The Only Place To Find Safe Yields

By: Joseph Hogue of Street Authority

The great bond exodus may have begun. Fears of Federal Reserve-induced interest rate increases are pushing bond yields up and bond prices down.

In fact, more than $1.2 trillion in value has been wiped out in the global bond market since April.

The selloff has accelerated when the June employment report showed that wages in May increased by the most since August 2013.

Signs of an economic recovery in Europe have also pushed losses on global bonds even further. The yield on the German 10-year bund has jumped nearly ten-fold since late April. Continue reading "The Only Place To Find Safe Yields"

Continuation Patterns Work – And Here's Why

I learned about continuation patterns many years ago and it was an expensive lesson. Before I share that with you, let me explain to you what a continuation pattern is and what it does.

A continuation pattern is one where you have a move out of the base, which is called a breakout, and the market moves up rather sharply and then stops and move sideways. The reverse is true when a market breaks down from a top and then forms a continuation pattern to the downside. Traders in a bear market will either sell short or buy puts looking for the market to move lower.

Well, many years ago I was one of those rookie traders and it was a lesson that I've never forgotten to this day - don't try to pick tops or bottoms on continuation patterns.

Talking about a classic continuation pattern, the stock of Under Armour Inc. (NYSE:UA) broke out of a continuation pattern today. UA now looks poised to move much higher. I've talked about this stock before and pointed out that it was a continuation pattern to the upside in several of my previous videos, I hope you were able to catch the move. Certainly, the Trade Triangle technology did not miss this move and is sitting with some nice profits at the moment.

What has your experience been with continuation patterns? Do you trade them, or were you unaware of this recurring phenomenon? Either way, I would like to hear what you think. Leave your comments below this post.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

What The Boomers Got Wrong And Right About Natural Resource Investing

The Gold Report: Mike, we often hear that the current generation doesn't realize how good they have it compared to when you had to walk uphill both ways through snow to make a trade. Is it easier to invest today with all the resources online and pundits around every corner or is it harder to cut through the noise and find the best opportunities?

Michael Berry: While the Internet makes it easier to do research and make a trade, that doesn't mean it is easier to make a good trade, or better still, a smart long-term investment. I think it's challenging today. It's easy to trade, but much more difficult to create real wealth. A P/E multiple used to have real meaning. Today, the pace of the market is so fast, there are so many flash traders, so many games being played and so many nickels being minted, that it is difficult to figure out what is real. There are debt and equity bubbles out there that have been being created for the past two decades. They can be difficult to take advantage of because investors have to go against the prevailing thinking.

"Quaterra Resources Inc.'s Yerington property could become a major world-class copper resource."

Hedge funds can't make it today; only the private equity players seem to be successful and they have tremendous advantages. Almost all central bankers are in the investment game now. The Federal Reserve owns 25% of the Treasury bond market. What do they plan to do with their investment? There is US$9 trillion sloshing around the world today and a global exchange rate devaluation. These issues make central bankers powerful new players and make the market more challenging for individual investors.

TGR: Chris, did the boomers and the flash traders wreck it for the rest of us? Continue reading "What The Boomers Got Wrong And Right About Natural Resource Investing"

Play The Big Data Trend With This Tech Stock

Daniel Cross - INO.com Contributor - Equities


Tech stocks are having a great year as evidenced by the NASDAQ's gain of 7.2% year-to-date. Fueling the growth is the emerging trend with the "Internet of Things" (IoT). This fast growing segment in the technology industry is situated around big data, cloud computing, semiconductors, and wireless interconnectivity.

The landscape is a rich one for companies involved in the IoT field. The entire IoT industry will grow from $1.9 trillion in 2013 to $7.1 trillion by 2020 according to estimates made by the market research firm IDC. The increased strain on existing hardware and software infrastructures means that a more advanced form of storage will become necessary to handle the workload.

Big data is the answer. SNS Research's new report expects big data to be a $40 billion industry by the end of this year. Investments in this growing technology are estimated to grow at a CAGR of 14% over the next 5 years in fields ranging from mobile devices to scientific research to fraud detection. And with so much potential in big data, one company has emerged as the de facto leader in the industry.

A disruptive innovator with huge growth opportunities ahead

EMC Corporation (EMC) is a $52 billion company and stands out as the world's largest provider of data storage systems. The company provides data storage, information security, cloud computing, and other services that enable companies to store, manage, analyze, and protect information.

Despite the potential in big data, EMC's stock hasn't really performed well this year – down nearly 9% YTD. The company missed earnings for the first quarter reporting $0.31 per share as opposed to the analysts consensus of $0.36 per share. The miss was partially due to managements miscalculations however and not entirely attributed to a declining product line which could mean that the stock could be on sale at its current price.

NYSE:EMC
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com

Based on EMC's chart, positive momentum appears to be building up in the stock. The stock should be in breakout territory once it crosses $27.50 while the downside appears to have already been priced into the stock price.

The stock looks cheap from a valuation perspective trading at just 14.2 times earnings in an industry where 16.7 is the average. The balance sheet looks strong with long term debt obligations of around $5.5 billion while cash holdings currently stand at about $4.4 billion. Last year, EMC increased its dividend which now pays out $0.46 per share annually for a total yield of 1.7% while keeping the payout ratio to a low 37%. The company also has plans to buy back $3 billion worth of stock for 2015 providing a floor for investors in the stock.

EMC's recent announcement to acquire Virtustream for $1.2 billion in an all-cash deal should be a positive catalyst for the stock. The global cloud service provider will add depth to EMC's cloud data storage portfolio and give customers the capability to move their entire application portfolio into a cloud environment.

Given full year earnings estimates of $1.91, the stock should be fairly valued at $33 per share – a 22% discount from its current price. The second quarter results will be a better indication of whether the weakness seen in the first quarter was temporary as management claimed or indicative of a deeper problem.

Check back to see my next post!

Best,
Daniel Cross
INO.com Contributor - Equities

Disclosure: This contributor does not own any stocks mentioned in this article. This article is the opinion of the contributor themselves. The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. This contributor is not receiving compensation (other than from INO.com) for their opinion.

Emotion Free Trading

A big part of being a successful trader is keeping your emotions out of the trade. As a special treat to our readers we asked Larry Levin to share a video on the subject.

Larry reveals techniques for traders like you to help you control your emotions and transform you into a disciplined, emotion-free trader. It is the most important concept you can learn in order to be a successful trader.

If you can master this skill, you can be very successful in this business. If we can't control the market and what it will do, then the only thing that will make us successful is if we can control ourselves. And that's easier said than done. But it is the reality of successful trading.

Watch Now: Emotion Free Trading

Best,
The INOTV Team