Tag: Gold

Goldman Sachs' Ian Preston Surveys the Gold ETF vs Equity Battleground

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The Gold Report: Your recent commodity price research shows a gold price of around $1,811/ounce (oz) for 2013. Could you talk with us about how some of the macroeconomic issues influence that forecast?

Ian Preston: When we look at gold, we don't have in mind a specific supply/demand balance going forward. It's easy enough to see the supply side. In trying to forecast a price for gold, we tend to run out a 4% per annum contango from the current gold price until we think U.S. interest rate policy will reverse and rates will start to climb. That stage just keeps on moving outas it has with Quantitative Easing (QE) 3.

"If accommodative fiscal policies continue globally, gold could go significantly higher."

We look at the gold price to forecast earnings, and over the next 6 to 12 months, we'd expect $1,650/oz at the lower end and, if it breaks through, $1,8501,900/oz at the upper end. If accommodative fiscal policies continue globally, it could go significantly higher. But bear in mind that as equity analysts we're trying to forecast earnings, and to do so we want to be as close as possible to where the gold price will be for the next three to six months, even if the range is quite broad. Continue reading "Goldman Sachs' Ian Preston Surveys the Gold ETF vs Equity Battleground" →

Daily Video Update: 25 Year Anniversary … Black Monday, October 19, 1987. Has anything changed?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 19th of October.

The sad news is I don't think it has. A panic, is a panic, is a panic. The reality is when everybody wants out of the market at the same time there are not enough doors open to stop a mass exodus. That is the history and nature of market crashes and it is why they are called panics.

Now for the good news, with our Trade Triangle technology you will be alerted before a panic takes place. Such was the case in 1987 and also in 2007.

I have just finished a new eBook that can help you avoid panics and crashes and you are welcome to download it with our compliments. The file is pretty big, so please be aware it may take a few minutes to download.

“Five Professional Stock Trading Rules That Will Make You Successful In Any Market” Continue reading "Daily Video Update: 25 Year Anniversary … Black Monday, October 19, 1987. Has anything changed?" →

MarketClub TV for 10/18/12: It's official, the US is now spending $1,000,000,000,000 in welfare payments!

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Thursday, the 18th of October.

It's hard to believe or even fathom that the United States should be paying over $1 trillion a year in welfare benefits. This is an unsustainable number by anyone's math.

Because of this massive expenditure, we're going to see gold skyrocket as paper money becomes worth less and less when reality sets in.

If you were around in the 70's and thought inflation was bad then, it's going to pale in comparison to what's coming up. The only value will be held in land, gold, and raw commodities that can be traded on a barter system.

I hate to sound so negative, but the reality is we did this to ourselves and have no one else to blame. Continue reading "MarketClub TV for 10/18/12: It's official, the US is now spending $1,000,000,000,000 in welfare payments!" →

What Will the Price of Gold Be in January 2014?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

By Jeff Clark, Casey Research

While many of us at Casey Research don't like making price predictions, and certainly ones accompanied by a specific date, it's hard to ignore the correlation between the US monetary base and the gold price.

That correlation says we'll see $2,300 gold by January 2014.

There are plenty of long-term charts that show a connection between gold and various other forms of money (and credit). Most show that one outperforms until the other catches up. But let's zero in on our current circumstances, namely the expansion of the US monetary base since the financial crisis hit in 2008.

Here's the performance of the gold price compared to the expansion of the monetary base since January 2008. Continue reading "What Will the Price of Gold Be in January 2014?" →

Daily Video Update: The market moves higher on latest batch of earnings

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere! Jeremy Lutz with your mid-day market update for Tuesday, the 16th of October.

The markets have moved higher today on the latest batch of positive earnings. Financial giant Goldman Sachs (GS), reported better than expected third quarter earnings.

Goldman Sachs reported adjusted third quarter earnings of $2.85 per share compared to a year-ago loss of $0.84 per share, while analysts had expected earnings of $2.12 per share.

Beverage giant Coca-Cola (KO) also reported third quarter earnings that came in slightly above analyst estimates but on weaker than expected revenues.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported third quarter earnings and sales that exceeded analyst estimates and also raised its full-year guidance.

Shares of Citigroup (C) are also in focus after the financial giant announced that Vikram Pandit has stepped down as the company's Chief Executive Officer and as a member of the Board. Citigroup also said that its board has unanimously elected Michael Corbat as CEO and a director of the Board. Corbat previously served as Citigroup's CEO of Europe, Middle East and Africa.

Now, let's analyze the major markets and stocks on the move using MarketClub's Trade Triangle Technology.

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