Gold Chart of the Week

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (October 15 through October 19)

I stand corrected and I do not mind admitting it. The past few weeks, I have been suggesting that December Gold would see short dips being bought and would likely rally through $1800 an ounce in the near future. We begin this week trading below $1750 an ounce and I am somewhat surprised. While today’s low is seen as a decent support level off of the September 26th price, I am still left questioning whether Gold’s hangover will continue.

Normally I try to fill this report with a review of last week’s fundamentals to explain the trade, but I will spare you the boredom. Here is a “Cliff’s Notes” version of the reports and action last week from the United States, Europe, and China. In the United States, the idea of QE3 (printing US Dollars and purchasing debt) has now officially faded as most markets have corrected the move up. On top of that, the huge Michigan Consumer Confidence number only resulted in a thirty second rally, followed by a selloff to finish the week. In Europe, there is one thing only to report. That is that for the sixth week straight, the market continues to worry about whether or not Spain will request a bailout and allow the ECB to buy Spanish debt and reduce borrowing costs. Thankfully, none of the traders that I know are holding their breath waiting for a final answer from Spain. And in China, the reports continue to be one question mark after the next. So what are we left with? We are left trading technicals in lighter volume that are still driven by HFT programs. I believe that if we do not hear about a formal request for a bailout from Spain soon, that we may have to wait until after the US Presidential Elections before the market environment changes. Continue reading "Gold Chart of the Week"

Daily Video Update: Consumer Confidence Grows

Hello traders everywhere! Jeremy Lutz with your mid-day market update for Monday, the 15th of October.

Stocks move higher today after a strong gain in retail spending suggested that consumers could be getting more confident about the economy. The Commerce Department said retail sales rose 1.1 percent last month after a 1.2 percent increase in August. Those are the largest gains since October 2010.

The price of oil is falling today and giving back the gains from last week. The focus instead is on weaker oil demand. On Friday, the International Energy Agency issued a new report predicting slower growth in demand for oil over the next five years. The agency also forecast that supplies will increase as the global economy struggles to grow.

Now, let's analyze the major markets and stocks on the move using MarketClub's Trade Triangle Technology.

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Will Trinity Industries pass the MarketClub test?

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On Tuesday, a Raymond James analysis upgraded TRN, traded on the New York Stock Exchange, to a "strong-buy" rating. Trinity industries, an industrial manufacturer, claims an 80% jump in the second quarter for their rail car business. Continue reading "Will Trinity Industries pass the MarketClub test?"

Navigating the US's Politicized Economy

By Terry Coxon, Casey Research

Absent the state's involvement in the workings of the marketplace, an investor's central task would be to evaluate companies for their ability to efficiently produce and market what customers want. Shrewdness at that one task would lead to the profits investors are looking for. And there would be other consequences.

The stocks of companies that succeeded in convincing investors that they had the right stuff (primarily through good performance) would be bid up. Stocks of companies that failed to make their case to investors would tend to drift down, and any company whose stock drifted low enough would become a takeover target. A takeover would replace underperforming management with a new team of officers and directors – individuals picked by the people who laid out their own money to buy enough shares to control the company.

That's how things work when the government isn't a player in the process. It's a marvel of efficiency and impartiality. Managers who serve investors by serving customers are rewarded. Investors who identify such managers are rewarded. Unskilled managers eventually lose the corporate positions that enable them to make wasteful, money-losing decisions. And investors who are blind to management weakness or who forgive it too willingly lose their own money. Continue reading "Navigating the US's Politicized Economy"

Daily Video Update: The market remains subdued on upbeat news

Hello traders everywhere! Jeremy Lutz with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 12th of October.

Stocks have moved mostly lower over today despite a higher open this morning. Selling pressure has remained subdued, however, contributing to choppy trading on Wall Street.

The major averages have climbed off their worst levels in recent trading but remain in the red. This downturn came despite the release of an upbeat report on U.S. consumer sentiment in the month of October.

Thomson Reuters and the University of Michigan said that the preliminary reading on their consumer sentiment index for October came in at 83.1 compared to the final September reading of 78.3.

With the significant monthly increase, the consumer sentiment index rose to its highest level since September of 2007.

If you haven't do so yet. Be sure to vote on our Poll about the V.P. Debates last night. We have quite a conversation going on.

Now, let's analyze the major markets and stocks on the move using MarketClub's Trade Triangle Technology.

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