Ministers from eleven Non-OPEC oil producing countries, led by the Russian Federation, met at OPEC’s headquarters in Vienna on December 11th. It had been reported for weeks that they would agree to cut their oil production by 600,000 b/d.
What they actually agreed to was a watered-down version of that. It turned out that they did not get to 600,000, that much of the “cut” was due to a natural decline in certain countries, such as Mexico, that Russia’s 300,000 b/d cut would be gradual over the first six months of 2017, and that it was all voluntary.
The key portion of the press release reads as follows: Continue reading "Non-OPEC Deal Delivers "Voluntary" Oil Production Cuts" →
Hello MarketClub members everywhere! Yesterday, we saw the news push the equity markets sharply higher. Unfortunately, the enthusiasm did not last the entire day and the markets fell off quite dramatically from the early highs. As I have been saying for some time, the markets are in a broad trading range and Brexit is just adding fuel to the type of range trading mentality.
I was interviewed by Reuters yesterday and they asked me what I thought of the markets and Brexit. I answered them in the only way that I could, saying that no one at this juncture has a clue as to whether England is going to remain in the EU or it's going to leave. There are of course pros and cons for both sides of this argument.
The younger generation wants to stay in the EU as it gives them more latitude to move to other countries and find work. The older generation wants to leave and get out from under the thumb of the bureaucrats in Brussels and also have Britain set its own immigration policies.
Like I said earlier, it's going to be a volatile week and polls are more likely going to drive the sentiment than common sense.
This comment just came in from a MarketClub member: Continue reading "Welcome To What I'm Calling H*ll Week" →
Hello MarketClub members everywhere!
Make no mistake about it; the markets will all be obsessing about whether or not Great Britain will stay or leave the EU.
This morning all the markets are thinking happy thoughts and are rising as they think that Britain is going to stay in the EU.
The bottom line is no one has a clue if Great Britain will stay or leave the EU. The other crazy thing is no one has a clue as to what will happen if Great Britain leaves. As you can see, there is no clear cut path or idea as to what's ahead.
So here is what to do - I call it the "Desert Island" approach to trading. Let's say you were trapped on a desert island with plenty of food and water but with no news of any kind. The only news you could receive is stock and futures prices - could you trade on just that information? Before I answer that question, ask yourself this question, if you were looking back at a stock chart and back testing would you be looking at the news? The answer is probably not, you would be looking at price action and that is exactly what the market proven Trade Triangle's do every day.
The bottom line is price action make market trends.
One caveat - Black Swan Events Continue reading "All Eyes On Brexit" →
Hello MarketClub members everywhere! Well, here we are at the end of another trading week and what a week it has been.
Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO): As I warned members yesterday, chasing gold after 8 straight days of moving higher was not the best strategy. Yesterday's massive reversal to over the $1300 level just shows how important this psychological level has now become. In today's video, I will be analyzing gold and telling what you I believe to be the best strategy to follow given yesterday's action. Even with all the turmoil in gold this past week, overall it remains higher for the week. Last week July gold closed at $1273.90.
Indices: It's a mixed picture for the major indices with major positive trends still intact for the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ. The odd man out here is the DOW which is in a sidelines position at the moment. However, the week tells a different story with all of the major indices losing ground. Here's where the indexes closed last Friday. Continue reading "Where Will The Markets Stand After The Dust Settles?" →
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. There's no doubt about it, yesterday's break in the world markets was caused by a little country in the North Atlantic named Great Britain and whether or not it's going to stay in the EU.
Having been born and raised in England, I cannot imagine in my wildest dreams why Great Britain would want to give up its sovereignty, its currency and cede control to Brussels. The EU is a bloated, incompetent bureaucracy that has a life of its own and answers to no one. To put this in perspective, the EU makes our government here in the U.S. look like it is super, super efficient. Continue reading "Brexit Yes, You Better Be-Leave It" →