S&P 500 Finishes Consolidation, Fasten Your Seat Belts!

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals - S&P 500 Finishes Consolidation


This past February, I drew your attention to the S&P 500 index, which started a consolidation, addressing two critical questions about the future of the index. The most important answer said that we are still in the long-term uptrend and we should keep patience to see the end of the consolidation.

Later in April, I shared an update with you with a detailed plan for two possible options of the ongoing consolidation. The first one implied the development of the familiar Triangular pattern, which in its turn had two possible paths of price action. And the second path with a zigzag inside of the Triangle was drawn with an amazingly accurate prediction as the index just repeated its trajectory.

Another possible option was described within the forecasted Bull Flag pattern. This model didn’t develop as planned as the price couldn’t break below the previous low at $2532; although we were very close to hitting it as the index’s drop reversed just $31 ahead of it at the $2553 level. This plan is very close to invalidation once the price overcomes the earlier top at $2718.

Below I prepared an update of the most valid option for you. Continue reading "S&P 500 Finishes Consolidation, Fasten Your Seat Belts!"

The S&P 500 Has Two Options

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals - S&P 500


Back in February, I shared a map for the possible development of a consolidation that started at the end of January in the S&P 500 index. The expected drop followed the post although a little bit postponed.

As top metals are literally dead and still between the confirmation levels these days, I would like to update a lively S&P 500 index chart. For the gauge of American stock market, I prepared two separate charts as it has reached the crucial support and we could have two future options here.

Chart 1. S&P 500 Weekly: Make It Or Break It

S&P 500
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

In the monthly chart from my earlier post I added the orange, medium-term support, which I highlighted in black in the weekly chart above. As we can see, that support already stopped the previous drop in February and did it again at the end of March. If the price would freeze at these levels without breaking below the former trough, then the Triangle pattern (orange) could develop as lower highs and higher lows shape it. Continue reading "The S&P 500 Has Two Options"

S&P 500 Consolidates, Is Another Drop Ahead

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals - S&P 500 Consolidates


In this post, I will share with you two maps as the S&P 500 consolidates to address two questions that are probably on your mind these days. The first is related to the long-term trend, shall we consider that significant ten percent drop that started at the end of January as a threshold for the long-term Bear Face? And the second question is related to the current situation, will this robust recovery continue further?

Let’s be diligent and answer those questions one by one.

Chart 1. S&P 500 Monthly: Consolidation Not A Reversal Yet

S&P 500 Consolidates
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

First of all, I would like to draw your attention to the black long-term trendline support, which starts post Great Recession period. The S&P 500 is far above this trigger, and I guess that even the current consolidation could hardly reach it. So, for the long term Bear Face to start sellers should push the index below that trendline, which currently sits at the $2100 mark. As this is not the case now, there is no reason for panic then. Continue reading "S&P 500 Consolidates, Is Another Drop Ahead"

S&P 500 Vs. Gold: Someone's Gain, Someone's Pain

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In May I recommended that gold bugs think about buying stocks for gold to enjoy the bullish momentum on the market. This call paid well as S&P 500 index almost gained 6 grams of gold (10%) since then.

In terms of dollars, the index did even better by hitting the projected target of $2650 set in the May chart. Back in those days the S&P 500 was flirting with the $2400 mark, and the target level looked so distant then.

In this post, I will update the S&P 500/Gold ratio chart and see if there is more room to the upside.

Chart 1. S&P 500 Monthly In Grams Of Gold

S&P 500 Monthly In Grams Of Gold
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com
Continue reading "S&P 500 Vs. Gold: Someone's Gain, Someone's Pain"

Gold Bugs Should Think About Buying Stocks

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Some things become more obvious when you change your point of view. Some decisions are easier to make when we change the measure of value. And today I would like to share with you the gold bug’s view of the stock market.

Chart 1. The S&P 500 Monthly In Grams Of Gold

S&P 500 Monthly In Grams Of Gold
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The chart above represents the price dynamics of the S&P 500 in grams of gold. I used grams not ounces to make the chart more readable. You can do the same by dividing the S&P 500 value to the price of gold in troy ounces and then multiplying it by 31.1035. Continue reading "Gold Bugs Should Think About Buying Stocks"