Weekly Futures Recap w/Mike Seery

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Cotton Futures-- Cotton futures for the December contract settled last Friday at 87.18 finishing down nearly 400 points this week with all the damage being done on Mondays trade as the tropical storm which was expected to possibly hurt the cotton crop pushing prices higher but the storm amounted to very little sending prices on Monday down 300 points as harvest continues here in the United States with poor chart structure at this time. The trend in cotton now is to the downside trading below its 20 & 100 day moving average; however the 10 day high is too far away right now so I’m advising traders to sit on the sidelines and wait for some better chart structure to develop as the commodity markets have turned negative in my opinion. The grain market continues to weaken and that also could put some pressure on cotton prices in the short term. TREND: LOWER –CHART STRUCTURE: TERRIBLE Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap w/Mike Seery"

WTF - It's not what you think

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and Co-creator of MarketClub, with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 11th of October.

I first learned about the real meaning of WTF while I was a member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, back when I was trading in the pits, standing shoulder to shoulder with some of the smartest traders in the world.

It was back when the movie Star Wars was all the rage and George Lucas was at the height of his very successful, creative career. The iconic line from the movie that struck a cord with everyone was, "May the force be with you."

How that quote made it into the trading pits of Chicago will always be a mystery to me. The members of the exchange took WTF, a slang term, and translated that to stand for "What's The Force?", loosely interpreted to mean, is the force up or down for the market? This term was especially common on Fridays when traders had to decide whether they were going to hold or fold their positions over the weekend.

So I say to you this Friday, WTF? Continue reading "WTF - It's not what you think"

Should Janet Yellen Be The Next Federal Reserve Chief?

The challenges for Janet Yellen if she becomes the next Federal Reserve chair will require both the steely intellect and the personable style that many attribute to her.

Deciding when to slow the Fed's economic stimulus. Forging consensus from a fractious policy committee. Calculating the effects of any economic slowdown from Washington's budget fight. Facing volatile financial markets. Absorbing new members at the Fed.

First, though, Yellen will have to get there: She'll need to overcome Washington's toxic political environment and win confirmation from the Senate.

It's almost enough to make you wonder why she'd want the job, but a better question is....

Should Janet Yellen be the next Federal Reserve chief?

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Yellen is widely seen as a "dove" on Fed policy: She stresses the need to use the Fed's tools to boost growth and reduce unemployment in the sluggish aftermath of the Great Recession, rather than worry about igniting future inflation. Continue reading "Should Janet Yellen Be The Next Federal Reserve Chief?"

Is The Market Correction Over?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and Co-creator of MarketClub, with your mid-day market update for Thursday, the 10th of October.

Yes, I believe that the current correction has come to an end with yesterday's market action. Markets are heavily oversold at this point and I expect to see a relief rally starting today.

Several of our MarketClub members stated that they expect to see some sort of agreement out of Washington in the next few days. I happen to agree with their thoughts and if that happens, it could instantly repair the downside pressure on the markets.

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is looking more and more interesting, particularly if it closes today over the $491.10 level. Should this happen, it will have created a mini base in which to propel Apple to my "line-in-the-sand" level at $497. Apple could go into overdrive if this level is broken on the upside any time this week. Continue reading "Is The Market Correction Over?"

How Volatility Affects The Options and Binary Options Markets

Market volatility comes in two forms, implied volatility and historical volatility, both which can affect an investor’s ability to be successful in trading Binary Options. Implied volatility is similar to a financial security as it fluctuates with market sentiment and is an estimate of how much options trader perceives a financial security or index will move over a specific period of time on an annualized basis. Historical volatility is the actual past movement of a security and can be defined as the standard deviation of a time series, reflected in percentage format.

Implied volatility affects the price of a Binary Option, but it influences standard vanilla options much more than it effects Binary Options. Implied volatility changes as market sentiment changes. Generally as fear and trepidation increase, implied volatility increases, while increases in complacency are generally highly correlated to declines in implied volatility.  Continue reading "How Volatility Affects The Options and Binary Options Markets"