Trader's Toolbox: Support and Resistance Revisited

Although many of you will find this lesson in one of the most basic concepts of market behavior "old hat", it never hurts to review. One of the first things a new trader is told (I hesitate to say learns as many never do) is to buy a breakout above resistance and sell a fall through support.

Resistance is the level which holds a market down, while support is an area which props up a market much like a ceiling and a floor. The key is to identify the critical levels. There are a number of methods to determine support and resistance: trendlines, moving averages, retracements, Gann angles, etc. However, simple observation can be an effective means of locating the important areas. A quick glance at the October cotton chart reveals the most basic levels of support and resistance (broken lines).

A previous high often provides resistance, while an earlier low tends to offer support. Support or resistance levels are not necessarily flat. For example, trendlines reveal areas of rising support or falling resistance. Also, when broken, uptrend lines offer a new level of rising resistance, while the opposite is true for downtrend lines. In fact, virtually any broken area of support will become resistance and vice versa. After breaking a level of support (or resistance), the market commonly comes back to test that level before resuming the downmove (upmove). This may be the single most effective method of locating low-risk entry points for trading purposes. This lesson may seem like wasted space to the experienced. However, it is amazing how often traders simply forget (or ignore) the power of basic support and resistance levels. This concept can be very profitable, but it may be just too "easy".

1PM Market Update for 5/24/11

Hi, Adam Hewison here for MarketClub. Did you miss your 1 p.m. market update for Tuesday the 24th of May? Catch up now!

Here's what's happening right now in the major markets ...

S&P 500: -60. Only the longer-term monthly Trade Triangle remains intact at this time. Short-term market trend is down. Market at the lower end of the Donchian Channel. Neutral - Major Support at 1,295-1,300.Would not be surprised to see a possible bounce.

Silver: Score +55. Today's action favors more of a recovery on the upside. Spot market moved over 36.00. Bullish divergence on the Williams %R indicator confirmed. Near term support at 34.25. Major Support at $32.00. Major resistance at $39.50. Short-term rally potential up to 42.00.

Gold: Score +70. Longer term trend remains positive. The $1,520 was broken today and a close over this area indicates more upside action. Support at $1,500, $1,475 and $1,462.50. Market Trending higher.$1,533 is a 62% Fib retracement.

Crude Oil: +80 Trading range. Long term indicator remains positive. Resistance at 100.80 basis July. Choppy market. Bullish divergence confirmed on the Williams %R indicator.A close over $100 basis July is needed to drive prices higher.

The Dollar Index: Score +60. In a very broad trading range with the longer term Trade Triangle remaining in a negative position. Index reversed from resistance at the 76.50 level. Major resistance remains at 77.50. Minor support at 75.00. Possible "Dark Cloud Cover" forming today and a Negative divergence on the Williams%R indicator.

The Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodity Index: Score +55. Near-term resistance at 344.00. Minor support at 335.00. Market oversold. Bullish divergence building on the Williams %R indicator. Trade Triangles are negative on this market.

Join me again tomorrow at 1:00p.m. ET for your LIVE and actionable update!

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President of INO.com
Co-founder of MarketClub

1PM Update (5/23/11)

Hello, Adam Hewison here for MarketClub. I hope you were able to join me for today's market update. If not, all is not lost. Watch the video below to get caught up!

Here's what we covered in the major markets ...

S&P 500: -70. Only the longer-term monthly Trade Triangle remains intact at this time. Short-term market trend is down. Market at the lower end of the Donchian Channel. Neutral - Major Support at 1,295-1,300.

Silver: Score -55. Stuck at -55 as it continues to move sideways. Spot market needs to move over 36.00 to give this market upward momentum.Bullish divergence on the Williams %R indicator. Near term support at 34.25.Major Support at $32.00. Major resistance at $39.50.

Gold: Score +70. Longer term trend remains positive. All eyes are on $1,520 0n the upside. A close over this level propels market higher. Support at $1,490, $1,475 and $1,462.50. Resistance at $1,526. Market Trending higher.

Crude Oil: +70 Trading range. Long term indicator remains positive. Resistance at 100.80 basis July. Choppy market. Possible bullish divergence on the Williams %R indicator.SUPPORT AT $96.00 for the July contract.

The Dollar Index: Score +70. In a very broad trading range with the longer term Trade Triangle remaining in a negative position. Minor resistance at 76.50 and major resistance remains at 77.50. Minor support at 75.00

The Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodity Index: Score +55. Near-term resistance at 344.00. Support at 327.50. Market oversold. Bullish divergence building on the Williams %R indicator. Trade Triangles are negative on this market.

Join me again tomorrow at 1:00p.m. ET for your LIVE and actionable update!

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President of INO.com
Co-founder of MarketClub

If you "snooze" you lose!

If I wasn’t still getting a steady stream of emails after reminding you of the prediction challenge, I would feel like that pesky alarm that you dread as your morning wake up call. Well consider this your final hit to the “snooze button!” We are embarking on the last week of the contest.

Contest? What contest, you ask? Wipe the sleep from those beautiful eyes of yours, charge that battery, and show everyone that you deserve to be a “trillionaire”, “the smartest man/woman of the universe”…and at the very least, the winner of an Android Tablet!

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