See how we did trading, corn, wheat, soybeans, crude oil, gold and the dollar index for Q1 of this year.

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Q1 - 2009 Results

The first quarter of the year proved to be very challenging for many traders and MarketClub as well. We have been tracking the same six markets for the pat seven quarters now. Although we have had tremendous success with our signals, this quarter we had four markets which presented profits, while two of them produced losses. Not ideal.. but real.

Click on read more to see our results chart and what's coming down the pike

Let's start with the two markets that gave us losses in Q1. The first was the crude oil market (NYMEX_CL) on which we have consistently made money for the past six quarters. This market produced our largest loss of the quarter. Gold (XAUUSDO) was also a market that fell in the red.

Now remember, we hypothetically trade these six markets with a margin of $50,000. These are all futures markets and should not correlate to any holdings in a stock portfolio.

In corn, wheat, soybeans and the Dollar Index, we were successful in making money. As we have said many times on this blog, it is important to be diversified and to trade markets that are non-correlated. While some would argue that the corn, wheat, and soybeans are closely correlated, I tend to disagree with that argument.

For the quarter, we lost approximately 5% on total margin of $50,000. On our total gain for the previous six quarters, our loss for the Q1 was less than 1%.

The cardinal rule in futures trading is to cut your losses and let your profits run. We have successfully achieved this using MarketClub's "Trade Triangle" technology. This concept of taking a large profit and small losses should not be lost on any budding trader. It is what you have to do in order to be successful. This approach has pushed this theoretical portfolio account up to $310,090.50 before commissions. This was achieved in full view of thousands of MarketClub members who have been tracking this portfolio since inception.

So whats ahead? Q2 looks to be off to a better start. While we are early into the quarter, I expect that we will  regain all of our losses and move into the plus column for the year.

If you are already a MarketClub member, I strongly recommend that you follow these markets along with us. We have shown you how to trade and filter futures using our "Trade Triangle" technology. So you should be getting results very similar to ours.

Thanks for taking the time to review our numbers for Q1 of 2009. I'm sure we will be in the black next time as I have all the confidence in the world for the MarketClub system.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

23 thoughts on “See how we did trading, corn, wheat, soybeans, crude oil, gold and the dollar index for Q1 of this year.”

  2. Robert,

    Thank you for your feedback. I answered this same question that you posted earlier in regards to our trading results.

    All the best,
    Adam

  3. wondering if you could put a description on how you actually enter your trades for these markets I would like to also know if we could use the etfs and inverse etfs to trade this portfolio. I guess what I mean is do you wait for a weekly triangle and does it have to have either +75 or better for long and -75 or better for short just wondering if you could give a set of your rules for entering and the etf question. Thanks Robert Frank.

  4. Hello Adam:

    I did not say that trade triangles appear and dissapear hours later. I was just replying Damiani argument about trade triangles usefulness. He stated the Appearance and disappearance of them, I did not.

    Best Regards, Fernando

  5. Lonny,

    Thank you for your feedback.

    When you trade the US dollar from the longside against another currency it means that if the US dollar is going up the other currency that you are trading against his going down by default.

    For example if you go long the US dollar against the Canadian dollar you're looking for the Canadian dollar to go down against the US dollar. To answer your other question, if you are wondering in general if the dollar goes up usually the AUD CAD would go on the opposite direction. That's not necessarily true, each cross rate the USD/CAD of the USD/AUD can move in the direction that the fundamentals are indicating. Most currencies move on interest rate and inflation concerns.

    I hope this answers your question.

    All the best,
    Adam

  6. I was wondering if in "general" when the dollar goes up...usually the AUD CAD would go in the opposite direction?...Also what is the difference of say...going long the dollar and shorting the CAD at the same time like a spread 'but not' in the futures...vs going Forex? margin?

  7. I am a new reader.I do not understand anyone who thinks that Q1 09 was a "challenging" time to be in the market? Q1 09 was a "no brainer" for anyone who bothers to follow the news of the world. I have 20% realized gains and 10% unrealized gains on a $150,000.00 portfolio since Jan.I have no degree or special training.Q1 09 may turn out to be the easiest money ever made in U.S. stockmarket. Valuations being what they were, there was no place to go but up.
    Advise to new currency traders. This is an "insiders" game. I would encourage you to stick with equities and other easy to understand and much talked about products the the market has to offer. Best of luck everyone.

  8. George,

    We publish our portfolio on a quarterly basis. It is the same six markets and we use the lead month for futures trading.

    The reasoning we use the XAUUSDO for gold is that there are no carrying charges and no insurance costs. Why is this important? The reason it is important is that it gives a truer picture of the gold market. We do the same thing in FOREX, we track the spot market. You should be trading the futures based on our signals in the spot market. Also the spot market is in real-time which we feel is a key element in the precious metals markets.

    I hope this helps answer your question.

    All the best,
    Adam

  9. This is the first I have seen of this portfolio. Is there somewhere on you site that you track this basket of commodities or is it necessary to track each contract individually using the portfolio and triangle tools?

    Also your proxy for gold, the XAUUSDO, is not a tradable. What would we trade and why would you not use that symbol?

    Thanks for your help,

  10. Dave,

    Thanks for your comments.

    The grain markets are somewhat correlated, more so than the other markets we trade.

    In times of inflation all the futures/commodity markets appear to be correlated. In normal times the markets are driven by their individual supply and demand statistics.

    All the best,
    Adam

  11. You say that you don`t believe the grain markets are correlated.Why? When each of these markets move individually they seem to drag the others along with them. What about the substitution factor?

  12. I followed the Trade Triangles and did not realize these gains in the same markets principally because you cannot reproduce the trading that is on the charts. Buy and sell signals appear and then disappear hours later if the market reverses. You have already exited. Just look at where you would be if you got in the day after the signal on each trade and you will see different results.

    1. I do not have quite clear your position regarding the Trade Triangle technology. Are you a member of Market Club?. What do you mean that buy and sell signals appear and disapear hours later...?. Every market can not be measure by the signals you had when analyzing other market. Will you be more explicit please? When tiangles signals disappear ? when you change your time-frame, go to analyze other market, while analyzing one particular market in one time frame, When ?

      Best Regards,
      Fernando Guzman

      1. Fernando,

        Thank you for your feedback.

        I am not sure I understand when you say the "Trade Triangles" disappear.

        All the "Trade Triangles" stay on the screen unless you elect to take them off. I recommend that you call our tech support desk they will be able to help you as I do not fully understand your question. Here is the number 800-538-7424 or email su*****@in*.com.

        Our support team will help.

        Adam

        1. Hello Adam:

          I am not making the statement that "trade triangles disapppear" John Damiani said that, I was replying his position in this matter.

          Best Regards,
          Fernando Guzmán Cavero

    2. I experienced the same issue several weeks ago on the S&P Mini Futures daily chart. One moment, the triangles triggered a sell, indicating a stop was reached. That was subsequently followed by an e-mail alert that a "Red Triangle" was triggered. The next day, the red triangle completely dissapeared off the charts. I can't say that I have seen the same phenomenon with the stock charts. It only seems to affect the futures...Nevertheless, I've still managed to cover my subscription costs 20 times over just the past 3 months.

      1. Reas,

        Thank you for your feedback. I'm happy to hear that you're making money with our service.

        All the best to you in the future.
        Adam

  14. Caroline,

    Thank you for your feedback and your kind words. When you become a member of MarketClub you have total access to all of the MarketClub tools.

    Our Trade Triangles have over time worked very well in the Forex market. We have a real time quotes and charts for most of the Forex pairs.

    I hope to welcome you soon to MarketClub.

    All the best,
    Adam

  15. Dear Adams,
    I have really learnt a lot from your trading videos. Thanks for that, but what I am really interested in is Forex trading. I am a total Newbie. If I get registered with market club , can I have access to TRADE TRIANGLES that can give me information on what currency pairs to possibly trade?

    Thanks,
    Caroline.

  16. Hello,
    I did not see the READ MORE link to click on and see the results.
    Thanks for putting it on.
    Thanks for the great job on the new chart. They are great.
    Regards.
    Loic

  17. Hi Adam,

    To me, a 3% loss in sideways yet volatile Q1 should be viewed as a stunning success. I think this market will provide a great opportunity to tune the use of trade triangles in sideways markets. I look forward to Q2
    -Steve

Comments are closed.