All Eyes On Brexit

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello MarketClub members everywhere!

Make no mistake about it; the markets will all be obsessing about whether or not Great Britain will stay or leave the EU.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

This morning all the markets are thinking happy thoughts and are rising as they think that Britain is going to stay in the EU.

The bottom line is no one has a clue if Great Britain will stay or leave the EU. The other crazy thing is no one has a clue as to what will happen if Great Britain leaves. As you can see, there is no clear cut path or idea as to what's ahead.

So here is what to do - I call it the "Desert Island" approach to trading. Let's say you were trapped on a desert island with plenty of food and water but with no news of any kind. The only news you could receive is stock and futures prices - could you trade on just that information? Before I answer that question, ask yourself this question, if you were looking back at a stock chart and back testing would you be looking at the news? The answer is probably not, you would be looking at price action and that is exactly what the market proven Trade Triangle's do every day.

The bottom line is price action make market trends.

One caveat - Black Swan Events Continue reading "All Eyes On Brexit" →

The Fed Giveth and the Bullion Banks Taketh Away…

Posted on by admin

Precious metal expert Michael Ballanger breaks down the gold price roller coaster surrounding the Fed's decision not to raise interest rates.

Ballanger chart cover

Janet Yellen just blew all remaining semblances of credibility believed to be still present at the U.S. Federal Reserve Board.

We have all heard for the past month or so that the Fed was going to hike the Fed Funds rate at today's meeting, the anticipation of which caused a rally in the U.S. Dollar (USD) and a surge in stocks - all while the bond market was rallying in response to weakness in the macroeconomic environment.

Well, they didn't raise as predicted back in March because of "China weakness," so today they didn't hike because of "soft exports" and "vulnerabilities in the global economy" and "Brexit worries" and a host of other totally clueless hypothecations. But the bottom line is that they didn't hike because the ensuing dollar rally would impair the collateral that underpins the massive debts owed by governments and homeowners to the banks that hold that debt. Stocks reversed lower when it became clear that the Fed has absolutely zero control over the U.S. economy, and is now truly caught in the headlights because banks are getting killed with the yield curve this "flat," and since the Fed's shareholders ARE "the banks," it takes on an aura of the surreal. Continue reading "The Fed Giveth and the Bullion Banks Taketh Away…" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 49.07 while currently trading at 47.15 a barrel down about $2 for the trading week all based on Great Britain leaving the EU, therefore, sending oil prices lower. Crude oil prices are trading below their 20 but still above their 100-day moving average telling you that the short-term trend is mixed as prices are hovering right near a 6 week low as I don’t like to trade choppy markets. At the current time, I’m sitting on the sidelines waiting for better chart structure to develop as I just don’t know where prices are headed so look at other markets that have stronger trends like the soft commodities. Last week rig counts actually increased for the first time in several months because of the fact that crude oil hit $50, so production is coming back online as that is the problem with this market as the higher prices go, the more production occurs sending prices lower. I think we will remain choppy until the Brexit situation is resolved which is still over a week away. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

These Options Are Way Overpriced Heading Into Brexit

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Options in the macro markets like gold, bonds, and currencies are priced for a disaster heading into "Brexit" Here's a way to play the pumped up volatility in the options market using Fibonacci and Elliott Wave Analysis.

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

Where Will The Markets Stand After The Dust Settles?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello MarketClub members everywhere! Well, here we are at the end of another trading week and what a week it has been.

Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO): As I warned members yesterday, chasing gold after 8 straight days of moving higher was not the best strategy. Yesterday's massive reversal to over the $1300 level just shows how important this psychological level has now become. In today's video, I will be analyzing gold and telling what you I believe to be the best strategy to follow given yesterday's action. Even with all the turmoil in gold this past week, overall it remains higher for the week. Last week July gold closed at $1273.90.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

Indices: It's a mixed picture for the major indices with major positive trends still intact for the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ. The odd man out here is the DOW which is in a sidelines position at the moment. However, the week tells a different story with all of the major indices losing ground. Here's where the indexes closed last Friday. Continue reading "Where Will The Markets Stand After The Dust Settles?" →