Goldman Sachs' Ian Preston Surveys the Gold ETF vs Equity Battleground

The Gold Report: Your recent commodity price research shows a gold price of around $1,811/ounce (oz) for 2013. Could you talk with us about how some of the macroeconomic issues influence that forecast?

Ian Preston: When we look at gold, we don't have in mind a specific supply/demand balance going forward. It's easy enough to see the supply side. In trying to forecast a price for gold, we tend to run out a 4% per annum contango from the current gold price until we think U.S. interest rate policy will reverse and rates will start to climb. That stage just keeps on moving outas it has with Quantitative Easing (QE) 3.

"If accommodative fiscal policies continue globally, gold could go significantly higher."

We look at the gold price to forecast earnings, and over the next 6 to 12 months, we'd expect $1,650/oz at the lower end and, if it breaks through, $1,8501,900/oz at the upper end. If accommodative fiscal policies continue globally, it could go significantly higher. But bear in mind that as equity analysts we're trying to forecast earnings, and to do so we want to be as close as possible to where the gold price will be for the next three to six months, even if the range is quite broad. Continue reading "Goldman Sachs' Ian Preston Surveys the Gold ETF vs Equity Battleground"

SkyWest Takes Off


Listening to analysts' stock ratings can be a tricky thing. After all, there are always many different opinions floating around, and some analysts change their rating in the blink of an eye.

Listening to the market however, is the only way to make a non-emotional and educated decision.

SkyWest Inc.(SKYW), traded on the NASDAQ, has had a shaky year. Analysts seem to flipflop their outlook for this airline stock. On September 12th, a Dahlman Rose analyst sent a note to investors upgrading shares from a sell to a hold rating. Two days later, Continue reading "SkyWest Takes Off"

Weekly Futures Recap w/Michael Seery

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Grain Futures--- The grain market this week saw high volatility across the board especially on this Friday afternoon with many commodities selling off sharply today putting pressure on the soybeans in the January contract finishing down only 11 cents at 15.35 a bushel up around $.13 for the trading week right near the 20 day and 100 day moving averages which is at 15.51 a bushel and in my opinion if prices break those levels on heavy volume the lows might be in the soybean market. Corn futures for the December contract were one of the few commodities today that were actually higher trading at 7.61 a bushel right near a four week after last Thursday’s bullish report has propelled corn prices at the upper end of the trading range. That corn is far above their 20 and 100 day moving average which suggests to me in my opinion that prices are headed towards the $8 dollar level with wheat having a very solid week up $.18 and on this Friday afternoon closing higher by $.3 at 8.71 a bushel breaking its 20 day moving average which was at 8 .70 and well above its 100 day moving averages which looks to me that it is going to rally along with corn and the oat market. Wheat futures for the December contract are down about 7% from the high which was a July 23, 2012 at 9.53 a bushel which was during the summer drought. In my opinion I believe the soybeans are in a bottoming process after dropping over $2.50 from recent highs due to harvest pressure as well as a major slowdown in China sending many of the grain prices off of their summer highs with better than expected yields coming in putting a lid on prices at this point, however about 75% of the soybean crop is harvested which means most of the harvest pressure has finished. Traders are now focusing on the November 9th crop report and the weather in South America with the growing season underway receiving beneficial rains and normal temperatures which means the crop is off to a solid start which could be a record producing year in Brazil and in Argentina. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap w/Michael Seery"

Dow down 205 as weak earnings drag market lower

Poor corporate earnings reports pounded the stock market Friday in a sour end to an otherwise strong week of trading. The Dow Jones industrial average fell more than 200 points for its worst day in four months.

Disappointing results from three giants of the Dow _ Microsoft, General Electric and McDonald's _ were to blame. But the broader market fell, too, and the Standard & Poor's 500 index fared even worse in percentage terms.

The Dow sank 205.43 points, or 1.5 percent, to close at 13,343.51. The S&P lost 24.15, or 1.7 percent, to 1,433.19. The Nasdaq composite index, hammered by a second ugly day for Google, lost 67.25 points to 3,005.62, a 2.2 percent decline.

The big drops Friday left the Dow and S&P clinging to gains for the week. Continue reading "Dow down 205 as weak earnings drag market lower"

Daily Video Update: 25 Year Anniversary … Black Monday, October 19, 1987. Has anything changed?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 19th of October.

The sad news is I don't think it has. A panic, is a panic, is a panic. The reality is when everybody wants out of the market at the same time there are not enough doors open to stop a mass exodus. That is the history and nature of market crashes and it is why they are called panics.

Now for the good news, with our Trade Triangle technology you will be alerted before a panic takes place. Such was the case in 1987 and also in 2007.

I have just finished a new eBook that can help you avoid panics and crashes and you are welcome to download it with our compliments. The file is pretty big, so please be aware it may take a few minutes to download.

“Five Professional Stock Trading Rules That Will Make You Successful In Any Market” Continue reading "Daily Video Update: 25 Year Anniversary … Black Monday, October 19, 1987. Has anything changed?"