The Biotechnology Sector Continues To Defy Markets With Secular Growth

Noah Kiedrowski - INO.com Contributor - Biotech


Introduction

The biotechnology cohort has transformed into a secular growth sector witnessed by spectacular performance in the face of bull and bear markets as well as economic troubles domestically and abroad. The biotechnology sector has been on an unprecedented performance streak in both annual and cumulative performance over the past 10 years and accentuated during the latest 5-year timeframe. The biotechnology sector can be highly volatile, however I posit that this cohort has established itself as a secular growth sector and thus doesn't fit the mantra of high-risk high-reward based on annual and cumulative performance throughout any market condition. I content that long-term data support this secular viewpoint without the perceived inherent high-risk. Short sellers contend that the sector is overvalued and frothy while its multi-year run has resulted in a bubble imminent of bursting. Some commentators have recommended shorting the sector or relinquishing portfolio positions with exposure to the biotechnology sector altogether. In brief, I'll be using The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) as a proxy to substantiate this thesis. In brief, IBB holds 150 biotechnology firms listed on the Nasdaq with a minimum market capitalization of $200 million thus spanning small, mid and large-cap companies. Greater than ~30% of assets are devoted to small and mid-cap growth names while ~65% is devoted to large-cap growth names. These companies are involved in early clinical development at the forefront of innovation and research to drive the development and potential commercialization of drugs targeting a variety of diseases and unmet medical needs domestically and abroad.

High-Level Overview

• The Biotechnology cohort has solidified itself as a secular growth sector over the past decade while defying market downtrends in the face of economic woes domestically and abroad

• Using IBB as a proxy for the Biotechnology cohort, this sector doesn't fit the mantra of high-risk high-reward based on annual performance throughout bull and bear markets

• Long-term data on this cohort supports very high returns without the perceived high risk

• During the market crash of 2008, IBB outperformed the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones by 24.8%, 27.8% and 19.7%, respectively

• Over the past 5 years through 2015 thus far, IBB has posted an average annual return of 33%

• Over the past 10 years IBB has cumulative returns of over 425%, unparalleled by an any major index

The biotech secular growth

The returns for IBB have been very impressive to say the least in both annual and cumulative performance, unparalleled by any major index. Over the past 10 and 5 year timeframes, IBB has posted cumulative returns of over 425% and 390%, respectively. Continue reading "The Biotechnology Sector Continues To Defy Markets With Secular Growth"

Short McDonald's Now

By: Melvin Pasternak of Street Authority

I have to admit it: McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) is not one of my favorite fast-food restaurants.

As I age, I am increasingly concerned about the effect diet has my health, so I try to eat lots of fruits and vegetables and avoid foods high in salt and fat. True, you can find some relatively healthy options at McDonalds if you choose wisely. However, if you indulge regularly in high-fat, sodium-rich hamburgers and fries, it can lead to an increased risk for Type 2 diabetes and heart disease, among other things.

My beef with the chain goes beyond its food, though. The company also uses way too much packaging from my point of view -- a sin it shares with many of its fast-food brethren. For anyone with a sensitive environmental conscience, what gets dumped into the trash can at the end of a McDonald's meal causes added distress.

My complaint with McDonald's stock goes beyond my dislike for the restaurant. With the broader market reeling from the effects of the Greek debt crisis and the massive sell-off in Chinese stocks, I believe McDonald's may be on the brink of a major correction. As a result, it is setting itself up as a highly profitable short trade. Continue reading "Short McDonald's Now"

How Did I Know This Would Happen?

Well, I wish I could take personal credit for this, but I really can't. All credit goes to the Trade Triangle technology which two days ago picked out a stock that made a major reversal.

As I looked around the web, I saw little or no mention of this stock anywhere. It does not seem this stock was on the top of anyone's radar screen.

So how did I find this stock that just happened to open up over 8% higher today? I used the recent Trade Triangles scan and you can do this every day with MarketClub. I then looked for markets that on average trade over 2 million shares a day and are showing a green monthly Trade Triangle.

What popped up on my screen two days ago was Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ:CELG). Yesterday I highlighted this stock as a buy in my update video. In case you missed what I said, you can watch that video right here. My analysis of Celgene starts at the 4:42 mark in the video.

I indicated that I thought Celgene could move to the $135-$136 area. It practically got there today with the big jump on the opening. What caused the big jump was an announcement by Celgene that it was buying Receptos Inc. (NASDAQ:RCPT) for $7.2 billion. This gives Celgene an even bigger presence in the $67 billion drug market to treat autoimmune conditions.

You can search every day in MarketClub for stocks that represent the same opportunities as Celgene. It's easy to do with the Trade Triangle scanning tools.

In today's video, I will be taking a general look at the markets to see exactly what's going on and determine if the market has made a fake or real turn to the upside.

Please feel free to leave your comments below this post on any market related subject.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Maryland Therapeutic Riding - INO Cares July 2015

When someone here at INO.com needs something, they all seem to run to Rachel. Rachel does it all and we are grateful to have her as a colleague! This month we ran to her to get her pick for our July INO Cares project.

Rachel has been riding horses for over 25 years. She first fell in love with horses after her mother gave her a My Little Pony set when she was 5 years old. Throughout her life, she has trained horses, taught lessons, managed an equestrian retail shop and cared for her own horses. She has also volunteered with numerous organizations who help rescue horses as well as provide therapeutic resources for those in need through equestrian programs.

Rachel currently has a 10-year-old Dutch Warmblood named Mojave (Mo) who is pictured to the right.

For her pick, Rachel selected Maryland Therapeutic Riding (MTR) to receive a donation from INO.com in honor of our July INO Cares campaign.

MTR uses the healing and therapeutic power of horses to improve the balance, strength, muscle tone, self-image, self-confidence, and quality of life for individuals with special needs. Their riders, with challenges such as cerebral palsy, spina bifida, neuromuscular disorders, post-traumatic brain injury, emotional disabilities, autism and attention deficit disorder, use horses to experience an overall improvement in their quality of life.

Learn more about Maryland Therapeutic Riding.

If there are any causes that are important to you, tell us about them! We’d love to pick organizations nominated by our blog visitors for next year’s INO Cares campaign.

Best,
Lindsay Bittinger
INO.com, Inc.

First Greece, Now Iran, The Deals Keep Coming

Yesterday, we saw the first glimmer of hope from Greece and that was enough to push the markets up sharply and optimism once again ruled the markets.

Today's announcement of a nuclear deal with Iran is a different kettle of fish. I do not view the nuclear deal with Iran in quite the same positive light as the deal with Greece. The ramifications are very different and of course, potentially life-threatening for a very sensitive part of the world.

It is going to take the markets some time to digest the ramifications of this deal as it is still way too early and premature to assume either the best or worst scenario for this deal. Putting all that aside, today I'm going to look at the technical aspects of the major indices, crude oil, gold and the euro and time permitting, a couple of stocks that are looking good technically.

Tell us, what do you think of this nuclear deal with Iran? Please feel free to leave your comments below this post. I would be most interested in hearing how you think this will affect the markets, crude oil and of course, the world.

Q3 promises to be a very interesting quarter in many aspects. Q3 happens to be one of the most successful quarters for trading soybeans. You can see all of our soybean entry and exit signals in our World Cup Portfolio, right here.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub