EURUSD: Why Recent Ups and Downs Are NOT Random

By Elliott Wave International

How do you know what "your" forex market will do tomorrow?

You don't. We don't. Nobody does. All anyone can do is guess. But some guesses are more "educated" than others.

In a recent interview, Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens, explained why for the past almost 30 years his favorite method to "guess" at the market's trend has been Elliott wave analysis:

Jim Martens"Markets are doing what they are supposed to be doing: inflicting the most pain on the most number of people. Markets fool the most number of people at the most unexpected moments, but by tracking Elliott wave patterns, sentiment (and the news) you can prepare yourself.

"What separates Elliott wave fans from the rest of the public is that the public has no basis for determining when the trend may be over."

Let's take a look at a recent example: namely, price action in EURUSD on April 5-7.

Since the mid-March low in EURUSD, Jim and his Currency Pro Service team have been tracking a "messy" Elliott wave pattern in the euro-dollar: a correction. "Messy," because corrections are just that: choppy, overlapping, often directionless moments when it's just plain hard to make heads or tails. Continue reading "EURUSD: Why Recent Ups and Downs Are NOT Random"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract are trading above their 20 but still below their 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is mixed as I’m currently sitting on the sidelines in this market after prices settled in New York last Friday at 1,201 while currently trading at 1,208 up about $7 for the trading week as prices filled the gap that was created in Monday’s trade as the true breakout will be around 1,224 to the upside. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

How the open can make or break your day

If you follow our blog, then you are definitely familiar with trader Larry Levin, President of Trading Advantage LLC. We have gotten such a great response from some of his past posts that he has agreed to share one more of his favorite trading tips as a special treat to our viewers. Determining the direction of the market can be tricky and just plain confusing at times, but Larry’s expert opinion keeps it simple and straight-to-the-point.

If you like this article, Larry’s also agreed to give you free access to his award winning book.

Today he’s going to talk about how the open of the market can make or break your trading day.

The open for any trading session can set the tone for the day’s trade. Barring any major fundamentals, it can signal whether or not traders are going to be primarily bearish or bullish, or neutral and cautious. The start of the day can set the stage for your own trades as well. Starting off with a winning trade or having the market move in your favor at the beginning of the day gives you a confidence level that can propel you to an extremely successful trading day. Having a negative tone or having the market move against your analysis and any open positions will probably color your judgment for the rest of the day. Continue reading "How the open can make or break your day"

Another Profitable Quarter For The World Cup Portfolio

Q1 turned out to be another positive quarter for the World Cup portfolio, despite the fact that it lost money in 4 out of the 6 markets it trades.

Now, you might say to yourself, "How good is that system when it loses money in 4 out of 6 markets?" The reality is, the World Cup portfolio is a diversified portfolio that lowers your risk overall while at the same time enhancing your returns.

The opposite of this portfolio is to cherry pick what you think is going to happen. When you do that, you assume far greater risk losing money, in my opinion.

Losing money in 4 of the 6 markets did not affect the quarterly performance which was a positive return of 23.3%.

So you might be asking yourself how could the portfolio make 23.3% when it lost money in 4 the 6 markets it was trading? That gets down to being disciplined and following a market-proven program that has been published for the past 7 years. One of the secrets to the program is no secret at all, it is simply following the signals and letting your profits run. That is one of the hardest things for any trader to do.

Here's how the Q1 shaped up. Continue reading "Another Profitable Quarter For The World Cup Portfolio"

Investors: Prepare For A Bumpy Earnings Season

By: David Sterman of Street Authority

The chickens are coming home to roost. After a remarkable eight-month rally in the dollar, many U.S. firms are finally feeling the pinch.

In the near-term, investors need to brace for a cautious earnings season. Yet, as I'll explain in a moment, there are still ample reasons for long-term optimism, especially when the dollar loses momentum and/or the global economy starts to rebound in earnest.

The strong dollar, which blunts the competitiveness of American firms, both at home and abroad, will have a clear impact on first-quarter results and forward outlooks. According to FactSet Research, 85 companies in the SP 500 have already warned of a Q1 profit shortfall, while just 16 companies have pre-announced that results will be better than expected. If that figure of 16 holds, it will be the lowest number since the first quarter of 2006. Continue reading "Investors: Prepare For A Bumpy Earnings Season"