Category: General

How To Successfully Play The Earnings Game - And Win 95% Of The Time

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Today I'm going to tackle something completely different and see if MarketClub's Trade Triangle technology can help you anticipate good or bad earnings before they are announced.

I randomly selected 20 stocks that have recently reported earnings and took a look to see how the Trade Triangles were positioned in each of those stocks before each company announced their earnings. Again, I only used the market-proven Trade Triangle technology to see whether you should be long or short a stock, or just be on the sidelines.

The results even surprised me, out of the 20 stocks that I picked, you would have been in positions in 12 of them. 11 were outright winners and there was one loser. You would have taken a position in the market on the close before the company reported its earnings. You would then exit the position on the close of business the next day.

So how did the Trade Triangles do with the other eight stocks?

The remaining eight stocks were on the sidelines. Being on the sidelines helped avoid five losing trades, meaning the market did not live up to its earnings. However on the other side of the coin, you missed out on three gains by being on the sidelines. When you analyze the missed gains and the avoided losses, you still come out ahead by having a position on the sidelines.

Here is a list of all the stocks and the dates. You can simply look at the chart and check the results for yourself. Continue reading "How To Successfully Play The Earnings Game - And Win 95% Of The Time" →

4 Reasons Oil Could Drop Further

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By: Tim Begany of Street Authority

 

Right around the time analysts gave up trying to predict the bottom for oil prices, the all-important commodity mounted a strong comeback.

In fact, oil's recent reversal is leading to predictions that the commodity has finally bottomed and is poised for a "V-shaped recovery," which means it could rise so fast that its price chart forms the letter V.

What's more, many asset managers have started to say it's safe to go back into oil stocks and, in some cases, are forecasting such stocks will be 2015's best investments.

Those are bold claims, and they could be right. But I doubt it.

Simply put, the fundamentals behind the bear market in oil haven't changed much: there are still too many factors that could weigh on oil prices in coming months. Indeed, there are at least four reasons why it's probably far too soon to call a bottom in oil and why prices could still set new lows before heading consistently higher. Continue reading "4 Reasons Oil Could Drop Further" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the April contract are down $27 this afternoon in New York due to the fact of a very strong U.S monthly unemployment report pushing prices to a 3 week low as I’ve been recommending a long position in gold when prices broke above 1,245 and if you took that trade it’s time to exit today as prices are at a 3 week low as prices now are trading below their 20 but above their 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is mixed. Gold futures settled in the April contract at 1,279 while currently trading at 1,236 down about $43 for the trading week as the Dow Jones was up over 800 points this week as money is flowing out of the precious metals and into equities once again. Silver futures are also down $.50 as the U.S dollar is up a whopping 100 points this Friday putting pressure on many of the commodities once again as extreme volatility is happening throughout the commodity and stock sectors so Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Bill Ackman: This Is The Market's 'Best Kept Secret'

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By: Josh Sparrow of Street Authority

The name Bill Ackman carries more weight now than it did a year ago.

2014 was a rough year for most hedge fund managers. The average fund returned just 2% and the first six months of the year saw 461 hedge funds close shop.

Yet Ackman's fund, Pershing Square Holdings, returned an astounding 40.4% in 2014 and went from managing around $11.5 billion assets at the start of the year to more than $18 billion currently.

Ackman was named top dog in Bloomberg's 2014 ranking of the world's best hedge fund managers.

And that success helped make Pershing Square Holdings' (AMS: PSH) recent IPO that much more successful. The firm's October IPO -- which opened on the Euronext Amsterdam exchange -- was one of Europe's largest in 2014, at $2.7 billion.

Investors who bought shares of the company at the time of its IPO have already seen a nice 12.7% gain in just a few months.

In the company's first letter-to-shareholders, Ackman laid out what he believes to be the company's primary competitive advantages. He wrote, "When compared with other investment holding or operating companies, PSH benefits by its favorable tax structure and long-term track record." Continue reading "Bill Ackman: This Is The Market's 'Best Kept Secret'" →

A Presidential Order That Could Save Energy Drillers

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By: Joseph Hogue of Street Authority

In his six years in office, President Obama has stressed his support for strict environmental regulation. He has expanded powers for the Environmental Protection Agency and has repeatedly deferred approval for the Keystone XL Pipeline System.

One key stat: The number of oil and gas leases approved during the first three years fell by more than 40%, compared to the final three years of President Bush’s administration. Drilling permit approvals on federal lands fell by a similar amount.

In addition to the regulatory headwind, falling oil prices are also impeding drilling permit activity. Against this one-two punch, some analysts are questioning the emergent theme of U.S. energy independence and shale production.

But is an unlikely supporter about to throw the sector a lifeline? Continue reading "A Presidential Order That Could Save Energy Drillers" →