Navigating Volatile Markets Via Coupling Dividends And Share Buybacks - Part 3

Noah Kiedrowski - Contributor - Biotech


The broader indices have been highly volatile recently due to weakness in China, an imminent Federal Reserve rate hike and persistently low oil prices. Navigating these volatile markets can be difficult. I posit that via investing in high-quality companies that offer the combination of high-quality dividends along with share buybacks may position an investor to contend with this volatility while potentially being rewarded handsomely during bull markets. On the front half of this dual synergy is the dividend space. This space offers many quality attributes such as decreased volatility, healthy yields, moderate risk exposure and a hedge against downside risk thus may be an ideal synergy for any long portfolio. Historically, companies that have an established track record of not only paying dividends but growing their dividends over the long-term have generally outperformed their respective index with decreased volatility. On the back half of this synergy is share buybacks. Share buybacks can serve as an effective way to drive shareholder value via returning capital to shareholders by repurchasing its own stock.

At times, I'll be using both The Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) and The PowerShares Buyback Achievers ETF (PKW) as proxies for this analysis. I will also select specific high-quality companies to exemplify these attributes. The combination of VYM and PKW may present an ideal investing strategy in which to invest and potentially capitalize on a cohort of companies that engage in both dividends and aggressive share buyback programs, particularly in these volatile markets. This article caps off a three-part series focusing on navigating volatile markets while focusing on high-quality companies that pay out dividends and engage in aggressive share buybacks. This series is primarily focused on these attributes utilizing ETFs as proxies to exemplify the mitigation of downside risk while being well positioned in bull markets. Continue reading "Navigating Volatile Markets Via Coupling Dividends And Share Buybacks - Part 3"

Navigating Volatile Markets Via Share Buyback Investing - Part 2

Noah Kiedrowski - Contributor - Biotech


Share buybacks can serve as an effective way to drive shareholder value via returning capital to shareholders by repurchasing its own stock. Share buybacks are primarily driven by companies that strongly feel their shares are undervalued based on current fundamentals, future growth prospects and cash on hand. Taken together, executive boards approve share buyback programs based on these attributes in concert with undervaluation on the open market. Additionally, the company of interest feels a sense of bullishness and confidence on the future and sustainability of their business.

Theoretically, repurchasing and retiring shares satisfies many shareholder friendly objectives:

1) Reducing the number of shares tilts the supply and demand curve thereby removing shares will decrease supply and in turn increase demand and drive the share price higher

2) Earnings per share increase since earnings are now dividend over fewer shares

3) If share buybacks are coupled with a dividend, the dividend yield may increase if the aggregate quarterly payout amount remains unchanged thus; as a result the payout will be divided over fewer shares.

I'll be using The PowerShares Buyback Achievers ETF (PKW) as a proxy for this analysis. PKW focuses on U.S. companies that have reduced their shares outstanding by at least 5% in the previous year and weights these holdings by market capitalization, subject to a 5% cap within the ETF portfolio. PKW may present an opportunistic niche in which to invest and potentially capitalize on a cohort of companies that engage in aggressive buyback programs, particularly in these volatile markets. Continue reading "Navigating Volatile Markets Via Share Buyback Investing - Part 2"

Summer's Over, But Is The Market?

Summer's over but is the market, that's the burning question on every investors mind as they return from the long Labor Day weekend.

I expect that the volatility that we have seen in the last few weeks will begin to abate and settle down. That would be the normal course of action for this type of market. One of the first questions traders are going to ask themselves is this, is the Federal Reserve going to hike interest rates and if they are by how much?

Another item of interest to traders will be China, which in my opinion is not over with yet.

The last wild card in this bunch has to be the political scene that should be getting into high gear now that Labor Day has passed. The wildcard in the bunch, of course, is Donald Trump, who has defied every political pundits imagination and predictions. Whether you love him or hate him, Donald Trump is channeling the frustration level of the public with career politicians in general. If that were not enough we have Joe Biden is who is contemplating a run for the presidency of these United States. The political cycle this year should be both entertaining and dramatic much more so than previous years. Continue reading "Summer's Over, But Is The Market?"

Crazy Columbus Day ... plus more horror stories

There's no doubt about it, these are crazy times in the market.

My business partner, Dave Maher, came up with the new name for one of the most volatile days in market history ..."Crazy Columbus Day." I think many of us in the industry will always refer to Columbus day with a crazy in front of it.

This is the time to remain cool, calm and collected. Looking back, how did this all happened? It was like a snowball rolling down a hill, gradually building over a period of time and turning into a huge problem. Now that we are sitting in the dust of the crash we ask, who's to blame? It doesn't matter if you're on the Democratic side of the aisle or the Republican side, both parties are to blame for the mess we are in now.

Legendary speculator, George Soros doesn't understand them.

Felix G. Rohatyn, the man who saved New York from financial catastrophe in the '70s, calls them “hydrogen bombs.”

Warren E. Buffett calls them “financial weapons of mass destruction, carrying dangers that, while now latent, are potentially lethal.”

They are all referring to the non-transparent derivatives market. All of these well known financiers figured out the dangers of these toxic financial instruments years ago, yet the Chairman of the Federal Reserve insisted that everything was fine and that the risk in the derivatives market was well spread out.

There was one woman that the CFTC who could have prevented this financial mess. However, this woman left the agency after being verbally beaten down for warning of the possible crisis. Could she have stopped the snowball before it began rolling?

I recently read an article in the New York Times newspaper (online) that I think you'll find fascinating, as I know I did.

Having been a member of several futures exchanges I know that transparency is without a doubt the key to a healthy and vibrant market. The lack of transparency for the past 12-15 years in the derivatives market is nothing short of criminal.

The lack of transparency allowed large banks to make unusually big profits as no one had any idea of what they were actually trading. It all sounded so good on paper. Structured investment vehicles (SIV), collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) all of these looked great in the derivatives modeling world. Unfortunately in the real world, financial modeling does not always work out. And when it comes to big money, the element of greed always comes into play. Greed is something you cannot model into an equation.

Here is the link to the New York Times article I hope you find it interesting, informative and eye-opening.

Adam Hewison
Co-creator, MarketClub