Today's Video Newsletter: Yesterday's concerns become today's reality

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Tuesday, the 26th of February.

In addition to the markets we normally report on, we will also be looking at the following markets using our Trade Triangle technology.

STOCKS ON THE MOVE TODAY:
Discover Financial (DFS)
Newfield Exploration (NFX) Continue reading "Today's Video Newsletter: Yesterday's concerns become today's reality"

Stocks Wavering As Traders Digest Bernanke's Testimony

With Congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke overshadowing a batch of upbeat economic data, stocks have wavered over the course of the trading day on Tuesday after initially moving to the upside.

The major averages are currently turning in a mixed performance, with the Nasdaq posting a modest loss. While the Nasdaq is down 6.26 points or 0.2 percent at 3,109.99, the Dow is up 66.62 points or 0.5 percent at 13,850.79 and the S&P 500 is up 1.35 points or 0.1 percent at 1,489.20.

The choppy trading on Wall Street comes as traders digest Bernanke's semi-annual testimony before the Senate Banking Committee. Continue reading "Stocks Wavering As Traders Digest Bernanke's Testimony"

Beware of the March Effect on the Stock Market

"Beware the Ides of March." This famous line uttered by a soothsayer in William Shakespeare's 1601 play, "The Tragedy of Julius Caesar," warned the ruler of his pending demise on the 15th day of March.

Well, we all know what happened to Caesar.

We could apply this same warning to the stock market today.

In the past few years, every stock rally in the beginning of the each year was met by a sharp sell-off in the spring. Certainly, this doesn't portend to mean the entire year ended badly. In fact, those investors with the foresight to buy during the spring swoons generally ended the year with strong gains. Continue reading "Beware of the March Effect on the Stock Market"

To Exercise, Or Not To Exercise (Options), That Is The Question

In a previous article, I explained commodity option expiration, exercising, and assignment. I noted a long (purchased) option position (call or put) has the right to exercise the contract. To make an informed decision, I will explain the result of exercising an option contract.

A commodity option contract is a decaying asset that will expire. As an option contract draws near its expiration date, set by the exchanges, both the time value and intrinsic value diminish. Time value is premium in relation to days until expiration. Intrinsic value is the premium in relation to the strike price’s distance from underlying futures contract price. Note that volatility will also play a role in the calculated premium price. The exception to intrinsic value diminishing is an in-the-money contract. At that point, the intrinsic value is a one-to-one ratio of the strike price in relation to the underlying futures contract. For example, a long April 2013 Gold 1600 call will be valued at 50 points (or $5,000) if futures are at 1650.0 on option expiration (March 25, 2013). On the other hand, if futures are at 1600.0 or below on expiration, the option contract is valued at zero. An in-the-money contract, before expiration, will also have time value included in the premium price. However, because there are a number of finite days until expiration, the time value diminishes from day one. Continue reading "To Exercise, Or Not To Exercise (Options), That Is The Question"

Today's Video Newsletter: I have two major concerns today

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Monday, the 25th of February.

In addition to the markets we normally report on, we will also be looking at the following markets using our Trade Triangle technology.

#1 MAJOR CONCERN
My number one concern, much like everyone else here in America, is the sequester on March 1st. This date is rapidly approaching and neither the Democrats nor the Republicans seem ready to compromise on this major challenge. The game of political chicken has been lifted to a whole new level of brinkmanship here the US. I am not sure that is in the best interest of the markets or the country. With the DOW and the NASDAQ indecisive at the moment, investors are losing confidence as they still feel shaky and have strong memories of 2008. Only the S&P remains in a positive mode and this is the one to watch carefully, in my opinion. Should this index breakdown and start moving lower, investors are likely to bolt for the exit doors. Continue reading "Today's Video Newsletter: I have two major concerns today"