Gold Is Setting Up For a Short

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By: Chris Wilkinson of Longleaftrading.com

The overall fundamental theme for gold is still bearish. With the dollar rallying and commodities being dollar denominated, all else being equal, the price of commodities should decrease. The market looks to be pricing in low inflation to come and gold is used as an inflationary hedge. This is a bearish fundamental factor.

What we saw last week was very opportunistic upward movement that is helping set up the much larger downward trend that I foresee coming. The cash injections from the ECB and China should be short lived as the market will once again see these central banking efforts will not have a large impact on global inflationary numbers. Let’s look at the charts to plan our trade.

Continue reading "Gold Is Setting Up For a Short" →

Semi Equipment Book-to-Bill Ratio Moderating

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Since we were the only ones (so far as I could see) even talking about the Semiconductor equipment industry ramp up (and positive implications on US manufacturing) back in early 2013 I think we should continue to tend the sector and finish what we started.

Last month the SOX took a massive dive down to our noted long-term support area in a giant swoosh of hype (coming from the financial media by way of one company’s outlook) and emotion by way of stampeding herds trying to get out at all costs.  It was just a setup as the SOX resides at new recovery highs this weekend.

From my days in manufacturing (most of which were spent not directly participating in this sector) I remember the Semiconductor Book-to-Bill ratio (B2B) as a pretty heavily watched indicator among industry types.  From Semi.org:

“The SEMI Book-to-Bill Report provides a first look at the book-to-bill ratio for North American Headquartered Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturers. The three-month average global bookings and billings are a strong indicator for trends in the worldwide semiconductor industry. SEMI follows the protocol established by the U.S. Department of Commerce in publishing our figures only on a three-month average basis. We do this in order to smooth out the natural volatility in bookings. This report is distributed monthly approximately three weeks after the close of each month. Categories covered include front-end (wafer processing/mask/reticle/wafer manufacturing/fab facilities) equipment and final manufacturing (assembly/packaging/test) equipment.”

On November 20 Semi.org published its most recent B2B data.  First their summary and then a table covering the May through October 2014 period. Continue reading "Semi Equipment Book-to-Bill Ratio Moderating" →

3 Thanksgiving Stocks That Deserve Your Attention

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders and MarketClub members everywhere! Here we are, starting a shortened trading week before the big Thanksgiving holiday here in the US.

For most of us, Thanksgiving conjures up pictures of family and lots of food, sitting around a table sharing good times. And yes, perhaps eating too much at times. With that thought in mind, I decided to search for three healthy food stocks that would not add inches to your waistline or overpower you with processed food.

In the last several years, there has been a big movement into eating fresh and healthier food and knowing where the food is coming from. No where is this more prevalent than with the millennials and the aging baby boomer population here in the US.

It's hard to go into a supermarket or food store now and not see people actually reading the labels for perhaps the first time and not buying into the advertising myth for that particular product. I view this as a very positive sign, particularly for retailers who get that the consumer wants a better and healthier alternative to all the processed food that's out there.

So let's get started and look at the three stocks I'm going to be examining in today's video. The first stock I will be looking at is Whole Foods Market Inc. (NASDAQ:WFM), which is currently trading around $48 a share. The next stock is The Fresh Market Inc. (NASDAQ:TFM), which is trading around the $39 level. The last stock on my shopping list is Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (NASDAQ:SFM), which closed last Friday around $32.

In today's short video, I'll be examining all three companies and showing you my projections for each of these three stocks. I will also be pinpointing a level that could make one of these stocks skyrocket.

As always, I welcome your comments and feedback below this post, so please feel free to share with me what you think of these three stocks or the market in general.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Marin Katusa: Winter is Coming, How Investors Can Win in the 'Colder War'

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The Energy Report: Your book, "The Colder War," is based on the idea that world domination will come through control of the energy economy, and that Russia is winning the fight. How is Russia using the petrodollar to achieve energy supremacy?

Marin Katusa: Under the leadership of President Vladimir Putin, Russia has reestablished itself as the alternative to the American superpower. Putin has aligned himself with nations like China to work in concert against U.S. interests globally. Furthermore, a new bank formed by the BRICS countries Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa will attempt to assert itself as an alternative to the International Monetary Fund.

The Colder War will be a long battle, just like the first Cold War, but in the Colder War, judgment day of the petrodollar will be the critical battle. One must understand global politics and the Colder War to be a successful investor in the energy sector.

TER: What is China's role in this struggle? Continue reading "Marin Katusa: Winter is Coming, How Investors Can Win in the 'Colder War'" →

Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part IX)

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Elliott Wave International

You may remember that after the 2008-2009 crash, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did they fail?

And more importantly, will they warn us of a new approaching doomsday, should there be one?

This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part IX; come back soon for Part X.

Myth #9: Inflation makes gold and silver go up.

By Robert Prechter (excerpted from the monthly Elliott Wave Theorist; published since 1979)

This one seems like a no-brainer. The government or the central bank prints more bonds, notes and bills, and prices for things go up in response. Gold is real money, so it must fluctuate along with the inflation rate.

Once again, it doesn't happen that way. Let's examine the history of inflation and the precious metals since the low of the Great Depression.

Inflation occurred relentlessly from 1933 to 1970, yet gold and silver remained unchanged over the entire time. True, the government fixed the price. But markets are more powerful than any government, and if the market had wanted precious metals prices higher, it would have made them go higher. Continue reading "Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part IX)" →