We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.
Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.
Crude Oil Futures
Crude oil futures in the June contract is currently trading lower by $0.15 at 71.35 a barrel after hitting a fresh 4-year high earlier in the week at 72.30 as profit-taking has come about. However, this market remains bullish in my opinion. If you are long a futures contract continue to place the stop loss under the 2-week low standing at 67.63 as you will have to roll over into the July contract in the next couple of days as the stop loss will be changed, but I do think higher prices are ahead. One of the main reasons why this market has turned bullish is the fact that Venezuela has turned into a complete nightmare as that socialist country has utterly imploded over the last several months as they are not producing near as much oil as they used to, therefore, supply concerns in the short term are at hand. If you take a look at heating oil and unleaded gasoline they are both hitting multi-year highs in today's trade as the whole sector is extremely bullish so continue to play this to the upside & if you're not involved in the market wait for some profit-taking before entering into a bullish position, therefore, lowering the monetary risk. Oil prices have probably been the strongest trend in 2018 as we are trading far above their 20 and 100-day moving average as the volatility remains relatively low except for last week when President Trump revoked the Iranian deal as the fundamental and technical picture remains bullish in my opinion so stay long & continue to place the proper stop loss.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
VOLATILITY: LOW
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