Well, here we are, the 1st of April and I don't have an April fools joke to share with you. Q1 will go down in history as one of the best first quarters since the 1930s. So what propelled this market to push so much on the upside in Q1? To be honest with you I'm not sure; maybe it was the prospect of ongoing cheap money from the FED or something else. When you look at hedge fund managers and other professional traders, nobody was expecting such a strong quarter. Now that Q1 is in the record books it is time to start looking at what is ahead for this the stock market.
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. I have to say that I have an uneasy feeling about the markets today. As you know, for some time I have been neutral to negative on the major indices based on the monthly Trade Triangles. As I pointed out yesterday, the first cracks in the armor came when the indices fell below their PSAR levels. The only exception was the NASDAQ, whose PSAR comes in today at 4734.77. Should the NASDAQ (NASDAQ:COMP) trade below that level today, it would indicate that all indices are now vulnerable to a fairly sharp selloff.
Indices: I will be looking at all the major indices and indicating where they could potentially slip to in the weeks ahead. Also, Janet Yellen, head of the Federal Reserve, will be talking about the economy today. I have been a vocal critic of the Fed's policy for some time and believe the Fed is in over its head and doesn't quite know how to resolve the current continued weakness in the US economy. Continue reading "I Have An Uneasy Feeling Today"→
Hello MarketClub members everywhere! With the markets closed tomorrow for the Easter holiday, today is the end of the week. The question now is, how comfortable are investors going to be over this long 3 day weekend?
One of the tools I love using in MarketClub is the quarterly charts. I'm pretty confident in saying that very few traders ever watch these charts, but they should. They can provide you with a broad overall picture of the long-term trend that you just can't see on daily and weekly charts. I think you'll be surprised by what the quarterly charts are revealing today.
Below I have outlined last week's close, as well as key levels for the PSAR. Perhaps by the time you read this post the market will have already broken the Parabolic support levels. If that is the case, I would expect further weakness in the market next week. Continue reading "Do Quarterly Charts Hold The Key?"→
Hello MarketClub members everywhere, today I'm going to be looking at some key levels in the markets. If these levels are breached, it would indicate a further correction to the recent rallies. For the past 4 to 5 weeks the equity markets have been moving steadily higher and are now extremely overbought. That condition alone does not necessarily translate to the markets correcting, however, 85% of all stock market newsletters are bullish on equities. History has taught us that when there is a large consensus of people thinking the same way the reverse occurs as there is no one left to buy. The markets could well be at a consensus crossroads right now.
The terrorist attack this morning in Belgium once again brought home the fragility of the world we live in. This attack in Brussels, the capital of Belgium, is the headquarters of NATO and the symbolic heart of Europe. The attack on Brussels, in essence, is the equivalent of an attack on Washington D.C.
The reaction of the European markets today was surprisingly modest as the European indices lost only an average 0.50%.