I know to many Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) fans, that probably sounds sacrilegious.
You may be thinking, "Adam has lost his mind, he must be thinking about another stock, surely not Apple." After all, they just announced two new iPhones and sold 13 million of them this past weekend. They are the leader in the smartphone market, coming out soon with their game-changing Apple TV and a bigger iPad. That is correct, but...
It's not that difficult to look at the market action in the stock and see that it is pathetic. All of that positive PR information comes out about Apple selling 13 million iPhones in a weekend, yet the stock goes down. What's with that? The PR people must be pulling their hair out thinking about what they can do next to push the stock up. One thing I love about Steve Jobs, the original Apple genius, was he didn't give much thought about the stock market. He was more interested in creating insane, cutting-edge products. The new regime at Apple is more interested in pushing the stock price up and being politically correct.
Also, the Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) "act" is getting a little bit old and certainly Apple has not been able to innovate anything new in the past several years.
Even mega investor, Carl Icahn, can't believe that Apple's shares are not higher.
Yesterday, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) finally had its day in the sun and unveiled its new smart watch for the second time. The whole event went off without a hitch and was very Apple-esque in all the different presentations. The only item that caught my eye was the Macbook, which is a new design and is like a work of art thanks in large part to Sir Jony Ive, Apple's chief design guru. While many of the products shown at the event received polite applause, Apple's stock elicited a big yawn, as many of the features had been seen earlier. Another kicker was if you want to get a smart watch, you're going to have to wait for at least another six weeks.
Yesterday, we ran a poll that showed only 14% of the people who responded would consider buying an Apple watch, and that was before prices were announced. My best guess is Apple's going to sell a lot of watches, but not the 14 million they think they are going to sell in the first year.
Looking at how Apple's stock acted to yesterday's presentation by Tim Cook, I would have to say that the market was somewhat underwhelmed.
In today's video, I'm going to be taking the pulse of several different markets and determining what I think is going to happen based on the Trade Triangle technology and some other technical indicators. Continue reading "Apple And Market Fatigue"→
Is that a sacrilegious thought? Let me say I'm a huge fan of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) and have been since I wrote my book "Right on the Money" on a Mac some 20 plus years ago. But that was when Steve Jobs was changing the world with his WYSIWYG (what you see is what you get) interface and that silly little mouse that now is an ubiquitous part of our lives.
Times have changed and Steve Jobs is no longer with us, but I'm sure he would be happy to see that his company has overtaken Microsoft as the most valuable corporation in the world to the tune of some $750 billion. We all know that since Steve has passed on, the baton was handed to Tim Cook. Tim Cook is a very talented executive and certainly a master of the supply chain. But does Tim Cook have enough imagination to drive innovation forward in creating new and exciting products?
Under Tim's leadership, Apple stock has certainly moved higher, no question about that, but what has Apple done lately? We will find out on Monday the 9th, when Apple will unveil a new product. Apple is rumored to be launching its new Apple watch and some upgrades to existing products.
Let me say I would like to be wowed by the Apple watch, but there is a little company called Pebble that has sold more smart watches than all the other smart watch makers combined and that company didn't even exist two years ago. Pebble is led by a very bright and focused individual much like Steve Jobs, who has a vision of what wearables can be and can do. His name is Eric Migicovsky and at 28 years old is the founder and CEO of Pebble. I'm sure we will be hearing a lot more about him and his company in the future. Could this be a David and Goliath technology story as mighty Apple may be felled by a Pebble? Continue reading "Is It Time To Short Apple?"→
In recent months, Apple's (Nasdaq: AAPL) CEO Tim Cook has repeatedly stressed that the company still has a number of aces up its sleeve. Cook has dropped coy hints that bold new products are in the pipeline, so Apple could still surprise investors with better-than-expected growth.
But even if Cook is right and Apple is on the cusp of an impressive product release cycle, then he's wrong on one key point: Apple will never again be a great growth story it once was.
The company's annual revenue base is fast-approaching the $200 billion mark, so even if the company is layered in tens of billions of dollars in new revenue, that would only offset some of the revenue declines the Apple will experience from maturing key products and competitive pressure, which could lead to more price cuts.