Traders Toolbox: Learning Options Part 4 of 4 Revisited...

Trader's Toolbox

At MarketClub our mission is to help you become a better trader. Our passion is creating superior trading tools to help you achieve your goals -- no matter which way the markets move -- with objective and unbiased recommendations not available from brokers.

The Trader's Toolbox posts are just another free resource from MarketClub.

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"In real estate, they say that the three most important things are location, location, and location. In options, the three most important things are volatility, volatility, and volatility. Often neglected by option rookies, volatility is the cornerstone of an option professional’s trading strategy.In its simplest form, expressed as the annualized percentage of the standard deviation, volatility measures how far a contract can be expected to swing from a mean price. A contract trading at 50 would have a volatility of 10% if it traded between 45 and 55 over a given period of time.

Historical volatility is just that: the volatility calculated (using closing prices) over a given period – 20 days, 20 weeks, one year, etc. Implied volatility is the volatility using current market prices. For example, using four primary option pricing inputs – futures price, settlement price, time until expiration and volatility – would result in a theoretical price.

By plugging in the current option price in place of the theoretical price and working backward, it would be possible to determine the volatility the current market is implying. (It is not mathematically possible to work backward and solve for implied volatility using an equation like the Black-Scholes model, but an approximation can be derived.)..."

Revisit the Trader's Toolbox Post: "Learning Options Part 4 of 4 " here.

Our Stand In Key Markets at the End of February

I thought that our Trader's Blog readers would like to know where we stand at the end of February in some of the key markets that we track with MarketClub's Trade Triangle Technology.

Gold -- neutral

Crude Oil futures -- long

Indices -- long the Dow, SP500 and NASDAQ

Euro -- short Euro, long dollar

As we head into March and the beginning of the end of Q1, I believe we'll see some interesting moves in the above markets.

We have discussed this before, but I would like to again touch on market perception. If you remember, the US dollar was going to continue to trade down. That did not happen as events in Europe drove the euro down and the dollar was once again perceived as a safe haven. Once again perception trumps over the market.

The equity markets continue to remain in a positive trend, however the seesaw action of the last week or two in February indicates that there is a tremendous amount of jousting between the bulls and bears.

Crude oil remains positive based on our "Trade Triangle" technology, whereas gold at the moment is neutral.

It is going to be an interesting month in all four of these markets.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

P.S. The above positions are based on our Trade Triangle Technology and  can change and should not be perceived as written in granite.

The Free Trade Strategy

Trader's Blog would like to welcome back Bill Poulos from ProfitsRun.com. Whenever I ask Bill to come and teach, he always delivers. This time is no different with his article on the free trade strategy. Please take time today to read the article, comment below, and also if you'd like to learn more from Bill check out his “Forex Smart Start Profit Strategies Session” webinar here.

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Trading the Forex markets is risky business, make no mistake about it.  As a trader, if you do not pay attention to risk first and foremost, you will lose, plain and simple.  There are at least two key aspects to managing risk.  One is the placement of stops and the management of the trade as it unfolds, and the other is the position size of the trade relative to the trader's account size.  If either one of those is not handled properly, the trader will lose in the end.

The good news is that both can be managed to the trader’s advantage resulting in minimizing losses and providing the opportunity for great profits.

Continue reading "The Free Trade Strategy"

Saturday Success Story - Kathy, Minnesota

At MarketClub, our mission is to help you become a better trader. Our passion is creating superior trading tools to help you achieve your goals—no matter which way the markets move—we promise objective and unbiased recommendations not available from brokers.

Here's great news from a member...

"I didn’t join MarketClub right away. I watched for almost a year before deciding to invest in a membership. I watched what the Trade Triangles did during that time with my own securities. They were 100% accurate in predicting market movement. So I joined and now use the Trade Triangles and the other tools that MarketClub provides to help me decide whether to buy or sell. I’m new to trading and investing, but having MarketClub on my side gives me the confidence I need to be successful. The main reason I came to MarketClub was to help me trade in forex. I quickly found out that forex is a very volatile market. I refused to do any trading what so ever in forex until I felt confident in my skills as a trader. MarketClub is the main force behind that confidence. I invested in a forex course that teaches a specific way to trade and that only requires 20 minutes a day. The only problem is… I have difficulty choosing the right time to enter the trade or when to leave the trade. I went back to the instructor with the problem, and he said to practice. Practice is all well and good, but if you’re doing it the wrong way, it’s counter productive. MarketClub makes the decision process easier. I value the membership so much that I will not trade without it." ~ Kathy P., Minnesota

To send your own success story, please email

bl**@in*.com











. We wish all of our members the best and we look forward to hearing your success story.

Trend Trading Clearly Explained for Indexes & Precious Metals

I'd like everyone to welcome Chris Vermeulen from GoldAndOilGuy.com. Today I asked Chris to take a look at the indexes and precious metals and how to trade the trends clearly. Recently gold and silver have been prominent on the Trader's Blog, so this post is very timely. Please enjoy, comment below, and visit GoldAndOilGuy.com for Chris's free reports.
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Stock Market Trend Trading Clearly Explained for Indexes and Precious Metals

This report is a mix of both current market action and educational material on how stocks and commodities trend (move).

Since mid October I have been on the look out for the market to top or make a multi-wave correction. The market did top in January and has formed an ABC retrace (3 wave correction).

Continue reading "Trend Trading Clearly Explained for Indexes & Precious Metals"