Concerned About The Real Estate Market?

Our continuing research into the state of the real estate market suggests the Covid-19 virus event will likely put extreme pressure on many sectors within the US and global markets. This, Part III of a multi-part research article, will highlight many of the key economic data points that will soon be released and how these numbers may shock the markets. Additionally, as consumers and businesses prepare for an extended shutdown, it is important to understand the psychological process that takes place in the minds of people. PART I, PART II

Initially, people naturally hope for a quick and reasonable solution. As the process continues where an extended shutdown of the US economy persists, consumers and business managers change their expectations from optimism for a quick resumption of economic activity to “how do we survive this extended closure event”. This is when traders and investors really need to pay attention to what is happening in their local and national economies. One of the most important things to consider throughout an event like this is to watch how your local economy is operating and what is happening with local consumers. This will help you understand what is happening elsewhere.

Demand for certain items will continue almost as normal. We call this the Personal Consumer Essentials. These items are typically things like toilet paper, toothpaste, over the counter medications, underwear, food, and water. These are the types of purchases that must continue for average people to survive this type of event. Luxury items, vacations, extras, and other purchases may suffer throughout this process.

The first 30 days will likely be a transition period for many consumers. Remember, this is still the “hope” phase where Continue reading "Concerned About The Real Estate Market?"

Is A Real Estate Crash Coming?

Does history repeat itself? Are price patterns and chart patterns reliable enough to suggest that a global Real Estate market collapse may be set up? What would it take for another Real Estate collapse to take place in today’s global market?

First, let’s start with this simple chart highlighting the “Bear Flag” setup from 2007 and the current 2019 Bear Flag setup. This price pattern was enough of an early warning sign for our research team to run into our offices and tell us of the exciting pattern they just identified regarding Real Estate and what they thought could happen. We listened to them share their ideas and concepts of how we have 11 months to go before the 2020 US Presidential election takes place and how higher risk delinquencies and foreclosures are starting to spike. They suggested the political theater of the global markets and US election cycle will likely distract from the weakening economic cycle which could present enough “smoke and mirrors” to keep investors’ attention away from this potential collapse in the housing market.

Much like a magician attempts to distract you just long enough to pull of their new trick, could the political theater, global economic news cycles and the never-ending battle in Washington DC be just enough of a distraction that skilled traders miss this critical setup? We hope not.

The peak that occurred in 2007 setup about 19 months before the 2008 Presidential election took place. The 2019 peak occurs about 13 months before the 2020 Presidential election. In both instances, a highly contentious political battle is taking place which may distract traders and investors from really paying attention to the underlying factors of the global markets. Continue reading "Is A Real Estate Crash Coming?"

Is It Time To Consider This REIT For Your Portfolio?

Daniel Cross - INO.com Contributor - Equities


As the market takes on more of a bearish mentality, investors look for alternative stocks to take shelter in. While cyclical sectors begin to underperform as the global economy flirts with a recessionary phase, defensive sectors start to look more attractive. While consumer staples often perform well during difficult times, one sector has all but faded from more investors minds since the financial crisis in 2008.

REIT's are generally good investments when other asset classes become more volatile. The real estate market isn't always correlated to the broader indexes and since 2008, many investors have avoided them based on a knee-jerk reaction that they will perform poorly when the market dips. The truth, though, is that certain REIT's are actually facing a bullish market right now.

While the Fed might have delayed its interest rate hike, it's a temporary issue that will eventually give way to a rising rate environment within the next year. This might not be positive news for prospective homeowners, but it is good news for companies that derive their income from rental prices. Continue reading "Is It Time To Consider This REIT For Your Portfolio?"

Despite Low Rates, Housing Rebound is Weak

By: Elliott Wave International

A June 28 headline on CNBC reads, "Homeownership rate drops to 63.4%, lowest since 1967." The report goes on to say "The number of occupied housing units grew, but all on the renter side."

What does this change mean for the future of real estate in the U.S.? Will the recent rebound in mortgages and real estate prices continue?

Listen to this clip from Steve Hochberg's recent presentation at the San Francisco MoneyShow to get Elliott Wave International's unique perspective on the future of the U.S. real estate market (don't miss the link at the bottom to watch 4 more clips from Steve's presentation):


Market Myths Exposed

Free Club EWI Video Series
"Economic Crisis Meets Investor Opportunity"

Watch select portions of a live talk given by Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg to a packed house at the San Francisco MoneyShow.

You'll see a compelling argument -- supported by charts, facts and figures -- for an imminent financial and economic collapse in America.

Log in to watch Steve's eye-opening presentation now, 100% free >>

Need a login? Complete your Club EWI profile to get instant access to this free resource >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Despite Low Rates, Housing Rebound is Weak. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Real Estate, Are you Buying?

Sales of new homes increased 7.9 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 421,000, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. That comes after sales plunged 14.1 percent in July to a 390,000 annual rate. The National Association of Realtors also reported last week that the sales of previously occupied homes rose in August to a seasonally adjusted 5.5 million annual pace. That's a healthy level and the highest in more than six years. With a positive outlook in the housing market we wanted to ask.....

What are your real estate plans?

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The INO.com team