Brexit Poll: Will They Stay or Will They Go

Today is finally the day. Britain's long-awaited referendum on whether or not the U.K. exits the E.U. will finally happen. After months of polls showing that a narrow majority of Britons favored staying with the E.U., recent surveys have shown the country's voters leaning toward leaving the 28-nation E.U. despite the potential for strong economic aftershocks in the U.K. and across the world. What is certain is that global markets are likely to see heavy trading on Friday, as investors adjust their holdings based on Britain's decision.

Which leads me to today's poll question:

Will Britain leave the European Union?

View Results

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As always, I would love to hear your thoughts on the subject. Please take a moment to vote and then leave a comment.

Every Success,
Jeremy Lutz
INO.com and MarketClub.com

Fed To Markets: See You In 2019

George Yacik - INO.com Contributor - Fed & Interest Rates


The Federal Reserve has made it pretty clear, by its actions if not by many of its pronouncements, that, like Melville’s Bartleby the Scrivener, it really would prefer not to do anything. Now it looks like it’s planning to take off not just the rest of this year but the next couple of years, too.

Instead of no rate increase this year, which is looking more and more like a done deal, we may not see higher rates until 2019 at the earliest, at least according to one Fed official.

Last week, as expected, the Fed left interest rates unchanged while lowering expectations for future rate increases, both this year and beyond. In arriving at that decision, which was unanimous, the Fed’s monetary policy committee cited recent weakness in the jobs market, previously an area of relative strength in the economy. Continue reading "Fed To Markets: See You In 2019"

What Is That Popping Noise In The S&P 500?

I'm not sure if that if that popping sound is only in my head or happening in the markets? Is the S&P 500 about to pop following Brexit or will it be Fed-induced liquidity rallies as usual? We are long the S&P 500 via a put option spread but will exit at the first sign of failure. Also, the bond market ETF TLT has pulled back to support.

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

Welcome To What I'm Calling H*ll Week

Hello MarketClub members everywhere! Yesterday, we saw the news push the equity markets sharply higher. Unfortunately, the enthusiasm did not last the entire day and the markets fell off quite dramatically from the early highs. As I have been saying for some time, the markets are in a broad trading range and Brexit is just adding fuel to the type of range trading mentality.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

I was interviewed by Reuters yesterday and they asked me what I thought of the markets and Brexit. I answered them in the only way that I could, saying that no one at this juncture has a clue as to whether England is going to remain in the EU or it's going to leave. There are of course pros and cons for both sides of this argument.

The younger generation wants to stay in the EU as it gives them more latitude to move to other countries and find work. The older generation wants to leave and get out from under the thumb of the bureaucrats in Brussels and also have Britain set its own immigration policies.

Like I said earlier, it's going to be a volatile week and polls are more likely going to drive the sentiment than common sense.

This comment just came in from a MarketClub member: Continue reading "Welcome To What I'm Calling H*ll Week"

Using Covered Puts To Trade Options

Timing the market has proven to be very difficult if not altogether impossible. However creating opportunities to artificially accentuate further downward movement in a given stock one is looking to own is possible. If a stock of interest has substantially fallen yet not enough to pull the buy trigger, then one has an option to “buy” the stock at an even lower price at a later date while collecting a premium in the process. This is called a covered or secured put option. Leveraging covered or secured put options in opportunistic scenarios may augment overall portfolio returns while mitigating risk when looking to initiate a future position in an individual stock. Options are a form of derivative trading that traders can utilize in order to initiate a short or long position via the sale or purchase of contracts. In the event of a covered put, this is accomplished by leveraging the cash one currently has by selling a put contract against those funds for a premium. Traders may also initiate a short or long position via the purchase of option contracts to the underlying security. An option is a contract which gives the buyer of the contract the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying security at a specified price on or before a specified date. The seller has the obligation to buy or sell the underlying security if the buyer exercises the option. An option that gives the owner the right to buy the security at a specific price is referred to as a call (bullish); an option that gives the right of the owner to sell the security at a specific price is referred to as a put (bearish). I will provide an overview of how a covered put is utilized and executed. Further details focusing on optimizing cash leverage (covered puts) and the ability to sell these types of options in a conservative way to generate cash while initiating positions in one’s portfolio will follow. Continue reading "Using Covered Puts To Trade Options"