.S. housing market is recovering and the jobs market is slowly healing. Continue reading "Stocks advance, pushing Dow toward 14,000"

Today's Video Newsletter: Consumer Confidence Plunges

Hello traders everywhere! Jeremy Lutz here with your mid-day market update for Tuesday, the 29th of January.

The markets have largely shrugged off a report from the Conference Board showing that U.S. consumer confidence fell to a fourteen-month low in January.

The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index tumbled to 58.6 in January from an upwardly revised 66.7 in December. With the decrease, the index fell to its lowest level since November of 2011. This drop is a direct reaction to smaller paychecks and uncertainty about the debt ceiling. Continue reading "Today's Video Newsletter: Consumer Confidence Plunges"

Commodity Chart of The Week

Each week longleaftrading.com will be providing us with a commodity chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

The copper market is very sensitive to both Chinese growth statistics and US Housing numbers. Both groups have been trending in the right direction for months and that has given the copper trade a boost. Last week's US housing numbers missed, blunting a nice move off of support the prior week. It was reported last week that China's manufacturing activity in January grew at the fastest pace in two years, according to the preliminary HSBC China Manufacturing purchasing managers' index, which rose to 51.9 in January from 51.5 in December. This growth trend bodes well for China's 2013 economic outlook and it is in line with the comments from the IMF made the prior week, with respect to projected growth in China.

The fundamental forces at had set a nice backdrop for copper, but as we all know that does not amount to much if the market is not providing a way to enter a trade with a strong risk/reward profile. The technical developments in copper appear to be orderly and I will be looking to come into the copper this week based on the strong technical picture. Continue reading "Commodity Chart of The Week"

Moving Averages Can Identify a Trade

These 3 charts help you understand how moving averages work

By Elliott Wave International

Moving averages are a popular tool for technical traders because they can "smooth" price fluctuations in any chart. EWI Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy gives a clear definition:

"A moving average is simply the average value of data over a specified time period, and it is used to figure out whether the price of a stock or commodity is trending up or down... one way to think of a moving average is that it's an automated trend line."

Moving averages are both easy to create and extraordinarily dynamic. You can choose which time frame to study as well as which data points to use (open, high, low, close or midpoint of a trading range).

Jeffrey Kennedy shares 3 of the most popular moving averages in this excerpt is from his 10-page eBook: How to Trade the Highest Probability Opportunities: Moving Averages. Continue reading "Moving Averages Can Identify a Trade"

Stocks close mixed on uneven economic signals

U.S. stocks meandered between small gains and losses Monday, cooling off after a rally that had pushed the Standard & Poor's 500 index above 1,500 for the first time since December 2007. Encouraging news about manufacturing provided an early boost, but stocks fell later after a report on the pace of home sales fell short of expectations.

The government said before trading began that orders for long-lasting goods rose in December by 4.6 percent, helped by a 10 percent gain in orders for new aircraft. The report was a sign of strength for the manufacturing sector, a crucial driver of economic growth.

Heavy equipment maker Caterpillar said separately that its fourth-quarter net income exceeded analysts' expectations, after adjusting for the cost of a soured deal to buy a Chinese maker of roofing supports for mines. Caterpillar said it took a big charge in the quarter because the Chinese company had misrepresented its finances. Continue reading "Stocks close mixed on uneven economic signals"