One year later, reality sets in

It's been just a little over a year since we had our first major buy signal for the S&P 500 at 888.70 on 5/4/09. Since that time, the S&P 500 has climbed approximately 61.8% from the lows that were seen in early March of '09 and the highs that were seen in October of '07.

We take our "Trade Triangle" technology very seriously and this signal today (5/25) at 1044.50 is our first major sell signal since 7/1/08 at 1,272.00 and should not be ignored.

There are a whole host of problems that are coming due around the world that will have negative consequences for the equity markets. The problems in Greece and Europe are well known and are likely to continue for the balance of the year. This is going to have a negative impact on markets in general. Continue reading "One year later, reality sets in"

Crude oil breaks $70 a barrel, and we are short

The crude oil market broke through an important support zone and appears to be very much on the defensive. In this new short video on crude oil, I point out some of the levels that I still think are important in this market and illustrate just how important it is to use both stops and our "Trade Triangle" technology.

It is a short video and there is no charge or registration requirement in order to view.

If you have comments on this video, please visit our blog to share them with us.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

"Perfect Portfolio" Update for Q1

The first quarter of the year proved to be a challenging one for many traders outside of the equity markets. The "Perfect Portfolio" which tracks 4 markets was no exception. In the four ETF markets we track, the portfolio was equally split with winners in two markets and losers in two markets.

The following ETF's provided solid returns for the "Perfect Portfolio" in Q1. Both the FXE which tracks the euro, and SPY which tracks the S&P 500, managed to put in solid performances. However this was not enough to offset losses incurred in the GLD which tracks gold and the USO ETF which tracks the crude oil market. Combined losses in these markets were large enough to wipe away any gains for the quarter.

Continue reading ""Perfect Portfolio" Update for Q1"

Q1: Gold vs. "World Cup Portfolio"

We began Q1 with high hopes of keeping our winning streak alive, just as we had finished out the year on a very positive note with some strong gains in Q4 of 2009.

Q1 proved to be a challenging quarter for the "World Cup Portfolio." Out of the six markets we track, we had winning positions in four markets (that's the good news) and losing positions in the other two.
However, the big disappointment in Q1 was the gold market which produced our biggest quarterly loss of any market since we began tracking the "World Cup Portfolio."

The main reason for this loss was the choppy, trend-less action in the gold market. In the eleven quarters we have been tracking gold, we have made money in eight of those quarters. This is not the time to abandon trading gold, rather it is a time to continue with our game plan and "Trade Triangle" approach that has been so successful for this portfolio. Furthermore we have never had back-to-back losing quarters in gold.

On the brighter side, the grain markets proved to be resilient and just the ticket as corn, wheat, and soybeans all put in positive performances. The only other market to put in a negative performance in Q1 was crude oil. Continue reading "Q1: Gold vs. "World Cup Portfolio""

Has crude oil topped out for the year?

There is no doubt about it, crude oil has been very choppy. There are two camps involved in the crude oil market: one is bullish and the other is bearish. In this new short video, I show you which camp I am in and what I think is going to happen to the crude oil market for the balance of the year.

You will also get to see the key areas that we have recently approached and reversed back down from, and why this area is so important for the future of crude oil.

As always, our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements. We welcome your thoughts and comments regarding this posting on our blog.

All the best,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub