Platinum Could Rocket To $1912

Last time I updated the platinum chart in March was when "Palladium Pushed Platinum To A Record Low" within the ratio mostly due to the strength of palladium. Platinum has hovered around $900 for three years now as it was lost and forgotten after the “execration” of diesel engines. This "fallen angel" had been shaping a sideways consolidation this past spring, and I had thought it could repeat 2018’s drop following the same structure. The targets were set at the $640 and $401 on the downside, and the invalidation point was assigned to $1034.

Let's see below how you voted for the future of platinum.

Platinum

Most of you picked the $1034 option, which implied the breakout of the consolidation in the upside direction towards the invalidation area. This was the closest call as the majority voted for a bullish move, which, indeed, had happened as platinum couldn't break below the consolidation valley of $788 and bounced up to reach the $1000 level this past September. That price hasn't been seen since February 2018. Again, this was your amazingly accurate prediction, not only for that period but also for a longer-term outlook as I spotted it in the big chart below. Continue reading "Platinum Could Rocket To $1912"

Gold & Silver: Expected Drop Kicked Off

It was a timely call last week to "Beware Of Extended Consolidation" as right from last Monday we saw both metals plummet all the week long. Surely, it wasn't a self-fulfilling prophecy as the market was unexpectedly caught in a bullish euphoria. The chart structure was telling us about this possibility as such patterns appear from time to time. The same pattern had appeared on the Bitcoin chart as I had warned you this past August. That pattern of extended consolidation smashed Bitcoin’s value as planned from $10600 down to the projected target of $7800. Let's see where this pattern could send precious metals prices this time around.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Undershot => Overshot

gold silver
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

We've got the tricky junction between two legs down on the gold chart. The triangular structure (blue) had been shaped as lower peaks, and higher valleys were established there. This pattern is rarer than the regular zigzag that I was expecting to unfold. It created a huge undershot to the top of the range, which might result in a big overshot below the bottom of the range. By the way, gold already dropped like a rock to pierce the valley of the range last Friday. But, of course, that's not enough. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Expected Drop Kicked Off"

Gold & Silver: Beware Of Extended Consolidation

Gold and silver chart structures got synchronized, and I am happy to bring them back together in this post.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: $1557=>$1458

gold silver
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

In my earlier post, I shared with you a detailed 4-hour chart of gold with a bullish outlook. Fortunately, the price had indeed gone higher and booked $27 per each ounce since then. I set the confirmation above $1520, which wasn't triggered yet, although we were very close as a high was hit at $1518 at the end of October. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Beware Of Extended Consolidation"

Palladium Reached Double Resistance

Back in March, I shared with you an updated chart for palladium. It hit the record high of $1553 by that time to become the most precious metal, and it still is.

Every time the price makes a record high, there is a chance for a reversal. In that post, I measured the AB/CD segments of the upside moves on the chart and both short term and long term measurements showed the equality, which meant the possible exhaustion of a Bull Run. I didn't try to guess the top that time and asked your opinion. Below is the distribution of your votes.

Palladium

Most voters chose the $1600-2000 range for the top of the palladium price, which meant that the established new record should be updated to the upside. Your prediction amazingly came true, but this bet wasn't that obvious as it played out only five months later, when the metal refreshed the all-time high at $1601 in July as only then the price entered the forecasted range. Last week the price did it once again to hit a new record high of $1750, confirming your accurate prophecy. Congratulations!

Let's see what happens with the palladium futures these days in the weekly chart below. Continue reading "Palladium Reached Double Resistance"

Gold Update: $1616?

Last month, after gold had missed our primary target of $1577 and then started to collapse, I wondered if "A Bear Face Was Showing Up?". The price was still above the trendline support, although it dipped below $1500. I also spotted the potential reversal Head & Shoulders pattern, which was adding to the possible Bear Face.

Let's see below what you had been expecting from the market these days.

Gold

The most of your votes in the earlier ballot were for the "No" option, which means you didn't think that gold had topped already keeping bullish outlook, no matter what. The thing is that we don't know the right answer yet, as none of the triggers were pushed. To remind you, the Bearish confirmation is only below $1400, and the Bullish one is above $1557.

I want to share with you the anatomy of the failed Head & Shoulders pattern below to show what has gone wrong for educational purposes in the 4-hour chart below. Continue reading "Gold Update: $1616?"